7-day average ship traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on December 31?
PM $40
1
6
PM $40
1
6
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is 24+ at 52%.
Polymarket
- 24+52%
- 22+51.5%
- 26+50%
- 28+49.5%
- 32+49.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $40
Reported volume · provider units
6
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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7-day average ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz on December 31?
PM $138.99
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
PM $19.96M · K 9.43M contractsStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Kalshi: Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before January 1, 2027?
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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
Kalshi: Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before December 1, 2026?
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Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
Peak daily ship traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of November 16?
PM $0Ship traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of November 16?
PM $274.69
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/9 - 11/15)
K 127.7K contractsTraffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/16 - 11/22)
K 284 contractsMarket Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.