GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Jobs numbers in Aug 2026?

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Jobs numbers in Aug 2026?

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

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13 markets tracked

Will above -25000 jobs be added in August 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(13)

Market	Platform	Price
Will above -25000 jobs be added in August 2026?	Kalshi	93%
Will above 0 jobs be added in August 2026?	Kalshi	90%
Will above 10000 jobs be added in August 2026?	Kalshi	87%
Will above 20000 jobs be added in August 2026?	Kalshi	84%
Will above 30000 jobs be added in August 2026?	Kalshi	80%
Will above 40000 jobs be added in August 2026?	Kalshi	76%
Will above 50000 jobs be added in August 2026?	Kalshi	71%
Will above 60000 jobs be added in August 2026?	Kalshi	65%
Will above 70000 jobs be added in August 2026?	Kalshi	58%
Will above 80000 jobs be added in August 2026?	Kalshi	54%
Will above 100000 jobs be added in August 2026?	Kalshi	50%
Will above 90000 jobs be added in August 2026?	Kalshi	49%
Will above 125000 jobs be added in August 2026?	Kalshi	37%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

93%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

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About This Event

In Aug 2026 If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above X as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market closes at 8:29 AM ET on the expected date of the data release.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Jobs numbers in Aug 2026?
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** In Aug 2026

If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above X as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market closes at 8:29 AM ET on the expected date of the data release.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 90000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market closes at 8:29 AM ET on the expected date of the data relea"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will above 90000 jobs be added in August 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will above 80000 jobs be added in August 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 53.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will above 70000 jobs be added in August 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 58.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 42.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will above 60000 jobs be added in August 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 65.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 35.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will above 50000 jobs be added in August 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 71.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 29.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will above 40000 jobs be added in August 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 76.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 24.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will above 30000 jobs be added in August 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 80.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 20.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will above -25000 jobs be added in August 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 93.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 7.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will above 20000 jobs be added in August 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 84.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 16.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will above 125000 jobs be added in August 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 37.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will above 100000 jobs be added in August 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will above 10000 jobs be added in August 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 87.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 13.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will above 0 jobs be added in August 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 89.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 10.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

Jobs numbers in Aug 2026?

Volume$0.00

Markets13

13 of 13

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KALSHI

Will above -25000 jobs be added in August 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 93.0¢No 7.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will above -25000 jobs be added in August 2026?

If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above -25000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market closes at 8:29 AM ET on the expected date of the data rele

KALSHI

Will above 0 jobs be added in August 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 89.5¢No 10.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will above 0 jobs be added in August 2026?

If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 0 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market closes at 8:29 AM ET on the expected date of the data release.

KALSHI

Will above 10000 jobs be added in August 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 87.0¢No 13.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will above 10000 jobs be added in August 2026?

If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 10000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market closes at 8:29 AM ET on the expected date of the data relea

KALSHI

Will above 20000 jobs be added in August 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 84.0¢No 16.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will above 20000 jobs be added in August 2026?

If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 20000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market closes at 8:29 AM ET on the expected date of the data relea

KALSHI

Will above 30000 jobs be added in August 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 80.0¢No 20.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will above 30000 jobs be added in August 2026?

If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 30000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market closes at 8:29 AM ET on the expected date of the data relea

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69¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/qkHu8X" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Jobs numbers in Aug 2026?"></iframe>

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Will above -25000 jobs be added in August 2026?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Jobs numbers in Aug 2026?

Markets (13)

Will above -25000 jobs be added in August 2026?

Will above -25000 jobs be added in August 2026?

Will above 0 jobs be added in August 2026?

Will above 0 jobs be added in August 2026?

Will above 10000 jobs be added in August 2026?

Will above 10000 jobs be added in August 2026?

Will above 20000 jobs be added in August 2026?

Will above 20000 jobs be added in August 2026?

Will above 30000 jobs be added in August 2026?

Will above 30000 jobs be added in August 2026?

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Will above -25000 jobs be added in August 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Jobs numbers in Aug 2026?

Will above -25000 jobs be added in August 2026?

Will above -25000 jobs be added in August 2026?

Will above 0 jobs be added in August 2026?

Will above 0 jobs be added in August 2026?

Will above 10000 jobs be added in August 2026?

Will above 10000 jobs be added in August 2026?

Will above 20000 jobs be added in August 2026?

Will above 20000 jobs be added in August 2026?

Will above 30000 jobs be added in August 2026?

Will above 30000 jobs be added in August 2026?

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