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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCrypto

Neutrl FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Name: Neutrl FDV above ___ one day after launch?
End: 2028-01-01T05:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$226.45

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Neutrl FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Vol

$226.45

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $226.45

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $226.45

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Neutrl FDV above $20M one day after launch?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Neutrl FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Poly	66%
Neutrl FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Poly	49%
Neutrl FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Poly	48%
Neutrl FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Poly	48%
Neutrl FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Poly	40%
Neutrl FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Poly	25%
Neutrl FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Poly	20%
Neutrl FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Poly	19%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

66%

Top Probability

$226.45

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Neutrl's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for thi

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, August 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Neutrl FDV above ___ one day after launch?
**Category:** Crypto | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 1, 2028 (506 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Neutrl's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.

The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for thi

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Neutrl's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.

T"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $226
* **Total Liquidity:** $1.8K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.13)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Neutrl FDV above $20M one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 65.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 34.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Neutrl FDV above $50M one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $19
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Neutrl FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Neutrl FDV above $200M one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 40.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Neutrl FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Neutrl FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Neutrl FDV above $700M one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 24.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Neutrl FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $207
  DATA: [Yes: 19.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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