Market snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Baja California Governor Election Winner

Reported volume

PM $47.9K

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Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Baja California Governor Election Winner

Vol

PM $47.9K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Current odds

Snapshot from Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

As of Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Julieta Ramírez Padilla at 68.5%.

Polymarket

Julieta Ramírez Padilla68.5%
Ismael Burgueño Ruiz16.2%
Gina Cruz Blackledge0.5%
Montserrat Caballero Ramírez0.4%
Armando Ayala Robles0.3%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

21 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will Julieta Ramírez Padilla win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(21)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Julieta Ramírez Padilla win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?	Poly	68.5%
Will Ismael Burgueño Ruiz win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?	Poly	16.2%
Will Gina Cruz Blackledge win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?	Poly	0.5%
Will Montserrat Caballero Ramírez win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?	Poly	0.4%
Will Armando Ayala Robles win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?	Poly	0.3%
Will Evangelina Moreno Guerra win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?	Poly	0.3%
Will Alfredo Álvarez Cárdenas win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?	Poly	0.3%
Will Adrián Humberto Valle Ballesteros win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?	Poly	0.3%
Will Guadalupe Gutiérrez Fregoso win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?	Poly	0.3%
Will Daylín García Ruvalcaba win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?	Poly	0.3%
Will Víctor Galicia win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?	Poly	0.2%
Will Gustavo de Hoyos Walther win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?	Poly	0.2%
Will Jesús Alejandro Ruiz Uribe win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?	Poly	0.1%
Will Jorge Ramos Hernández win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?	Poly	0.1%
Will Héctor Osuna Jaime win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?	Poly	0.1%
Will Juan Carlos Hank win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?	Poly	0.1%
Will Gustavo Macalpin win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?	Poly	0.1%
Will Ana Daniela García Salgado win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?	Poly	0.1%
Will Fernando Castro Trenti win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?	Poly	<0.1%
Will Joel Anselmo Jiménez Vega win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?	Poly	<0.1%
Will Karla Ruiz Macfarland win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?	Poly	<0.1%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

Needs review: no direct pair assessment is available.

A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $47.9K

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

About This Event

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Baja California Governor Election Winner
Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): PM $47.9K
Coverage: 21 of 21 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will Julieta Ramírez Padilla win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358609; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-julieta-ramirez-padilla-win-the-2027-baja-california-governor-election-20260803173850226
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $13.3K
Outcome Yes: 68.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 31.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Ismael Burgueño Ruiz win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358610; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-ismael-burgueno-ruiz-win-the-2027-baja-california-governor-election-20260803173850227
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $14.4K
Outcome Yes: 16.2%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 83.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Armando Ayala Robles win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358611; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-armando-ayala-robles-win-the-2027-baja-california-governor-election-20260803173850228
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $784.86
Outcome Yes: 0.3%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Fernando Castro Trenti win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358612; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-fernando-castro-trenti-win-the-2027-baja-california-governor-election-20260803173850229
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $843
Outcome Yes: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Evangelina Moreno Guerra win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358613; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-evangelina-moreno-guerra-win-the-2027-baja-california-governor-election-20260803173850230
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $3.6K
Outcome Yes: 0.3%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Alfredo Álvarez Cárdenas win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358614; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-alfredo-alvarez-cardenas-win-the-2027-baja-california-governor-election-20260803173850231
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $791.53
Outcome Yes: 0.3%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Jesús Alejandro Ruiz Uribe win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358615; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-jesus-alejandro-ruiz-uribe-win-the-2027-baja-california-governor-election-20260803173850232
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $709.93
Outcome Yes: 0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Jorge Ramos Hernández win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358616; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-jorge-ramos-hernandez-win-the-2027-baja-california-governor-election-20260803173850233
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $614.52
Outcome Yes: 0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Joel Anselmo Jiménez Vega win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358617; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-joel-anselmo-jimenez-vega-win-the-2027-baja-california-governor-election-20260803173850234
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $897.41
Outcome Yes: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Montserrat Caballero Ramírez win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358618; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-montserrat-caballero-ramirez-win-the-2027-baja-california-governor-election-20260803173850235
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.1K
Outcome Yes: 0.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Gustavo Macalpin win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358619; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-gustavo-macalpin-win-the-2027-baja-california-governor-election-20260803173850236
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $894.3
Outcome Yes: 0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Gina Cruz Blackledge win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358620; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-gina-cruz-blackledge-win-the-2027-baja-california-governor-election-20260803173850237
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.8K
Outcome Yes: 0.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Héctor Osuna Jaime win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358621; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-hector-osuna-jaime-win-the-2027-baja-california-governor-election-20260803173850238
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $607.45
Outcome Yes: 0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Adrián Humberto Valle Ballesteros win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358622; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-adrian-humberto-valle-ballesteros-win-the-2027-baja-california-governor-election-20260803173850239
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $865.31
Outcome Yes: 0.3%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Guadalupe Gutiérrez Fregoso win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358623; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-guadalupe-gutierrez-fregoso-win-the-2027-baja-california-governor-election-20260803173850240
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.1K
Outcome Yes: 0.3%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Ana Daniela García Salgado win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358624; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-ana-daniela-garcia-salgado-win-the-2027-baja-california-governor-election-20260803173850241
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $960.48
Outcome Yes: 0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Víctor Galicia win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358625; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-victor-galicia-win-the-2027-baja-california-governor-election-20260803173850242
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $787.46
Outcome Yes: 0.2%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Gustavo de Hoyos Walther win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358626; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-gustavo-de-hoyos-walther-win-the-2027-baja-california-governor-election-20260803173850243
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.3K
Outcome Yes: 0.2%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Daylín García Ruvalcaba win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358627; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-daylin-garcia-ruvalcaba-win-the-2027-baja-california-governor-election-20260803173850244
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $830.27
Outcome Yes: 0.3%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Karla Ruiz Macfarland win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358628; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-karla-ruiz-macfarland-win-the-2027-baja-california-governor-election-20260803173850245
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $810.51
Outcome Yes: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Juan Carlos Hank win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358629; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-juan-carlos-hank-win-the-2027-baja-california-governor-election-20260803173850246
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $936.91
Outcome Yes: 0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

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No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

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POLYMARKETPolitics

Baja California Governor Election Winner

Volume$47.87K

Markets21

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Will Julieta Ramírez Padilla win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?

polymarket

Will Julieta Ramírez Padilla win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?

Yes: 68.5¢
No: 31.6¢

Will Ismael Burgueño Ruiz win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?

polymarket

Will Ismael Burgueño Ruiz win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?

Yes: 16.2¢
No: 83.8¢

Will Gina Cruz Blackledge win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?

polymarket

Will Gina Cruz Blackledge win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?

Yes: 0.5¢
No: 99.5¢

Will Montserrat Caballero Ramírez win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?

polymarket

Will Montserrat Caballero Ramírez win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?

Yes: 0.4¢
No: 99.6¢

Will Armando Ayala Robles win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?

polymarket

Will Armando Ayala Robles win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?

Yes: 0.3¢
No: 99.8¢

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketPolitics

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Kalshi: Who will win the governorship in California? (Xavier Becerra)

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 96.6%Rules differK Yes 95.8%

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Kalshi: Who will win the governorship in California? (Steve Hilton)

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 3.4%Rules differK Yes 4.3%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

KalshiPolitics

California Governor General Election: voter turnout

K 48.1K contracts

Will the total vote count for all participants in California Governor General Election be above 9500000?Yes 95.5%

Will the total vote count for all participants in California Governor General Election be above 10000000?Yes 93.5%

Will the total vote count for all participants in California Governor General Election be above 10500000?Yes 89.5%

+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

PolymarketPolitics

California Lieutenant Governor Election Winner

PM $31.8K

Will Fiona Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?Yes 96.2%

Will Janelle Kellman win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?Yes 1.3%

Will Oliver Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?Yes 1.3%

+8 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

PolymarketPolitics

California Governor Election: Turnout

PM $22.0K

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 12,500,000 and 13,000,000?Yes 32%

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 13,000,000 and 13,500,000?Yes 27%

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be 14,500,000 or more?Yes 14.3%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

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Next Market Deadline

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Jun 07, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC

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Price gaps of 2 pp+

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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Baja California Governor Election Winner

Baja California Governor Election Winner

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