GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETTech

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?

Name: Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?
End: 2026-12-31T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$496.15K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?

Vol

$496.15K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $496.15K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $496.15K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Poly	96%
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?	Poly	56%
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?	Poly	21%
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?	Poly	6%
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10?	Poly	5%
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 9?	Poly	5%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

96%

Top Probability

$496.15K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for t

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?
**Category:** Tech | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Dec 31, 2026 (118 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.

A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.

The primary resolution source for t

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An a"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $496.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $62.3K
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 7.96)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 15, 2026): Vol $8.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 30, 2026): Vol $11.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 9?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 9, 2026): Vol $2.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.2% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 10, 2026): Vol $20.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.8% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 56.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 43.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $452.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 95.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.3% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETTech

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?

Volume$496.15K

Markets6

6 of 6

Sort:

POLYMARKET

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 95.8¢No 4.2¢

POLYMARKETTech

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

POLYMARKET

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 56.5¢No 43.5¢

POLYMARKETTech

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An ann

POLYMARKET

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 20.5¢No 79.5¢

POLYMARKETTech

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An a

POLYMARKET

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 6.0¢No 94.0¢

POLYMARKETTech

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An a

POLYMARKET

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 5.3¢No 94.8¢

POLYMARKETTech

CLOSING SOON

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An a

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Discussion

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Next Market Closes

117d 1h remaining

Dec 31, 2026 11:59 PM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

31¢

Polymarket

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

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HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/gApU7-" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?"></iframe>

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Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?

Markets (6)

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10?

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Next Market Closes

Market Insights

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Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10?

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Next Market Closes

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