Name: Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
End: 2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z

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Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen? | PredictPedia

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $953.17K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $953.17K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

19 markets tracked

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(19)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Poly	94%
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Poly	3%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Poly	2%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?	Poly	1%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?	Poly	0%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?	Poly	0%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?	Poly	0%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?	Poly	0%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	Poly	0%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?	Poly	0%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?	Poly	0%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?	Poly	0%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?	Poly	0%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?	Poly	0%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?	Poly	0%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?	Poly	0%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?	Poly	0%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan?	Poly	0%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

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94%

Top Probability

$953.17K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the country in which the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, t

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, April 17, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 30, 2026 (74 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the country in which the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, t

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the country in which the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $953.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $296.7K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 3.21)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $63.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $43.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $81.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.3% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $59.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $37.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $12.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $33.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $39.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $20.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $36.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $64.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $46.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $31.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $15.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $207.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 93.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $36.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $34.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $58.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $29.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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