Skip to main content
Market snapshot: . Prices may have changed since this snapshot.
Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?
Vol

PM $126.1K

|
Events

1

|
Markets

1

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 27, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC, Yes is priced at 6.2% on Polymarket.

Polymarket

  1. Yes6.2%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $126.1K

Reported volume · provider units

1

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the Trump administration publicly announces that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketPolitics
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?

PM $52.0K
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?Yes 24.5%
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?Yes 18.9%
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?Yes 10.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

PM $19.08M · K 10.78M contracts

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Kalshi: Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before January 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 11.5%Rules differK Yes 8.8%

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

Kalshi: Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before November 1, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.4%Rules differK Yes 0.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

PM $11.2K
Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?Yes 14%
Will 7 or more people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?Yes 13%
Will 1 person leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?Yes 7%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of October?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of October?

PM $45.0K
Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?Yes 92.5%
Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?Yes 4.8%
Will there be between 10 and 15 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?Yes 2.1%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Iran releases Trump Hormuz voicemail by...?

Iran releases Trump Hormuz voicemail by...?

PM $15.9K
Will Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 31?Yes 2.3%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Trump renames ICE to NICE by...?

Trump renames ICE to NICE by...?

PM $242.9K
Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?Yes 4.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

Trade This Market