GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETTech

Which Mag 7 Stock Has the Biggest Single-Day Move in 2026?

Name: Which Mag 7 Stock Has the Biggest Single-Day Move in 2026?
End: 2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$39.87

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Which Mag 7 Stock Has the Biggest Single-Day Move in 2026?

Vol

$39.87

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $39.87

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $39.87

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Will Apple (AAPL) have the biggest single-day move of the Mag 7 in 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Apple (AAPL) have the biggest single-day move of the Mag 7 in 2026?	Poly	39%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) have the biggest single-day move of the Mag 7 in 2026?	Poly	39%
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) have the biggest single-day move of the Mag 7 in 2026?	Poly	39%
Will Amazon (AMZN) have the biggest single-day move of the Mag 7 in 2026?	Poly	39%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) have the biggest single-day move of the Mag 7 in 2026?	Poly	39%
Will Meta (META) have the biggest single-day move of the Mag 7 in 2026?	Poly	39%
Will Tesla (TSLA) have the biggest single-day move of the Mag 7 in 2026?	Poly	39%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

39%

Top Probability

$39.87

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the listed company whose stock records the largest single-day percentage move during calendar year 2026. Where a company has multiple publicly traded share classes, only the share class specified by the ticker in the listed group item title will be considered. For each stock, the single-day percentage move for a given trading day is calculated as the absolute value of (Close Price - Prior Close Price) ÷ Prior Close Price. The Prior Close Price for a given

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Which Mag 7 Stock Has the Biggest Single-Day Move in 2026?
**Category:** Tech | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 1, 2027 (118 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the listed company whose stock records the largest single-day percentage move during calendar year 2026.

Where a company has multiple publicly traded share classes, only the share class specified by the ticker in the listed group item title will be considered.

For each stock, the single-day percentage move for a given trading day is calculated as the absolute value of (Close Price - Prior Close Price) ÷ Prior Close Price. The Prior Close Price for a given 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the listed company whose stock records the largest single-day percentage move during calendar year 2026.

Where a company has multiple publicly traded share classes, only the share class specified by the ticker in the listed group item title will be considered.
"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $40
* **Total Liquidity:** $539
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.07)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Apple (AAPL) have the biggest single-day move of the Mag 7 in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $2
  DATA: [Yes: 38.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Microsoft (MSFT) have the biggest single-day move of the Mag 7 in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 38.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Alphabet (GOOGL) have the biggest single-day move of the Mag 7 in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $22
  DATA: [Yes: 38.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Amazon (AMZN) have the biggest single-day move of the Mag 7 in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $2
  DATA: [Yes: 38.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will NVIDIA (NVDA) have the biggest single-day move of the Mag 7 in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $2
  DATA: [Yes: 38.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Meta (META) have the biggest single-day move of the Mag 7 in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $2
  DATA: [Yes: 38.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Tesla (TSLA) have the biggest single-day move of the Mag 7 in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $2
  DATA: [Yes: 38.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETTech