This event has ended. Showing historical data.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCrypto

Pump.fun revenue above $25M in April?

Name: Pump.fun revenue above $25M in April?
End: 2026-05-01T04:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$5.06K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Pump.fun revenue above $25M in April?

Vol

$5.06K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $5.06K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $5.06K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Pump.fun revenue above $25M in April?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Pump.fun revenue above $25M in April?	Poly	99%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

99%

Top Probability

$5.06K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pump.fun’s revenue exceeds the amount specified in the title during the month specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is DefiLlama, specifically the “Revenue” chart set to “Monthly”: https://defillama.com/protocol/pump.fun?groupBy=monthly A monthly bar will be considered finalized once the next month’s bar is published. If the data is revised before the threshold is hit, the latest numbers

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Pump.fun revenue above $25M in April?
**Category:** Crypto | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 1, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pump.fun’s revenue exceeds the amount specified in the title during the month specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is DefiLlama, specifically the “Revenue” chart set to “Monthly”: https://defillama.com/protocol/pump.fun?groupBy=monthly

A monthly bar will be considered finalized once the next month’s bar is published.

If the data is revised before the threshold is hit, the latest numbers 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pump.fun’s revenue exceeds the amount specified in the title during the month specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is DefiLlama, specifically the “Revenue” chart set to “Monthly”: https://defi"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $5.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $1.5K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 3.43)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Pump.fun revenue above $25M in April?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $5.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 98.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.3% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETCrypto