This event has ended. Showing historical data.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Will Comey insult Trump by Friday?

Name: Will Comey insult Trump by Friday?
End: 2026-05-01T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$35.41K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Will Comey insult Trump by Friday?

Vol

$35.41K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $35.41K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $35.41K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Will Comey insult Trump by Friday?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Comey insult Trump by Friday?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

Top Probability

$35.41K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Comey makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Donald Trump personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and May 1, 11:59 PM ET (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will Comey insult Trump by Friday?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 1, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Comey makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Donald Trump personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and May 1, 11:59 PM ET (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Comey makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Donald Trump personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and May 1, 11:59 PM ET (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

This includes "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $35.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $160
* **Activity Level:** Very High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 221.37)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Comey insult Trump by Friday?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $35.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics