GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

California Governor primary: exact place

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California Governor primary: exact place

Vol

$0.00

Events

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

48 markets tracked

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Becerra, Hilton, Steyer, Bianco, Porter, Mahan)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(48)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Becerra, Hilton, Steyer, Bianco, Porter, Mahan)	Kalshi	100%
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Becerra, Hilton, Bianco, Steyer, Mahan, Porter)	Kalshi	1%
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Hilton, Becerra, Steyer, Bianco, Mahan, Porter)	Kalshi	1%
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Steyer, Hilton, Becerra, Bianco, Porter, Mahan)	Kalshi	0%
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Hilton, Steyer, Becerra, Bianco, Porter, Mahan)	Kalshi	0%
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Hilton, Becerra, Steyer, Bianco, Porter, Mahan)	Kalshi	0%
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Becerra, Steyer, Hilton, Mahan, Bianco, Porter)	Kalshi	0%
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Becerra, Steyer, Hilton, Bianco, Porter, Mahan)	Kalshi	0%
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Becerra, Steyer, Bianco, Hilton, Porter, Mahan)	Kalshi	0%
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Steyer, Becerra, Hilton, Bianco, Mahan, Porter)	Kalshi	0%
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Hilton, Steyer, Becerra, Bianco, Mahan, Porter)	Kalshi	0%
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Becerra, Steyer, Bianco, Hilton, Mahan, Porter)	Kalshi	0%
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Becerra, Hilton, Bianco, Steyer, Porter, Mahan)	Kalshi	0%
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Steyer, Becerra, Bianco, Hilton, Porter, Mahan)	Kalshi	0%
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Becerra, Bianco, Hilton, Steyer, Porter, Mahan)	Kalshi	0%
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Hilton, Steyer, Becerra, Porter, Bianco, Mahan)	Kalshi	0%
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Hilton, Becerra, Steyer, Porter, Bianco, Mahan)	Kalshi	0%
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Becerra, Hilton, Steyer, Porter, Bianco, Mahan)	Kalshi	0%
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Becerra, Bianco, Steyer, Hilton, Porter, Mahan)	Kalshi	0%
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Steyer, Becerra, Bianco, Hilton, Mahan, Porter)	Kalshi	0%
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Steyer, Hilton, Bianco, Becerra, Porter, Mahan)	Kalshi	0%
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Steyer, Hilton, Bianco, Becerra, Mahan, Porter)	Kalshi	0%
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Steyer, Hilton, Becerra, Porter, Bianco, Mahan)	Kalshi	0%
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Steyer, Hilton, Becerra, Mahan, Bianco, Porter)	Kalshi	0%
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Steyer, Hilton, Becerra, Bianco, Mahan, Porter)	Kalshi	0%
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Steyer, Bianco, Hilton, Becerra, Porter, Mahan)	Kalshi	0%
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Steyer, Bianco, Hilton, Becerra, Mahan, Porter)	Kalshi	0%
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Steyer, Bianco, Becerra, Hilton, Porter, Mahan)	Kalshi	0%
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Steyer, Bianco, Becerra, Hilton, Mahan, Porter)	Kalshi	0%
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Steyer, Becerra, Hilton, Porter, Bianco, Mahan)	Kalshi	0%
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Steyer, Becerra, Hilton, Mahan, Bianco, Porter)	Kalshi	0%
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Steyer, Becerra, Hilton, Bianco, Porter, Mahan)	Kalshi	0%
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Hilton, Steyer, Bianco, Becerra, Porter, Mahan)	Kalshi	0%
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Hilton, Steyer, Bianco, Becerra, Mahan, Porter)	Kalshi	0%
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Hilton, Steyer, Becerra, Mahan, Bianco, Porter)	Kalshi	0%
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Hilton, Bianco, Steyer, Becerra, Porter, Mahan)	Kalshi	0%
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Hilton, Bianco, Steyer, Becerra, Mahan, Porter)	Kalshi	0%
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Hilton, Bianco, Becerra, Steyer, Porter, Mahan)	Kalshi	0%
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Hilton, Bianco, Becerra, Steyer, Mahan, Porter)	Kalshi	0%
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Hilton, Becerra, Steyer, Mahan, Bianco, Porter)	Kalshi	0%
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Hilton, Becerra, Bianco, Steyer, Porter, Mahan)	Kalshi	0%
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Hilton, Becerra, Bianco, Steyer, Mahan, Porter)	Kalshi	0%
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Becerra, Steyer, Hilton, Porter, Bianco, Mahan)	Kalshi	0%
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Becerra, Steyer, Hilton, Bianco, Mahan, Porter)	Kalshi	0%
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Becerra, Hilton, Steyer, Mahan, Bianco, Porter)	Kalshi	0%
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Becerra, Hilton, Steyer, Bianco, Mahan, Porter)	Kalshi	0%
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Becerra, Bianco, Steyer, Hilton, Mahan, Porter)	Kalshi	0%
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Becerra, Bianco, Hilton, Steyer, Mahan, Porter)	Kalshi	0%

AI Analysis

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About This Event

Exact place If the exact result in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary is Tom Steyer, 1st, Steve Hilton, 2nd, Chad Bianco, 3rd, Xavier Becerra, 4th, X 5th, X 6th, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if any component becomes impossible to occur, resolving to No, or all components have been satisfied, resolving to Yes. This market will close and expire early if any component becomes impossible to occur, resolving to No, or all comp

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** California Governor primary: exact place
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Exact place

If the exact result in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary is Tom Steyer, 1st, Steve Hilton, 2nd, Chad Bianco, 3rd, Xavier Becerra, 4th, X 5th, X 6th, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if any component becomes impossible to occur, resolving to No, or all components have been satisfied, resolving to Yes. This market will close and expire early if any component becomes impossible to occur, resolving to No, or all comp

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the exact result in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary is Tom Steyer (1st), Steve Hilton (2nd), Chad Bianco (3rd), Xavier Becerra (4th), Katie Porter (5th), Matt Mahan (6th), then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if any component be"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Steyer, Hilton, Bianco, Becerra, Porter, Mahan)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Steyer, Hilton, Bianco, Becerra, Mahan, Porter)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Steyer, Hilton, Becerra, Porter, Bianco, Mahan)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Steyer, Hilton, Becerra, Mahan, Bianco, Porter)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Steyer, Hilton, Becerra, Bianco, Porter, Mahan)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Steyer, Hilton, Becerra, Bianco, Mahan, Porter)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Steyer, Bianco, Hilton, Becerra, Porter, Mahan)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Steyer, Bianco, Hilton, Becerra, Mahan, Porter)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Steyer, Bianco, Becerra, Hilton, Porter, Mahan)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Steyer, Bianco, Becerra, Hilton, Mahan, Porter)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Steyer, Becerra, Hilton, Porter, Bianco, Mahan)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Steyer, Becerra, Hilton, Mahan, Bianco, Porter)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Steyer, Becerra, Hilton, Bianco, Porter, Mahan)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Steyer, Becerra, Hilton, Bianco, Mahan, Porter)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Steyer, Becerra, Bianco, Hilton, Porter, Mahan)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Steyer, Becerra, Bianco, Hilton, Mahan, Porter)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Hilton, Steyer, Bianco, Becerra, Porter, Mahan)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Hilton, Steyer, Bianco, Becerra, Mahan, Porter)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Hilton, Steyer, Becerra, Porter, Bianco, Mahan)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Hilton, Steyer, Becerra, Mahan, Bianco, Porter)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Hilton, Steyer, Becerra, Bianco, Porter, Mahan)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Hilton, Steyer, Becerra, Bianco, Mahan, Porter)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Hilton, Bianco, Steyer, Becerra, Porter, Mahan)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Hilton, Bianco, Steyer, Becerra, Mahan, Porter)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Hilton, Bianco, Becerra, Steyer, Porter, Mahan)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Hilton, Bianco, Becerra, Steyer, Mahan, Porter)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Hilton, Becerra, Steyer, Porter, Bianco, Mahan)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Hilton, Becerra, Steyer, Mahan, Bianco, Porter)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Hilton, Becerra, Steyer, Bianco, Porter, Mahan)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Hilton, Becerra, Steyer, Bianco, Mahan, Porter)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 31. Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Hilton, Becerra, Bianco, Steyer, Porter, Mahan)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 32. Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Hilton, Becerra, Bianco, Steyer, Mahan, Porter)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 33. Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Becerra, Steyer, Hilton, Porter, Bianco, Mahan)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 34. Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Becerra, Steyer, Hilton, Mahan, Bianco, Porter)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 35. Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Becerra, Steyer, Hilton, Bianco, Porter, Mahan)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 36. Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Becerra, Steyer, Hilton, Bianco, Mahan, Porter)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 37. Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Becerra, Steyer, Bianco, Hilton, Porter, Mahan)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 38. Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Becerra, Steyer, Bianco, Hilton, Mahan, Porter)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 39. Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Becerra, Hilton, Steyer, Porter, Bianco, Mahan)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 40. Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Becerra, Hilton, Steyer, Mahan, Bianco, Porter)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 41. Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Becerra, Hilton, Steyer, Bianco, Porter, Mahan)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.4% (0.0%)]

### 42. Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Becerra, Hilton, Steyer, Bianco, Mahan, Porter)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 43. Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Becerra, Hilton, Bianco, Steyer, Porter, Mahan)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 44. Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Becerra, Hilton, Bianco, Steyer, Mahan, Porter)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

### 45. Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Becerra, Bianco, Steyer, Hilton, Porter, Mahan)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 46. Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Becerra, Bianco, Steyer, Hilton, Mahan, Porter)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 47. Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Becerra, Bianco, Hilton, Steyer, Porter, Mahan)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 48. Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Becerra, Bianco, Hilton, Steyer, Mahan, Porter)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

California Governor primary: exact place

Volume$0.00

Markets48

48 of 48

Sort:

KALSHI

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Becerra, Hilton, Steyer, Bianco, Porter, Mahan)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.6¢No 0.4¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Becerra, Hilton, Steyer, Bianco, Porter, Mahan)

If the exact result in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary is Xavier Becerra (1st), Steve Hilton (2nd), Tom Steyer (3rd), Chad Bianco (4th), Katie Porter (5th), Matt Mahan (6th), then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if any component be

KALSHI

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Becerra, Hilton, Bianco, Steyer, Mahan, Porter)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.9¢No 99.1¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Becerra, Hilton, Bianco, Steyer, Mahan, Porter)

If the exact result in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary is Xavier Becerra (1st), Steve Hilton (2nd), Chad Bianco (3rd), Tom Steyer (4th), Matt Mahan (5th), Katie Porter (6th), then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if any component be

KALSHI

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Hilton, Becerra, Steyer, Bianco, Mahan, Porter)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.7¢No 99.4¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Hilton, Becerra, Steyer, Bianco, Mahan, Porter)

If the exact result in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary is Steve Hilton (1st), Xavier Becerra (2nd), Tom Steyer (3rd), Chad Bianco (4th), Matt Mahan (5th), Katie Porter (6th), then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if any component be

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Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Steyer, Hilton, Becerra, Bianco, Porter, Mahan)

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KKalshi

Yes 0.4¢No 99.6¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Steyer, Hilton, Becerra, Bianco, Porter, Mahan)

If the exact result in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary is Tom Steyer (1st), Steve Hilton (2nd), Xavier Becerra (3rd), Chad Bianco (4th), Katie Porter (5th), Matt Mahan (6th), then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if any component be

KALSHI

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Hilton, Steyer, Becerra, Bianco, Porter, Mahan)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.4¢No 99.6¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Hilton, Steyer, Becerra, Bianco, Porter, Mahan)

If the exact result in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary is Steve Hilton (1st), Tom Steyer (2nd), Xavier Becerra (3rd), Chad Bianco (4th), Katie Porter (5th), Matt Mahan (6th), then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if any component be

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/quH6Y2" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="California Governor primary: exact place"></iframe>

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California Governor primary: exact place

California Governor primary: exact place

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Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Becerra, Hilton, Steyer, Bianco, Porter, Mahan)

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California Governor primary: exact place

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Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Becerra, Hilton, Steyer, Bianco, Porter, Mahan)

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Becerra, Hilton, Steyer, Bianco, Porter, Mahan)

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Becerra, Hilton, Bianco, Steyer, Mahan, Porter)

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Becerra, Hilton, Bianco, Steyer, Mahan, Porter)

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Hilton, Becerra, Steyer, Bianco, Mahan, Porter)

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Hilton, Becerra, Steyer, Bianco, Mahan, Porter)

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Steyer, Hilton, Becerra, Bianco, Porter, Mahan)

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Steyer, Hilton, Becerra, Bianco, Porter, Mahan)

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Hilton, Steyer, Becerra, Bianco, Porter, Mahan)

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Hilton, Steyer, Becerra, Bianco, Porter, Mahan)

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Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Becerra, Hilton, Steyer, Bianco, Porter, Mahan)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

California Governor primary: exact place

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Becerra, Hilton, Steyer, Bianco, Porter, Mahan)

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Becerra, Hilton, Steyer, Bianco, Porter, Mahan)

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Becerra, Hilton, Bianco, Steyer, Mahan, Porter)

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Becerra, Hilton, Bianco, Steyer, Mahan, Porter)

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Hilton, Becerra, Steyer, Bianco, Mahan, Porter)

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Hilton, Becerra, Steyer, Bianco, Mahan, Porter)

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Steyer, Hilton, Becerra, Bianco, Porter, Mahan)

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Steyer, Hilton, Becerra, Bianco, Porter, Mahan)

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Hilton, Steyer, Becerra, Bianco, Porter, Mahan)

Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary? (Hilton, Steyer, Becerra, Bianco, Porter, Mahan)

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