Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCrypto

Papertrade FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Name: Papertrade FDV above ___ one day after launch?
End: 2028-01-01T05:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$42.22K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Papertrade FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Vol

$42.22K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $42.22K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $42.22K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch?	Poly	86%
Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Poly	75%
Papertrade FDV above $75M one day after launch?	Poly	59%
Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Poly	46%
Papertrade FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Poly	29%
Papertrade FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Poly	22%
Papertrade FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Poly	22%
Papertrade FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Poly	16%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

86%

Top Probability

$42.22K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Papertrade's token is greater than the specified value 1 day after launch. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Papertrade after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Papertrade FDV above ___ one day after launch?
**Category:** Crypto | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 1, 2028 (447 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Papertrade's token is greater than the specified value 1 day after launch. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only an official token launched by Papertrade after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.

The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.

The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Papertrade's token is greater than the specified value 1 day after launch. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only an official token launched by Papertrade after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, meme"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $42.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $98.9K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.43)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $15.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 85.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 14.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $7.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 74.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 25.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Papertrade FDV above $75M one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 59.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 41.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $15.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 46.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Papertrade FDV above $150M one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $747
  DATA: [Yes: 29.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Papertrade FDV above $200M one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $901
  DATA: [Yes: 22.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Papertrade FDV above $250M one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Papertrade FDV above $400M one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 16.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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