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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Will Israel election happen as scheduled?

Will Israel election happen as scheduled?
Vol

PM $206.2K

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As of Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, Yes is priced at 98.3% on Polymarket.

Polymarket

  1. Yes98.3%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $206.2K

Reported volume · provider units

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Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026. For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel. This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement). Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics
Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?

Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?

K 1.99M contracts
Will Gadi Eizenkot become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 46%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 26.5%
Will Naftali Bennett become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 9.5%
+15 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Israeli Knesset election: voter turnout

Israeli Knesset election: voter turnout

K 11.4K contracts
Will at least 4,800,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?Yes 98%
Will at least 4,900,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?Yes 96.5%
Will at least 5,000,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?Yes 95.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will be Israeli defense minister after the election?

Who will be Israeli defense minister after the election?

K 6.1K contracts
Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that Naftali Bennett is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election before Oct 28, 2030?Yes 23.5%
Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that Avigdor Lieberman is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election before Oct 28, 2030?Yes 17%
Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that Israel Katz is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election before Oct 28, 2030?Yes 16.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2030 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will get Israel's first mandate to form a government?

Who will get Israel's first mandate to form a government?

K 15.5K contracts
Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that the President of Israel gives Gadi Eisenkot the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 64.5%
Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that the President of Israel gives Benjamin Netanyahu the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 35.5%
Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that the President of Israel gives Naftali Bennett the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 3%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Israeli legislative election: % of vote below threshold

Israeli legislative election: % of vote below threshold

K 2.8K contracts
Will lists below the electoral threshold combined receive at least 2% of valid votes in Israel’s October 27, 2026 Knesset election?Yes 94.5%
Will lists below the electoral threshold combined receive at least 3% of valid votes in Israel’s October 27, 2026 Knesset election?Yes 88.5%
Will lists below the electoral threshold combined receive at least 4% of valid votes in Israel’s October 27, 2026 Knesset election?Yes 79%
+6 moreNext deadline Feb 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

K 13.9K contracts
Will Likud finish 2nd in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election?Yes 67.5%
Will Yashar finish 2nd in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election?Yes 28%
Will Together finish 2nd in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election?Yes 4.5%
+20 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2027 UTC

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