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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Will Argentina dollarize by...?

Will Argentina dollarize by...?
Vol

PM $49.6K

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Events

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Markets

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Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 27, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is December 31, 2026 at 2.5%.

Polymarket

  1. December 31, 20262.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $49.6K

Reported volume · provider units

1

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun. Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

PM $1.15M · K 81.3K contracts

Will Javier Milei win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Kalshi: Who will win the next Argentine presidential election? (Javier Milei)

Related contracts

PM Yes 61.5%Rules differK Yes 52.5%

Will Javier Milei win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Kalshi: Will Javier Milei win the first round of the 2027 Argentine presidential election?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 61.5%Rules differK Yes 56.5%

Will Axel Kicillof win the Peronist nomination to contest the 2027 Argentine presidential election?

Kalshi: Will Axel Kicillof win the Justicialist Party's nomination for the 2027 Argentine presidential election?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 61%Rules differK Yes 53%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

40 saved comparisonsNext deadline Sep 1, 2027 UTC
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Will Christopher Luxon leave Prime Minister of New Zealand before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 44.5%
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+32 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
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U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?Yes 14%
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+14 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?

What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?

K 230.5K contracts
Will Pope Leo XIV visit Uruguay before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 97.5%
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+9 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?

Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?

PM $167.7K
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?Yes 3.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?

UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?

PM $28.9K
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?Yes 3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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