10-year U.S. Treasury yield 15 min · 5.04845% target
K 0 contracts
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10-year U.S. Treasury yield 15 min · 5.04845% target
K 0 contracts
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Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 22, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Target yield: TBD at 52.5%.
Kalshi
- Target yield: TBD52.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Source snapshot: Oct 22, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
Oct 22 - 8:00AM EDT to 8:15AM EDT If the close yield (%) of the 1-minute Pyth candlestick for 10-year U.S. Treasury ending at 8:15 AM EDT on Oct 22, 2026 is at least the opening target yield, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the closing yield of the one-minute Pyth candlestick for 10-year U.S. Treasury ending at 8:15 AM EDT on Oct 22, 2026. The 10-year U.S. Treasury refers to the US10Y, the current on-the-run benchmark of the 10-year U.S. Treasury Note as identified on the Source Agency. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 5 decimal places. Yields are expressed as annualized percentages. The opening target and settlement yield each use the closing yield of the one-minute Pyth candlestick immediately preceding their observation time. For a 4:45–5:00 PM EDT market, the opening target uses the candle timestamped 4:44 PM, ending at 4:45 PM; settlement uses the candle timestamped 4:59 PM, ending at 5:00 PM. Candlesticks are timestamped by their start time. If reliable Pyth data is unavailable, the contract’s no-data provisions apply.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
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