Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Global account ownership in the next Global Findex release

Total Volume

$48.71

Events

Markets

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Global account ownership in the next Global Findex release

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$48.71

Events

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $48.71

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $48.71

100%

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7 markets tracked

Will global account ownership in the next Global Findex release be above 80%?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will global account ownership in the next Global Findex release be above 80%?	Kalshi	91%
Will global account ownership in the next Global Findex release be above 81%?	Kalshi	81%
Will global account ownership in the next Global Findex release be above 82%?	Kalshi	62%
Will global account ownership in the next Global Findex release be above 83%?	Kalshi	41%
Will global account ownership in the next Global Findex release be above 84%?	Kalshi	21%
Will global account ownership in the next Global Findex release be above 85%?	Kalshi	14%
Will global account ownership in the next Global Findex release be above 86%?	Kalshi	9%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

91%

Top Probability

$48.71

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

the next Global Findex release If the World Bank reports that the global account ownership in the next Global Findex release is above X then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the percentage reported for “World” under the World Bank indicator “Account ownership at a financial institution or with a mobile-money-service provider, % of population ages 15+,” series code FX.OWN.TOTL.ZS, for the earliest reference year after 2024. The Underlying will be rounded to the nearest 0.1 percentag

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Global account ownership in the next Global Findex release
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** the next Global Findex release

If the World Bank reports that the global account ownership in the next Global Findex release is above X then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the percentage reported for “World” under the World Bank indicator “Account ownership at a financial institution or with a mobile-money-service provider, % of population ages 15+,” series code FX.OWN.TOTL.ZS, for the earliest reference year after 2024. The Underlying will be rounded to the nearest 0.1 percentag

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the World Bank reports that the global account ownership in the next Global Findex release is above 86%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the percentage reported for “World” under the World Bank indicator “Account ownership at a financial institution or with a m"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $49
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will global account ownership in the next Global Findex release be above 86%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2032): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will global account ownership in the next Global Findex release be above 85%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2032): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will global account ownership in the next Global Findex release be above 84%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2032): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 21.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will global account ownership in the next Global Findex release be above 83%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2032): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 41.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will global account ownership in the next Global Findex release be above 82%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2032): Vol $49
  DATA: [Yes: 61.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 38.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will global account ownership in the next Global Findex release be above 81%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2032): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 81.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 19.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will global account ownership in the next Global Findex release be above 80%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2032): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 90.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 9.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

Global account ownership in the next Global Findex release

Volume$48.71

Markets7

7 of 7

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KALSHI

Will global account ownership in the next Global Findex release be above 80%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 90.5¢No 9.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will global account ownership in the next Global Findex release be above 80%?

If the World Bank reports that the global account ownership in the next Global Findex release is above 80%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the percentage reported for “World” under the World Bank indicator “Account ownership at a financial institution or with a m

KALSHI

Will global account ownership in the next Global Findex release be above 81%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 81.0¢No 19.0¢

KALSHIWorld

Will global account ownership in the next Global Findex release be above 81%?

If the World Bank reports that the global account ownership in the next Global Findex release is above 81%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the percentage reported for “World” under the World Bank indicator “Account ownership at a financial institution or with a m

KALSHI

Will global account ownership in the next Global Findex release be above 82%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 61.5¢No 38.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will global account ownership in the next Global Findex release be above 82%?

If the World Bank reports that the global account ownership in the next Global Findex release is above 82%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the percentage reported for “World” under the World Bank indicator “Account ownership at a financial institution or with a m

KALSHI

Will global account ownership in the next Global Findex release be above 83%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 41.0¢No 59.0¢

KALSHIWorld

Will global account ownership in the next Global Findex release be above 83%?

If the World Bank reports that the global account ownership in the next Global Findex release is above 83%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the percentage reported for “World” under the World Bank indicator “Account ownership at a financial institution or with a m

KALSHI

Will global account ownership in the next Global Findex release be above 84%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 21.0¢No 79.0¢

KALSHIWorld

Will global account ownership in the next Global Findex release be above 84%?

If the World Bank reports that the global account ownership in the next Global Findex release is above 84%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the percentage reported for “World” under the World Bank indicator “Account ownership at a financial institution or with a m

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Will global account ownership in the next Global Findex release be above 80%?

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Events (1)

Global account ownership in the next Global Findex release

Markets (7)

Will global account ownership in the next Global Findex release be above 80%?

Will global account ownership in the next Global Findex release be above 80%?

Will global account ownership in the next Global Findex release be above 81%?

Will global account ownership in the next Global Findex release be above 81%?

Will global account ownership in the next Global Findex release be above 82%?

Will global account ownership in the next Global Findex release be above 82%?

Will global account ownership in the next Global Findex release be above 83%?

Will global account ownership in the next Global Findex release be above 83%?

Will global account ownership in the next Global Findex release be above 84%?

Will global account ownership in the next Global Findex release be above 84%?

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Will global account ownership in the next Global Findex release be above 80%?

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Global account ownership in the next Global Findex release

Will global account ownership in the next Global Findex release be above 80%?

Will global account ownership in the next Global Findex release be above 80%?

Will global account ownership in the next Global Findex release be above 81%?

Will global account ownership in the next Global Findex release be above 81%?

Will global account ownership in the next Global Findex release be above 82%?

Will global account ownership in the next Global Findex release be above 82%?

Will global account ownership in the next Global Findex release be above 83%?

Will global account ownership in the next Global Findex release be above 83%?

Will global account ownership in the next Global Findex release be above 84%?

Will global account ownership in the next Global Findex release be above 84%?

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