Name: UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
End: 2027-02-12T00:00:00.000Z

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UK Annual GDP Growth 2026 | PredictPedia

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7 markets tracked

Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?

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Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?	Poly	44%
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%?	Poly	39%
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 3% and 4%?	Poly	37%
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 2% and 3%?	Poly	26%
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be 5% or higher?	Poly	14%
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%?	Poly	12%
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 4% and 5%?	Poly	6%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, February 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
**Category:** Economy | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Feb 12, 2027 (355 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 (% change) in the "GDP First quarterly estimate, UK" release for October-December (Q4) of 2026, scheduled for February 12, 2027.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 (% change) in the "GDP First quarterly estimate, UK" release for October-December (Q4) of 2026, scheduled for February 12, 2027.

If the reported value falls exactly between two bracket"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $4.9K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.26)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 12, 2027): Vol $174
  DATA: [Yes: 39.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 3% and 4%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 12, 2027): Vol $167
  DATA: [Yes: 36.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 12, 2027): Vol $168
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 12, 2027): Vol $167
  DATA: [Yes: 44.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 2% and 3%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 12, 2027): Vol $167
  DATA: [Yes: 26.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 4% and 5%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 12, 2027): Vol $217
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be 5% or higher?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 12, 2027): Vol $184
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

354d 15h remaining

Feb 12, 2027 12:00 AM

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25¢

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UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

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Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?

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Events (1)

UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

Markets (7)

Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?

Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?

Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%?

Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%?

Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 3% and 4%?

Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 3% and 4%?

Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 2% and 3%?

Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 2% and 3%?

Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be 5% or higher?

Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be 5% or higher?

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?

Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?

Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%?

Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%?

Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 3% and 4%?

Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 3% and 4%?

Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 2% and 3%?

Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 2% and 3%?

Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be 5% or higher?

Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be 5% or higher?

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Discussion

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