Market snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Cape Verde Presidential Election Winner

Reported volume

PM $34.1K

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Markets

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Cape Verde Presidential Election Winner

Vol

PM $34.1K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Current odds

Snapshot from Oct 28, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

As of Oct 28, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is José Maria Neves at 86%.

Polymarket

José Maria Neves86%
Joana Rosa4.2%
Janine Lélis2.4%
Casimiro de Pina1.1%
Péricles Tavares0.4%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

7 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will José Maria Neves win the Cape Verde presidential election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will José Maria Neves win the Cape Verde presidential election?	Poly	86.0%
Will Joana Rosa win the Cape Verde presidential election?	Poly	4.2%
Will Janine Lélis win the Cape Verde presidential election?	Poly	2.4%
Will Casimiro de Pina win the Cape Verde presidential election?	Poly	1.1%
Will Péricles Tavares win the Cape Verde presidential election?	Poly	0.4%
Will Milton Paiva win the Cape Verde presidential election?	Poly	0.1%
Will Fernando Delgado win the Cape Verde presidential election?	Poly	0.1%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

Needs review: no direct pair assessment is available.

A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $34.1K

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

About This Event

Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Cape Verde Presidential Election Winner
Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): PM $34.1K
Coverage: 7 of 7 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will Joana Rosa win the Cape Verde presidential election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3513199; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-joana-rosa-win-the-cape-verde-presidential-election-1786395605037
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 16, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $3.4K
Outcome Yes: 4.2%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 95.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.

This market includes any potential second round. 

If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).

Contract: Will Janine Lélis win the Cape Verde presidential election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3513200; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-janine-lelis-win-the-cape-verde-presidential-election-1786395605038
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 16, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $3.4K
Outcome Yes: 2.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.

This market includes any potential second round. 

If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).

Contract: Will Casimiro de Pina win the Cape Verde presidential election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3513201; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-casimiro-de-pina-win-the-cape-verde-presidential-election-1786395605039
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 16, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.0K
Outcome Yes: 1.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.

This market includes any potential second round. 

If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).

Contract: Will Milton Paiva win the Cape Verde presidential election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3513202; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-milton-paiva-win-the-cape-verde-presidential-election-1786395605040
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 16, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $837.67
Outcome Yes: 0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.

This market includes any potential second round. 

If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).

Contract: Will Péricles Tavares win the Cape Verde presidential election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3513203; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-pericles-tavares-win-the-cape-verde-presidential-election-1786395605041
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 16, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.2K
Outcome Yes: 0.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.

This market includes any potential second round. 

If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).

Contract: Will Fernando Delgado win the Cape Verde presidential election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3513204; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-fernando-delgado-win-the-cape-verde-presidential-election-1786395605042
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 16, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $687.52
Outcome Yes: 0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.

This market includes any potential second round. 

If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).

Contract: Will José Maria Neves win the Cape Verde presidential election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3513205; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-jose-maria-neves-win-the-cape-verde-presidential-election-1786395605043
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 16, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $23.6K
Outcome Yes: 86.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 14.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.

This market includes any potential second round. 

If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics

Cape Verde Presidential Election Winner

Volume$34.09K

Markets7

7 of 7

Sort:

Will José Maria Neves win the Cape Verde presidential election?

polymarket

Will José Maria Neves win the Cape Verde presidential election?

Yes: 86.0¢
No: 14.0¢

Will Joana Rosa win the Cape Verde presidential election?

polymarket

Will Joana Rosa win the Cape Verde presidential election?

Yes: 4.2¢
No: 95.8¢

Will Janine Lélis win the Cape Verde presidential election?

polymarket

Will Janine Lélis win the Cape Verde presidential election?

Yes: 2.4¢
No: 97.6¢

Will Casimiro de Pina win the Cape Verde presidential election?

polymarket

Will Casimiro de Pina win the Cape Verde presidential election?

Yes: 1.1¢
No: 98.9¢

Will Péricles Tavares win the Cape Verde presidential election?

polymarket

Will Péricles Tavares win the Cape Verde presidential election?

Yes: 0.4¢
No: 99.6¢

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

Kalshi: Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

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PM Yes 11.5%Rules differK Yes 96.5%

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Kalshi: Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Same question, fine print differs

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Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Kalshi: Will Marine Le Pen appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 43%Rules differK Yes 95%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

247 saved comparisonsNext deadline Apr 17, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

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PM $720.68M · K 77.49M contracts

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Kalshi: Who will win the next presidential election? (J.D. Vance)

Same question, fine print differs

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Kalshi: Who will win the next presidential election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez)

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Kalshi: Who will win the next presidential election? (Gavin Newsom)

Same question, fine print differs

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Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

30 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 7, 2028 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

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Will Javier Milei win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Kalshi: Who will win the next Argentine presidential election? (Javier Milei)

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Will Javier Milei win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Kalshi: Will Javier Milei win the first round of the 2027 Argentine presidential election?

Same question, fine print differs

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Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Kalshi: Will Javier Milei win the first round of the 2027 Argentine presidential election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 46.5%Rules differK Yes 56%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

41 saved comparisonsNext deadline Sep 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiPolitics

2028 Presidential race: exact outcome

K 140.8K contracts

Will JD Vance defeat Gavin Newsom in the 2028 presidential election, with Gavin Newsom as the Democratic nominee and JD Vance as the Republican nominee?Yes 10%

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez defeat JD Vance in the 2028 presidential election, with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez as the Democratic nominee and JD Vance as the Republican nominee?Yes 9.5%

Will Jon Ossoff defeat JD Vance in the 2028 presidential election, with Jon Ossoff as the Democratic nominee and JD Vance as the Republican nominee?Yes 7.5%

+29 moreNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC

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Nov 16, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

Same-question pairs

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Cape Verde Presidential Election Winner

Cape Verde Presidential Election Winner

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