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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCrypto

XMAQUINA FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Name: XMAQUINA FDV above ___ one day after launch?
End: 2028-01-01T05:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$180.56

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

XMAQUINA FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Vol

$180.56

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $180.56

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $180.56

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

11 markets tracked

XMAQUINA FDV above $10M one day after launch?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
XMAQUINA FDV above $10M one day after launch?	Poly	87%
XMAQUINA FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Poly	83%
XMAQUINA FDV above $40M one day after launch?	Poly	61%
XMAQUINA FDV above $60M one day after launch?	Poly	54%
XMAQUINA FDV above $80M one day after launch?	Poly	46%
XMAQUINA FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Poly	44%
XMAQUINA FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Poly	43%
XMAQUINA FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Poly	42%
XMAQUINA FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Poly	39%
XMAQUINA FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Poly	31%
XMAQUINA FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Poly	25%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

87%

Top Probability

$180.56

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of XMAQUINA's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by XMAQUINA will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day afte

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** XMAQUINA FDV above ___ one day after launch?
**Category:** Crypto | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 1, 2028 (541 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of XMAQUINA's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

Only an official token launched by XMAQUINA will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.

The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.

The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.

"1 day afte

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of XMAQUINA's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

Only an official token launched by XMAQUINA will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $181
* **Total Liquidity:** $2.7K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.07)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. XMAQUINA FDV above $10M one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $75
  DATA: [Yes: 86.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 13.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. XMAQUINA FDV above $40M one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 60.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 39.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. XMAQUINA FDV above $80M one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 45.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. XMAQUINA FDV above $150M one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 43.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. XMAQUINA FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 42.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. XMAQUINA FDV above $800M one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 31.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. XMAQUINA FDV above $20M one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $56
  DATA: [Yes: 82.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 17.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. XMAQUINA FDV above $60M one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 53.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. XMAQUINA FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 43.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. XMAQUINA FDV above $200M one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 38.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. XMAQUINA FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $50
  DATA: [Yes: 24.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETCrypto