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Events
GroupKALSHI

When will the first 2028 Republican primary debate be?

When will the first 2028 Republican primary debate be?
Vol

K 400 contracts

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Events

1

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Markets

8

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Before Mar 1, 2028 at 76%.

Kalshi

  1. Before Mar 1, 202876%
  2. Before Jan 1, 202870%
  3. Before Dec 1, 202766%
  4. Before Oct 1, 202758%
  5. Before Sep 1, 202751%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 400 contracts

Reported volume ยท provider units

8

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

About This Event

2028 Republican presidential nomination If a debate officially sanctioned by the Republican National Committee, RNC, as a 2028 Republican presidential primary debate takes place after Issuance and before X 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. X debate counts when it is officially sanctioned by the Republican National Committee, RNC, as a 2028 Republican presidential primary debate and at least two candidates for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination participate together. X debate held over two consecutive nights counts on its first night. The following do NOT count: Announcing or scheduling a debate that has not taken place Forums, town halls or other events where candidates appear one at a time Debates not sanctioned by the RNC Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications, from before Issuance, do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources, e.g., wire services, only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics
When will the first 2028 Democratic primary debate be?

When will the first 2028 Democratic primary debate be?

K 0 contracts
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a debate officially sanctioned by the Democratic National Committee (DNC) as a 2028 Democratic presidential primary debate takes place before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 89%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a debate officially sanctioned by the Democratic National Committee (DNC) as a 2028 Democratic presidential primary debate takes place before Dec 1, 2027?Yes 86%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a debate officially sanctioned by the Democratic National Committee (DNC) as a 2028 Democratic presidential primary debate takes place before Oct 1, 2027?Yes 79%
+5 moreNext deadline May 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Which of these Republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?

Which of these Republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?

PM $19.6K
Will Ted Cruz be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?Yes 38%
Will Ron DeSantis be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?Yes 28.5%
Will J.D. Vance be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?Yes 24.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many candidates will win a 2028 Republican primary?

How many candidates will win a 2028 Republican primary?

K 0 contracts
Will the number of different candidates who win a 2028 Republican presidential primary or caucus be at least 2 by Aug 31, 2028?Yes 75.5%
Will the number of different candidates who win a 2028 Republican presidential primary or caucus be at least 3 by Aug 31, 2028?Yes 40.5%
Will the number of different candidates who win a 2028 Republican presidential primary or caucus be at least 4 by Aug 31, 2028?Yes 17.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 30, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New Hampshire Republican presidential primary winner?

New Hampshire Republican presidential primary winner?

K 352 contracts
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 New Hampshire Republican primary?Yes 37%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 New Hampshire Republican primary?Yes 22.5%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 New Hampshire Republican primary?Yes 11.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
South Carolina Republican presidential primary winner?

South Carolina Republican presidential primary winner?

K 231 contracts
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 South Carolina Republican primary?Yes 34.5%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 South Carolina Republican primary?Yes 15.5%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 South Carolina Republican primary?Yes 12.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida Republican presidential primary winner?

Florida Republican presidential primary winner?

K 163.17 contracts
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Florida Republican primary?Yes 32.5%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Florida Republican primary?Yes 24.5%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Florida Republican primary?Yes 16.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2028 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

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