
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
PM $7.11M · K 26.1K contracts
2
20
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

PM $7.11M · K 26.1K contracts
2
20
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 26, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is 4.25% at 71%, and on Kalshi it is Above 3.50% at 99.5%.
Polymarket
- 4.25%71%
- 4.0%17.6%
- ≥ 4.5%7.5%
- 3.5%1.8%
- 3.75%1.7%
Kalshi
- Above 3.50%99.5%
- Above 4.00%81%
- Above 4.25%60%
- Above 3.75%55%
- Above 4.50%12%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $7.11M · K 26.1K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
20
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
About This Event
The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time. The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

Number of rate cuts in 2026?
PM $54.84M · K 11.09M contractsWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Fed cut rates 0 times?
Same question, fine print differs
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Fed cut rates 1 time?
Same question, fine print differs
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Fed cut rates 2 times?
Same question, fine print differs
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.

Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?
K 461.0K contracts
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?
K 436.3K contracts
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
PM $1.22M
Number of rate hikes in 2026?
K 312.3K contracts
October 2026 Fed Combo · Rate and Dissents
K 30.7K contractsMarket Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

