GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Hamilton Mayoral Election

Name: Hamilton Mayoral Election
End: 2026-10-26T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$10.79K

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Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Hamilton Mayoral Election

Vol

$10.79K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $10.79K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $10.79K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

9 markets tracked

Will Andrea Horwath win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Andrea Horwath win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?	Poly	47%
Will Keanin Loomis win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?	Poly	31%
Will Scarlett Gillespie win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?	Poly	14%
Will Sasha Austin win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?	Poly	6%
Will Rob Cooper win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?	Poly	5%
Will Pamela Mitchell win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?	Poly	2%
Will Ejaz Butt win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?	Poly	1%
Will Nathalie Xian Yi Yan win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?	Poly	0%
Will Paul Fromm win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

47%

Top Probability

$10.79K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

The 2026 Hamilton, ON mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hamilton as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credib

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Hamilton Mayoral Election
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 26, 2026 (52 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** The 2026 Hamilton, ON mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hamilton as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credib

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"The 2026 Hamilton, ON mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hamilton as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $10.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $65.3K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.17)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Andrea Horwath win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 47.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Keanin Loomis win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $6.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 30.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Sasha Austin win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.9% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Ejaz Butt win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $138
  DATA: [Yes: 1.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.7% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Rob Cooper win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $237
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Paul Fromm win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $249
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Scarlett Gillespie win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 13.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.4% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Pamela Mitchell win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $104
  DATA: [Yes: 1.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.2% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Nathalie Xian Yi Yan win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $183
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics