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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

2026 North Las Vegas Mayoral Election Winner

2026 North Las Vegas Mayoral Election Winner
Vol

PM $7.1K

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Events

1

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Markets

2

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Daniele Monroe-Moreno at 81%.

Polymarket

  1. Daniele Monroe-Moreno81%
  2. Scott Black15%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $7.1K

Reported volume · provider units

2

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

The 2026 North Las Vegas mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of North Las Vegas, NV. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of North Las Vegas as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Nevada, Clark County, and the City of North Las Vegas.

This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.

Snapshot observed 2026-10-15T21:00:05.939Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The market "will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of North Las Vegas as a result of this election" [1]. The source states that the election will be held on November 3, 2026 [1]. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election are not considered [1]. If the result is not known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other" [1]. The primary resolution source is "a consensus of credible reporting," and official information from the State of Nevada, Clark County, and the City of North Las Vegas governs if there is ambiguity [1].

The provider lists an end time of 2026-06-10T03:59:00.000Z [1]. That listed close falls before the stated election date. The evidence does not explain the difference, so readers should check the provider's current terms before relying on either date.

Reading the snapshot

The snapshot was observed at 2026-10-15T21:00:05.939Z and retrieved at 2026-10-15T23:21:52.970Z [1]. Both markets come from the same Polymarket event and are reported as active [1]. The Yes price for the Daniele Monroe-Moreno market is 0.81, and the Yes price for the Scott Black market is 0.13 [1]. These are separate binary contracts, so their prices should not be combined or averaged into one ranking.

The coverage record reports two markets, both included, with no partial sample [1]. The sample warning adds that including all saved markets does not establish that the provider lists every possible real-world outcome [1]. Prices here are snapshot values. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not include trading volume, liquidity, the number of traders, or any news, so it cannot explain why the prices are where they are. The evidence also does not show the election result or any later reporting. If other platforms list similar events, their wording, resolution sources, and close times may differ, so their prices should not be compared directly with these without reading each contract's rules.

References

  1. Polymarket: 2026 North Las Vegas Mayoral Election Winner. Provider data observed 2026-10-15T21:00:05.939Z.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Saved Oct 15, 2026 UTC

This saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.

Overview

This PredictPedia entry covers a Polymarket event titled 2026 North Las Vegas Mayoral Election Winner. The contract rules state that the 2026 North Las Vegas mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of North Las Vegas, Nevada [1]. The event is a set of yes or no contracts on who becomes the next mayor. The rules say the market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor as a result of this election, and that temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered [1]. The saved snapshot includes two contracts from this event. One asks whether Daniele Monroe-Moreno will win the election, and the other asks whether Scott Black will win [1]. Each contract shows a Yes price and a No price. Those prices are snapshots from the time the provider data was observed. They are not executable quotes, and they should not be read as verified probabilities of either outcome. The saved sample includes every market for this event that the provider returned, but that does not show that the providers list every possible outcome in the real-world race. The contract rules describe how the market will be settled. The primary resolution source is a consensus of credible reporting. If the results are ambiguous, the market resolves according to official information from the State of Nevada, Clark County, and the City of North Las Vegas [1]. The rules also provide that if the election result is not known by April 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other" [1]. That April 2027 date is a fallback in the contract rules. It is not an announced date for any event. The provider metadata also lists an end time of June 10, 2026, at 03:59 UTC for these markets [1]. That field is part of the listed contract data and does not match the November 3, 2026 election date in the rules. Readers should treat the rule text and the listed end time as separate pieces of information rather than assuming one explains the other.

Historical Context

The supplied background on the city describes North Las Vegas only indirectly. The sources on Las Vegas history describe the settlement of Las Vegas as founded in 1905 before a railroad opened, and the town being incorporated in 1911 as part of the newly founded Clark County [2]. These entries describe the broader Las Vegas area and do not describe the North Las Vegas mayoral office or its prior elections. A separate general source states that local elections will be held across the United States in 2026, with 22 mayorships in the country's top 100 most populous cities up for election and many races coinciding with the 2026 midterm elections [3]. That source does not identify the North Las Vegas race specifically.

Why It Matters

The contract measures which candidate becomes the next mayor of North Las Vegas as a result of the November 3, 2026 election [1]. Its value comes from the rules for how that outcome is determined. The rules define the eligible result as the candidate who wins through the election, exclude appointed interim or placeholder mayors, and rely on credible reporting with a fallback to official state, county, and city information [1]. Because the outcome depends on the election and on those resolution rules, the contract's price reflects what a market participant pays for a yes or no position in a snapshot. It is not a measure of the number of traders or of how easily a position could be bought or sold.

Snapshot context

The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-15 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]

Frequently Asked Questions

What event does this contract cover?

The 2026 North Las Vegas mayoral election is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of North Las Vegas [1]. The contracts ask which candidate will become the next mayor as a result of that election [1].

Are appointed or interim mayors counted?

No. The rules state that temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered [1].

How is the market resolved?

The primary source is a consensus of credible reporting. If the result is ambiguous, the market resolves according to official information from the State of Nevada, Clark County, and the City of North Las Vegas [1].

What happens if the result is not known by the deadline?

If the election result is not known by April 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, the rules say the market resolves to "Other" [1].

Do the prices show the chance of each candidate winning?

The prices are snapshots from the provider data at the time it was observed. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities [1].

Was this helpful?
Saved Oct 15, 2026 UTC

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

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Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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