GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Florida Republican Governor primary: exact place

Total Volume

$0.00

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Florida Republican Governor primary: exact place

Vol

$0.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary? (Donalds, Collins, Renner)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary? (Donalds, Collins, Renner)	Kalshi	44%
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary? (Donalds, Fishback, Renner)	Kalshi	34%
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary? (Donalds, Collins, Fishback)	Kalshi	32%
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary? (Donalds, Fishback, Collins)	Kalshi	12%
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary? (Donalds, Renner, Collins)	Kalshi	8%
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary? (Donalds, Renner, Fishback)	Kalshi	7%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

44%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Exact place If the exact result in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary is Byron Donalds, 1st, Paul Renner, 2nd, X 3rd, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if any component becomes impossible to occur, resolving to No, or all components have been satisfied, resolving to Yes. This market will close and expire early if any component becomes impossible to occur, resolving to No, or all components have been satisfied, resolvin

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Florida Republican Governor primary: exact place
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Exact place

If the exact result in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary is Byron Donalds, 1st, Paul Renner, 2nd, X 3rd, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if any component becomes impossible to occur, resolving to No, or all components have been satisfied, resolving to Yes. This market will close and expire early if any component becomes impossible to occur, resolving to No, or all components have been satisfied, resolvin

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the exact result in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary is Byron Donalds (1st), Paul Renner (2nd), James Fishback (3rd), then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if any component becomes impossible to occur (resolving to No) or "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary? (Donalds, Renner, Fishback)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 18, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary? (Donalds, Renner, Collins)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 18, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary? (Donalds, Fishback, Renner)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 18, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 33.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary? (Donalds, Fishback, Collins)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 18, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary? (Donalds, Collins, Renner)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 18, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 44.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary? (Donalds, Collins, Fishback)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 18, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 32.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Florida Republican Governor primary: exact place

Volume$0.00

Markets6

6 of 6

Sort:

KALSHI

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary? (Donalds, Collins, Renner)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 44.5¢No 55.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary? (Donalds, Collins, Renner)

If the exact result in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary is Byron Donalds (1st), Jay Collins (2nd), Paul Renner (3rd), then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if any component becomes impossible to occur (resolving to No) or all

KALSHI

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary? (Donalds, Fishback, Renner)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 33.5¢No 66.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary? (Donalds, Fishback, Renner)

If the exact result in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary is Byron Donalds (1st), James Fishback (2nd), Paul Renner (3rd), then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if any component becomes impossible to occur (resolving to No) or

KALSHI

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary? (Donalds, Collins, Fishback)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 32.5¢No 67.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary? (Donalds, Collins, Fishback)

If the exact result in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary is Byron Donalds (1st), Jay Collins (2nd), James Fishback (3rd), then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if any component becomes impossible to occur (resolving to No) or

KALSHI

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary? (Donalds, Fishback, Collins)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 12.0¢No 88.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary? (Donalds, Fishback, Collins)

If the exact result in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary is Byron Donalds (1st), James Fishback (2nd), Jay Collins (3rd), then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if any component becomes impossible to occur (resolving to No) or

KALSHI

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary? (Donalds, Renner, Collins)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 8.0¢No 92.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary? (Donalds, Renner, Collins)

If the exact result in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary is Byron Donalds (1st), Paul Renner (2nd), Jay Collins (3rd), then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if any component becomes impossible to occur (resolving to No) or all

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

23¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/f8mr3O" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Florida Republican Governor primary: exact place"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

Florida Republican Governor primary: exact place

Florida Republican Governor primary: exact place

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary? (Donalds, Collins, Renner)

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Florida Republican Governor primary: exact place

Markets (6)

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary? (Donalds, Collins, Renner)

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary? (Donalds, Collins, Renner)

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary? (Donalds, Fishback, Renner)

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary? (Donalds, Fishback, Renner)

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary? (Donalds, Collins, Fishback)

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary? (Donalds, Collins, Fishback)

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary? (Donalds, Fishback, Collins)

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary? (Donalds, Fishback, Collins)

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary? (Donalds, Renner, Collins)

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary? (Donalds, Renner, Collins)

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary? (Donalds, Collins, Renner)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Florida Republican Governor primary: exact place

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary? (Donalds, Collins, Renner)

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary? (Donalds, Collins, Renner)

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary? (Donalds, Fishback, Renner)

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary? (Donalds, Fishback, Renner)

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary? (Donalds, Collins, Fishback)

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary? (Donalds, Collins, Fishback)

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary? (Donalds, Fishback, Collins)

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary? (Donalds, Fishback, Collins)

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary? (Donalds, Renner, Collins)

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary? (Donalds, Renner, Collins)

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget