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GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting?

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Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting?

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13 markets tracked

Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (Lorie Logan)

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Single-Platform Markets(13)

Market	Platform	Price
Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (Lorie Logan)	Kalshi	27%
Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (Neel Kashkari)	Kalshi	25%
Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (Beth Hammack)	Kalshi	24%
Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (Stephen Miran)	Kalshi	20%
Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (Michelle Bowman)	Kalshi	17%
Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (Christopher Waller)	Kalshi	14%
Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (Philip Jefferson)	Kalshi	10%
Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (Lisa Cook)	Kalshi	10%
Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (Michael Barr)	Kalshi	9%
Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (John Williams)	Kalshi	9%
Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (Anna Paulson)	Kalshi	9%
Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (Jerome Powell)	Kalshi	7%
Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (Kevin Warsh)	Kalshi	5%

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In June 2026 FOMC meeting If X formally dissented at the June 2026 FOMC meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs This market will close and expire early if the event occurs

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting?
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** In June 2026 FOMC meeting

If X formally dissented at the June 2026 FOMC meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs This market will close and expire early if the event occurs

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Stephen Miran formally dissented at the June 2026 FOMC meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (Stephen Miran)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (Philip Jefferson)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (Neel Kashkari)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 25.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (Michelle Bowman)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 17.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (Michael Barr)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (Lorie Logan)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 27.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (Lisa Cook)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (Kevin Warsh)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (John Williams)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (Jerome Powell)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (Christopher Waller)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (Beth Hammack)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (Anna Paulson)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting?

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KALSHI

Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (Lorie Logan)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 27.0¢No 73.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (Lorie Logan)

If Lorie Logan formally dissented at the June 2026 FOMC meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs

KALSHI

Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (Neel Kashkari)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 25.0¢No 75.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (Neel Kashkari)

If Neel Kashkari formally dissented at the June 2026 FOMC meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs

KALSHI

Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (Beth Hammack)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 23.5¢No 76.5¢

KALSHICrypto

Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (Beth Hammack)

If Beth Hammack formally dissented at the June 2026 FOMC meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs

KALSHI

Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (Stephen Miran)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 19.5¢No 80.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (Stephen Miran)

If Stephen Miran formally dissented at the June 2026 FOMC meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs

KALSHI

Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (Michelle Bowman)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 17.0¢No 83.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (Michelle Bowman)

If Michelle Bowman formally dissented at the June 2026 FOMC meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/uQxc_d" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting?"></iframe>

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Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting?

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Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (Lorie Logan)

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Events (1)

Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting?

Markets (13)

Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (Lorie Logan)

Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (Lorie Logan)

Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (Neel Kashkari)

Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (Neel Kashkari)

Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (Beth Hammack)

Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (Beth Hammack)

Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (Stephen Miran)

Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (Stephen Miran)

Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (Michelle Bowman)

Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (Michelle Bowman)

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (Lorie Logan)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting?

Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (Lorie Logan)

Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (Lorie Logan)

Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (Neel Kashkari)

Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (Neel Kashkari)

Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (Beth Hammack)

Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (Beth Hammack)

Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (Stephen Miran)

Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (Stephen Miran)

Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (Michelle Bowman)

Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting? (Michelle Bowman)

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