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When will Trump's ballroom be completed?

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When will Trump's ballroom be completed?

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4 markets tracked

Will it be reported that the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jan 1, 2030?

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Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Will it be reported that the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jan 1, 2030?	Kalshi	81%
Will it be reported that the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jan 1, 2029?	Kalshi	48%
Will it be reported that the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jan 1, 2028?	Kalshi	4%
Will it be reported that the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	4%

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81%

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White House State Ballroom If the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jan 1, X then the market resolves to Yes. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications, from before Issuance, do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources, e.g., wire services, only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clea

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** When will Trump's ballroom be completed?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** White House State Ballroom

If the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jan 1, X then the market resolves to Yes. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications, from before Issuance, do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources, e.g., wire services, only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clea

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will it be reported that the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jan 1, 2030?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 80.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 19.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will it be reported that the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jan 1, 2029?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will it be reported that the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jan 1, 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.9% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will it be reported that the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

When will Trump's ballroom be completed?

Volume$0.00

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KALSHI

Will it be reported that the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jan 1, 2030?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 80.5¢No 19.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will it be reported that the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jan 1, 2030?

If the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do

KALSHI

Will it be reported that the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jan 1, 2029?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 48.0¢No 52.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will it be reported that the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jan 1, 2029?

If the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do

KALSHI

Will it be reported that the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jan 1, 2028?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 4.2¢No 95.9¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will it be reported that the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jan 1, 2028?

If the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do

KALSHI

Will it be reported that the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jan 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will it be reported that the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jan 1, 2027?

If the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/r5J_uP" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="When will Trump's ballroom be completed?"></iframe>

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When will Trump's ballroom be completed?

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Will it be reported that the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jan 1, 2030?

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Events (1)

When will Trump's ballroom be completed?

Markets (4)

Will it be reported that the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jan 1, 2030?

Will it be reported that the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jan 1, 2030?

Will it be reported that the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jan 1, 2029?

Will it be reported that the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jan 1, 2029?

Will it be reported that the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jan 1, 2028?

Will it be reported that the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jan 1, 2028?

Will it be reported that the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jan 1, 2027?

Will it be reported that the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jan 1, 2027?

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Will it be reported that the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jan 1, 2030?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

When will Trump's ballroom be completed?

Will it be reported that the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jan 1, 2030?

Will it be reported that the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jan 1, 2030?

Will it be reported that the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jan 1, 2029?

Will it be reported that the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jan 1, 2029?

Will it be reported that the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jan 1, 2028?

Will it be reported that the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jan 1, 2028?

Will it be reported that the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jan 1, 2027?

Will it be reported that the White House State Ballroom is completed and holds an event before Jan 1, 2027?

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