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Events
GroupKALSHI

New Zealand rate decision in December

New Zealand rate decision in December
Vol

K 6.2K contracts

|
Events

1

|
Markets

5

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Hike 1-25bps at 69.5%.

Kalshi

  1. Hike 1-25bps69.5%
  2. Maintain current rate24.5%
  3. Hike more than 25bps4.5%
  4. Cut more than 25bps1.5%
  5. Cut 1-25bps1.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 6.2K contracts

Reported volume · provider units

5

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

About This Event

Dec 8, 2026 meeting If the Reserve Bank of New Zealand takes the action of X more than 25bps at its December Monetary Policy Review meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "Maintain current rate" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. This market will close and expire early if the central bank announces its decision.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketKalshiWorld
Bank of Japan rate decision in December

Bank of Japan rate decision in December

PM $394.9K · K 66.6K contracts

No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Bank of Japan Maintain current rate at the December 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes >99.9%Rules differK Yes 17%

No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Bank of Japan Maintain current rate at the October 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes >99.9%Rules differK Yes 99%

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Bank of Japan Hike 25bps at the December 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 78.5%Rules differK Yes 74.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

11 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
Bank of Canada Decision in December?

Bank of Canada Decision in December?

PM $81.0K · K 48.5K contracts

Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement?

Kalshi: Will Bank of Canada maintain the current rate at their December 2026 meeting?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 70.5%Rules differK Yes 70.5%

Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?

Kalshi: Will Bank of Canada hike rates by 25bps at their December 2026 meeting?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 28.5%Rules differK Yes 30%

Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?

Kalshi: Will Bank of Canada cut rates by 25bps at their December 2026 meeting?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 0.3%Rules differK Yes 0.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Dec 9, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
Swiss National Bank rate decision in December

Swiss National Bank rate decision in December

PM $69.3K · K 31.6K contracts

Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Swiss National Bank maintain the current rate at the December monetary policy assessment?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 86.8%Rules differK Yes 85.5%

Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Swiss National Bank hike 1-25bps at the December monetary policy assessment?

Related contracts

PM Yes 8.8%Rules differK Yes 12.5%

Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Swiss National Bank hike more than 25bps at the December monetary policy assessment?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.1%Rules differK Yes 3%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Dec 10, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
Reserve Bank of India rate decision in December

Reserve Bank of India rate decision in December

PM $18.4K · K 17.4K contracts

Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Reserve Bank of India hike 1-25bps at the December Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 73%Rules differK Yes 73.5%

Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the December meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Reserve Bank of India maintain the current rate at the December Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 14.5%Rules differK Yes 18%

Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Reserve Bank of India hike more than 25bps at the December Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 8.5%Rules differK Yes 7%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Dec 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiWorld
Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in November

Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in November

PM $272.2K · K 64.8K contracts

Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Reserve Bank of Australia hike 1-25bps at the November Monetary Policy Board meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 21%Rules differK Yes 85.5%

No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Reserve Bank of Australia maintain the current rate at the November Monetary Policy Board meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 77%Rules differK Yes 13.5%

No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Reserve Bank of Australia maintain the current rate at the November Monetary Policy Board meeting?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 13.6%Rules differK Yes 13.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

6 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
December 2026 Fed Combo · Rate and Dissents

December 2026 Fed Combo · Rate and Dissents

K 30.4K contracts
Will the Federal Funds Rate Decision be 25bp hike AND dissents be 0 for Dec 2026?Yes 51.5%
Will the Federal Funds Rate Decision be 25bp hike AND dissents be >0 for Dec 2026?Yes 26.5%
Will the Federal Funds Rate Decision be no change AND dissents be >0 for Dec 2026?Yes 12%
+3 moreNext deadline Dec 16, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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