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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?

Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?
Vol

PM $14.4K

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Events

1

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Markets

4

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is CBOE at 21%.

Polymarket

  1. CBOE21%
  2. ForecastEx11%
  3. ICE8%
  4. Small Exchange7%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $14.4K

Reported volume · provider units

4

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketTech
OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

PM $8.2K
Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by December 31, 2026?Yes 17%
Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by October 31, 2026?Yes 3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
Best LLM at the end of the decade?

Best LLM at the end of the decade?

PM $7.57M · K 17.15M contracts

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Kalshi: Best LLM at the end of the decade? (Google)

Related contracts

PM Yes 98.2%Rules differK Yes 21%

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Kalshi: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? (Gemini)

Related contracts

PM Yes 98.2%Rules differK Yes 46.5%

Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?

Kalshi: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? (Claude)

Related contracts

PM Yes 97.9%Rules differK Yes 44.3%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

82 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Elon Musk net worth on December 31, 2026

Elon Musk net worth on December 31, 2026

K 99.4K contracts
Will Elon Musk's net worth for December 31, 2026 be above $600 billion?Yes 86%
Will Elon Musk's net worth for December 31, 2026 be above $500 billion?Yes 85.5%
Will Elon Musk's net worth for December 31, 2026 be above $700 billion?Yes 80.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

PM $92.9K
Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026?Yes 93.2%
Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas, NV by December 31 2026?Yes 93%
Will Waymo launch in Detroit, MI by December 31 2026?Yes 12%
+16 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

PM $228.6K
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Yes 43%
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Yes 12%
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Yes 8%
+11 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Hamdi Streams in 2026

Hamdi Streams in 2026

K 26.6K contracts
Will Hamdi have 27500000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 80%
Will Hamdi have 30000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 62.5%
Will Hamdi have 32500000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 62%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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