Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026

Total Volume

$152.26K

Events

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Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026

Vol

$152.26K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $152.26K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $152.26K

100%

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7 markets tracked

Will Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 447,500 jobs?

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Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 447,500 jobs?	Kalshi	97%
Will Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 450,000 jobs?	Kalshi	95%
Will Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 452,500 jobs?	Kalshi	92%
Will Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 455,000 jobs?	Kalshi	64%
Will Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 457,500 jobs?	Kalshi	42%
Will Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 460,000 jobs?	Kalshi	13%
Will Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 462,500 jobs?	Kalshi	6%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

97%

Top Probability

$152.26K

Volume

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About This Event

2026 If the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 is above X jobs, then the market resolves to Yes. The underlying is the Wisconsin Manufacturing figure in BLS's Annual Average Table 1: Employees on nonfarm payrolls in states and selected areas by major industry, measured in thousands of jobs. Relevant BLS monthly series: SMS55000003000000001 — Wisconsin Manufacturing, All Employees. The officially published annual-average figu

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026

If the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 is above X jobs, then the market resolves to Yes. The underlying is the Wisconsin Manufacturing figure in BLS's Annual Average Table 1: Employees on nonfarm payrolls in states and selected areas by major industry, measured in thousands of jobs. Relevant BLS monthly series: SMS55000003000000001 — Wisconsin Manufacturing, All Employees. The officially published annual-average figu

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 is above 462,500 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The underlying is the Wisconsin Manufacturing figure in BLS's Annual Average Table 1: Employees on nonfarm payroll"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $152.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 462,500 jobs?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2027): Vol $34.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 447,500 jobs?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2027): Vol $40.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 96.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 450,000 jobs?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2027): Vol $7.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 94.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 460,000 jobs?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2027): Vol $29.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 457,500 jobs?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2027): Vol $14.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 41.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 455,000 jobs?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2027): Vol $16.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 63.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 36.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 452,500 jobs?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2027): Vol $10.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 91.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 8.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026

Volume$152.26K

Markets7

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KALSHI

Will Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 447,500 jobs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.5¢No 3.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 447,500 jobs?

If the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 is above 447,500 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The underlying is the Wisconsin Manufacturing figure in BLS's Annual Average Table 1: Employees on nonfarm payroll

KALSHI

Will Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 450,000 jobs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 94.5¢No 5.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 450,000 jobs?

If the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 is above 450,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The underlying is the Wisconsin Manufacturing figure in BLS's Annual Average Table 1: Employees on nonfarm payroll

KALSHI

Will Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 452,500 jobs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 91.5¢No 8.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 452,500 jobs?

If the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 is above 452,500 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The underlying is the Wisconsin Manufacturing figure in BLS's Annual Average Table 1: Employees on nonfarm payroll

KALSHI

Will Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 455,000 jobs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 63.5¢No 36.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 455,000 jobs?

If the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 is above 455,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The underlying is the Wisconsin Manufacturing figure in BLS's Annual Average Table 1: Employees on nonfarm payroll

KALSHI

Will Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 457,500 jobs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 41.5¢No 58.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 457,500 jobs?

If the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 is above 457,500 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The underlying is the Wisconsin Manufacturing figure in BLS's Annual Average Table 1: Employees on nonfarm payroll

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/55FiIV" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026"></iframe>

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Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026

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Will Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 447,500 jobs?

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Events (1)

Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026

Markets (7)

Will Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 447,500 jobs?

Will Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 447,500 jobs?

Will Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 450,000 jobs?

Will Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 450,000 jobs?

Will Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 452,500 jobs?

Will Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 452,500 jobs?

Will Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 455,000 jobs?

Will Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 455,000 jobs?

Will Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 457,500 jobs?

Will Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 457,500 jobs?

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Will Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 447,500 jobs?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026

Will Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 447,500 jobs?

Will Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 447,500 jobs?

Will Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 450,000 jobs?

Will Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 450,000 jobs?

Will Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 452,500 jobs?

Will Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 452,500 jobs?

Will Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 455,000 jobs?

Will Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 455,000 jobs?

Will Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 457,500 jobs?

Will Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 457,500 jobs?

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