GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Name: Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
End: 2026-07-02T21:59:01.140Z

Total Volume

$115.49K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Vol

$115.49K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $115.49K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $115.49K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

18 markets tracked

Will Denis Bećirović be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(18)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Denis Bećirović be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Poly	24%
Will Denis Zvizdić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Poly	16%
Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Poly	11%
Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Poly	7%
Will Edin Forto be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Poly	6%
Will Srđan Amidžić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Poly	4%
Will Radovan Višković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Poly	3%
Will Zoran Tegeltija be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Poly	3%
Will Zukan Helez be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Poly	3%
Will Nebojša Vukanović be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Poly	2%
Will Saša Magazinović be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Poly	2%
Will Željko Komšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Poly	1%
Will Borjana Krišto be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Poly	1%
Will Dragan Čović be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Poly	1%
Will Staša Košarac be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Poly	1%
Will Bakir Izetbegović be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Poly	1%
Will Sabina Ćudić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Poly	0%
Will Semir Efendić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

24%

Top Probability

$115.49K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina by July 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the House of Representatives of Bosnia and Herzegovina. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chairman of the Council of Ministers takes office by July 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this mar

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jul 2, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina by July 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the House of Representatives of Bosnia and Herzegovina. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Chairman of the Council of Ministers takes office by July 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this mar

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina by July 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the House of Representatives of Bosnia and Herzego"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $115.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $195.2K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.59)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Borjana Krišto be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $4.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.8% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Zoran Tegeltija be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $3.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Dragan Čović be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.8% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $33.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $34.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Nebojša Vukanović be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $4.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.7% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Denis Zvizdić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $12.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 15.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Saša Magazinović be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.8% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Edin Forto be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $484
  DATA: [Yes: 5.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.3% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Semir Efendić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $901
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Bakir Izetbegović be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $986
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Denis Bećirović be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $225
  DATA: [Yes: 23.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.1% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Zukan Helez be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Sabina Ćudić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $780
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Srđan Amidžić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $12.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.4% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Staša Košarac be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $685
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Radovan Višković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $122
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Željko Komšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.6% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics