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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETEconomy

UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

Name: UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
End: 2027-02-12T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$2.05K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

Vol

$2.05K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $2.05K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.05K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%?	Poly	51%
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be 5% or higher?	Poly	47%
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 4% and 5%?	Poly	41%
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?	Poly	41%
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%?	Poly	30%
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 3% and 4%?	Poly	8%
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 2% and 3%?	Poly	7%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

51%

Top Probability

$2.05K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 (% change) in the "GDP First quarterly estimate, UK" release for October-December (Q4) of 2026, scheduled for February 12, 2027. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, August 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
**Category:** Economy | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Feb 12, 2027 (174 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 (% change) in the "GDP First quarterly estimate, UK" release for October-December (Q4) of 2026, scheduled for February 12, 2027.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 (% change) in the "GDP First quarterly estimate, UK" release for October-December (Q4) of 2026, scheduled for February 12, 2027.

If the reported value falls exactly between two bracket"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $581
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 3.52)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 12, 2027): Vol $381
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 3% and 4%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 12, 2027): Vol $201
  DATA: [Yes: 8.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 12, 2027): Vol $345
  DATA: [Yes: 30.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 12, 2027): Vol $210
  DATA: [Yes: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 2% and 3%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 12, 2027): Vol $247
  DATA: [Yes: 7.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 4% and 5%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 12, 2027): Vol $413
  DATA: [Yes: 41.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be 5% or higher?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 12, 2027): Vol $252
  DATA: [Yes: 46.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETEconomy