Market snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Next Venezuelan Presidential Election Winner

Reported volume

PM $12.4K

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Markets

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Next Venezuelan Presidential Election Winner

Vol

PM $12.4K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Current odds

Snapshot from Oct 28, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

As of Oct 28, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is María Corina Machado at 43%.

Polymarket

María Corina Machado43%
Delcy Rodríguez24%
Edmundo González13%
Henrique Capriles6.8%
Marco Rubio5.2%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

10 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will María Corina Machado win the next Venezuelan presidential election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Will María Corina Machado win the next Venezuelan presidential election?	Poly	43.0%
Will Delcy Rodríguez win the next Venezuelan presidential election?	Poly	24.0%
Will Edmundo González win the next Venezuelan presidential election?	Poly	13.0%
Will Henrique Capriles win the next Venezuelan presidential election?	Poly	6.8%
Will Marco Rubio win the next Venezuelan presidential election?	Poly	5.2%
Will Diosdado Cabello win the next Venezuelan presidential election?	Poly	3.0%
Will Manuel Rosales win the next Venezuelan presidential election?	Poly	1.6%
Will Nicolás Maduro win the next Venezuelan presidential election?	Poly	1.1%
Will Donald Trump win the next Venezuelan presidential election?	Poly	1.0%
Will Jorge Rodríguez win the next Venezuelan presidential election?	Poly	1.0%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

Needs review: no direct pair assessment is available.

A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $12.4K

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Venezuelan presidential election to take place by December 31, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. Any appointment or selection of a president not made through a popular election does not qualify as a presidential election. If no Venezuelan presidential election takes place by December 31, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. If a Venezuelan presidential election takes place, but no winner is officially declared by 11:59 PM ET on the 365th calendar day following the date of the election, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the winner of the election as officially declared by the National Electoral Council of Venezuela, or a successor Venezuelan electoral authority.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Next Venezuelan Presidential Election Winner
Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): PM $12.4K
Coverage: 10 of 10 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will Nicolás Maduro win the next Venezuelan presidential election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6280837; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-nicolas-maduro-win-the-next-venezuelan-presidential-election
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2030, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $627.51
Outcome Yes: 1.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Venezuelan presidential election to take place by December 31, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.

Any appointment or selection of a president not made through a popular election does not qualify as a presidential election.

If no Venezuelan presidential election takes place by December 31, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. If a Venezuelan presidential election takes place, but no winner is officially declared by 11:59 PM ET on the 365th calendar day following the date of the election, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the winner of the election as officially declared by the National Electoral Council of Venezuela, or a successor Venezuelan electoral authority.

Contract: Will María Corina Machado win the next Venezuelan presidential election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6280838; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-maria-corina-machado-win-the-next-venezuelan-presidential-election
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2030, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $6.3K
Outcome Yes: 43.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 57.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Venezuelan presidential election to take place by December 31, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.

Any appointment or selection of a president not made through a popular election does not qualify as a presidential election.

If no Venezuelan presidential election takes place by December 31, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. If a Venezuelan presidential election takes place, but no winner is officially declared by 11:59 PM ET on the 365th calendar day following the date of the election, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the winner of the election as officially declared by the National Electoral Council of Venezuela, or a successor Venezuelan electoral authority.

Contract: Will Delcy Rodríguez win the next Venezuelan presidential election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6280839; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-delcy-rodriguez-win-the-next-venezuelan-presidential-election
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2030, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $876.96
Outcome Yes: 24.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 76.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Venezuelan presidential election to take place by December 31, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.

Any appointment or selection of a president not made through a popular election does not qualify as a presidential election.

If no Venezuelan presidential election takes place by December 31, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. If a Venezuelan presidential election takes place, but no winner is officially declared by 11:59 PM ET on the 365th calendar day following the date of the election, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the winner of the election as officially declared by the National Electoral Council of Venezuela, or a successor Venezuelan electoral authority.

Contract: Will Edmundo González win the next Venezuelan presidential election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6280840; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-edmundo-gonzalez-win-the-next-venezuelan-presidential-election
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2030, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $2.3K
Outcome Yes: 13.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 87.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Venezuelan presidential election to take place by December 31, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.

Any appointment or selection of a president not made through a popular election does not qualify as a presidential election.

If no Venezuelan presidential election takes place by December 31, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. If a Venezuelan presidential election takes place, but no winner is officially declared by 11:59 PM ET on the 365th calendar day following the date of the election, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the winner of the election as officially declared by the National Electoral Council of Venezuela, or a successor Venezuelan electoral authority.

Contract: Will Marco Rubio win the next Venezuelan presidential election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6280841; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-marco-rubio-win-the-next-venezuelan-presidential-election
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2030, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $548.29
Outcome Yes: 5.2%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 94.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Venezuelan presidential election to take place by December 31, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.

Any appointment or selection of a president not made through a popular election does not qualify as a presidential election.

If no Venezuelan presidential election takes place by December 31, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. If a Venezuelan presidential election takes place, but no winner is officially declared by 11:59 PM ET on the 365th calendar day following the date of the election, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the winner of the election as officially declared by the National Electoral Council of Venezuela, or a successor Venezuelan electoral authority.

Contract: Will Donald Trump win the next Venezuelan presidential election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6280842; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-donald-trump-win-the-next-venezuelan-presidential-election
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2030, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $422.6
Outcome Yes: 1.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Venezuelan presidential election to take place by December 31, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.

Any appointment or selection of a president not made through a popular election does not qualify as a presidential election.

If no Venezuelan presidential election takes place by December 31, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. If a Venezuelan presidential election takes place, but no winner is officially declared by 11:59 PM ET on the 365th calendar day following the date of the election, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the winner of the election as officially declared by the National Electoral Council of Venezuela, or a successor Venezuelan electoral authority.

Contract: Will Diosdado Cabello win the next Venezuelan presidential election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6280843; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-diosdado-cabello-win-the-next-venezuelan-presidential-election
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2030, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $554.71
Outcome Yes: 3.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Venezuelan presidential election to take place by December 31, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.

Any appointment or selection of a president not made through a popular election does not qualify as a presidential election.

If no Venezuelan presidential election takes place by December 31, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. If a Venezuelan presidential election takes place, but no winner is officially declared by 11:59 PM ET on the 365th calendar day following the date of the election, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the winner of the election as officially declared by the National Electoral Council of Venezuela, or a successor Venezuelan electoral authority.

Contract: Will Jorge Rodríguez win the next Venezuelan presidential election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6280844; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-jorge-rodriguez-win-the-next-venezuelan-presidential-election
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2030, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $161.83
Outcome Yes: 1.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Venezuelan presidential election to take place by December 31, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.

Any appointment or selection of a president not made through a popular election does not qualify as a presidential election.

If no Venezuelan presidential election takes place by December 31, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. If a Venezuelan presidential election takes place, but no winner is officially declared by 11:59 PM ET on the 365th calendar day following the date of the election, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the winner of the election as officially declared by the National Electoral Council of Venezuela, or a successor Venezuelan electoral authority.

Contract: Will Henrique Capriles win the next Venezuelan presidential election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6280845; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-henrique-capriles-win-the-next-venezuelan-presidential-election
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2030, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $387.7
Outcome Yes: 6.8%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 93.3%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Venezuelan presidential election to take place by December 31, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.

Any appointment or selection of a president not made through a popular election does not qualify as a presidential election.

If no Venezuelan presidential election takes place by December 31, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. If a Venezuelan presidential election takes place, but no winner is officially declared by 11:59 PM ET on the 365th calendar day following the date of the election, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the winner of the election as officially declared by the National Electoral Council of Venezuela, or a successor Venezuelan electoral authority.

Contract: Will Manuel Rosales win the next Venezuelan presidential election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6280846; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-manuel-rosales-win-the-next-venezuelan-presidential-election
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2030, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $197.66
Outcome Yes: 1.6%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Venezuelan presidential election to take place by December 31, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.

Any appointment or selection of a president not made through a popular election does not qualify as a presidential election.

If no Venezuelan presidential election takes place by December 31, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. If a Venezuelan presidential election takes place, but no winner is officially declared by 11:59 PM ET on the 365th calendar day following the date of the election, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the winner of the election as officially declared by the National Electoral Council of Venezuela, or a successor Venezuelan electoral authority.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics

Next Venezuelan Presidential Election Winner

Volume$12.36K

Markets10

10 of 10

Sort:

Will María Corina Machado win the next Venezuelan presidential election?

polymarket

Will María Corina Machado win the next Venezuelan presidential election?

Yes: 43.0¢
No: 57.0¢

Will Delcy Rodríguez win the next Venezuelan presidential election?

polymarket

Will Delcy Rodríguez win the next Venezuelan presidential election?

Yes: 24.0¢
No: 76.0¢

Will Edmundo González win the next Venezuelan presidential election?

polymarket

Will Edmundo González win the next Venezuelan presidential election?

Yes: 13.0¢
No: 87.0¢

Will Henrique Capriles win the next Venezuelan presidential election?

polymarket

Will Henrique Capriles win the next Venezuelan presidential election?

Yes: 6.8¢
No: 93.3¢

Will Marco Rubio win the next Venezuelan presidential election?

polymarket

Will Marco Rubio win the next Venezuelan presidential election?

Yes: 5.2¢
No: 94.8¢

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

PM $159.40M · K 1.46M contracts

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

Kalshi: Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

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Kalshi: Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Same question, fine print differs

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Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Kalshi: Will Marine Le Pen appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Related contracts

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Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

247 saved comparisonsNext deadline Apr 17, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

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PM $720.64M · K 77.44M contracts

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Kalshi: Who will win the next presidential election? (J.D. Vance)

Same question, fine print differs

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Kalshi: Who will win the next presidential election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez)

Same question, fine print differs

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Kalshi: Who will win the next presidential election? (Gavin Newsom)

Same question, fine print differs

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Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

30 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 7, 2028 UTC

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PM $236.9K

Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election?Yes 59.5%

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+16 moreNext deadline May 2, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

PM $1.15M · K 81.4K contracts

Will Javier Milei win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Kalshi: Who will win the next Argentine presidential election? (Javier Milei)

Related contracts

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Will Javier Milei win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Kalshi: Will Javier Milei win the first round of the 2027 Argentine presidential election?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 61.5%Rules differK Yes 56.5%

Will Axel Kicillof win the Peronist nomination to contest the 2027 Argentine presidential election?

Kalshi: Will Axel Kicillof win the Justicialist Party's nomination for the 2027 Argentine presidential election?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 60.5%Rules differK Yes 53.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

40 saved comparisonsNext deadline Sep 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiPolitics

Next South Korea Presidential election winner?

K 0 contracts

Will Oh Se-hoon win the next South Korean presidential election?Yes 46.5%

Will Kim Min-seok win the next South Korean presidential election?Yes 46.5%

Will Jang Dong-hyeok win the next South Korean presidential election?Yes 46.5%

+9 moreNext deadline Mar 27, 2031 UTC

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+7 moreNext deadline Jun 29, 2028 UTC

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Jan 01, 2030, 4:59 AM UTC

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Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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Next Venezuelan Presidential Election Winner

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