Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Arkansas broiler production in 2026

Total Volume

$53.10K

Events

Markets

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Arkansas broiler production in 2026

Vol

$53.10K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $53.10K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $53.10K

100%

Kalshi leads

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5 markets tracked

Will Arkansas broiler production for 2026 be above 7.6 billion pounds?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Arkansas broiler production for 2026 be above 7.6 billion pounds?	Kalshi	96%
Will Arkansas broiler production for 2026 be above 7.8 billion pounds?	Kalshi	94%
Will Arkansas broiler production for 2026 be above 8.0 billion pounds?	Kalshi	36%
Will Arkansas broiler production for 2026 be above 8.2 billion pounds?	Kalshi	7%
Will Arkansas broiler production for 2026 be above 8.4 billion pounds?	Kalshi	4%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

96%

Top Probability

$53.10K

Volume

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About This Event

2026 If USDA NASS reports that Arkansas broiler production for 2026 is above X billion pounds, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is Arkansas broiler live-weight production, measured in pounds, in USDA NASS’s 2026 annual estimate. Importantly, the USDA-defined 2026 production period runs December 1, 2025 through November 30, 2026, rather than the calendar year. Broiler production includes other domestic meat-type strains. Resolution uses the first published 2026 annual estimate; su

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Arkansas broiler production in 2026
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026

If USDA NASS reports that Arkansas broiler production for 2026 is above X billion pounds, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is Arkansas broiler live-weight production, measured in pounds, in USDA NASS’s 2026 annual estimate. Importantly, the USDA-defined 2026 production period runs December 1, 2025 through November 30, 2026, rather than the calendar year. Broiler production includes other domestic meat-type strains. Resolution uses the first published 2026 annual estimate; su

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If USDA NASS reports that Arkansas broiler production for 2026 is above 

8.4 billion pounds, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is Arkansas broiler live-weight production, measured in pounds, in USDA NASS’s 2026 annual estimate. Importantly, the USDA-defined 2026 produ"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $53.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Arkansas broiler production for 2026 be above 8.4 billion pounds?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2027): Vol $3.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Arkansas broiler production for 2026 be above 8.2 billion pounds?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2027): Vol $13.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Arkansas broiler production for 2026 be above 8.0 billion pounds?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2027): Vol $14.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 36.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Arkansas broiler production for 2026 be above 7.8 billion pounds?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2027): Vol $7.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 93.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Arkansas broiler production for 2026 be above 7.6 billion pounds?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2027): Vol $14.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 95.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

Arkansas broiler production in 2026

Volume$53.10K

Markets5

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KALSHI

Will Arkansas broiler production for 2026 be above 7.6 billion pounds?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 95.5¢No 4.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Arkansas broiler production for 2026 be above 7.6 billion pounds?

If USDA NASS reports that Arkansas broiler production for 2026 is above 7.6 billion pounds, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is Arkansas broiler live-weight production, measured in pounds, in USDA NASS’s 2026 annual estimate. Importantly, the USDA-defined 2026 produ

KALSHI

Will Arkansas broiler production for 2026 be above 7.8 billion pounds?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 93.5¢No 6.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Arkansas broiler production for 2026 be above 7.8 billion pounds?

If USDA NASS reports that Arkansas broiler production for 2026 is above 7.8 billion pounds, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is Arkansas broiler live-weight production, measured in pounds, in USDA NASS’s 2026 annual estimate. Importantly, the USDA-defined 2026 produ

KALSHI

Will Arkansas broiler production for 2026 be above 8.0 billion pounds?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 36.0¢No 64.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Arkansas broiler production for 2026 be above 8.0 billion pounds?

If USDA NASS reports that Arkansas broiler production for 2026 is above 8.0 billion pounds, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is Arkansas broiler live-weight production, measured in pounds, in USDA NASS’s 2026 annual estimate. Importantly, the USDA-defined 2026 produ

KALSHI

Will Arkansas broiler production for 2026 be above 8.2 billion pounds?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 6.5¢No 93.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Arkansas broiler production for 2026 be above 8.2 billion pounds?

If USDA NASS reports that Arkansas broiler production for 2026 is above 8.2 billion pounds, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is Arkansas broiler live-weight production, measured in pounds, in USDA NASS’s 2026 annual estimate. Importantly, the USDA-defined 2026 produ

KALSHI

Will Arkansas broiler production for 2026 be above 8.4 billion pounds?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Arkansas broiler production for 2026 be above 8.4 billion pounds?

If USDA NASS reports that Arkansas broiler production for 2026 is above 8.4 billion pounds, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is Arkansas broiler live-weight production, measured in pounds, in USDA NASS’s 2026 annual estimate. Importantly, the USDA-defined 2026 produ

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Will Arkansas broiler production for 2026 be above 7.6 billion pounds?

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Events (1)

Arkansas broiler production in 2026

Markets (5)

Will Arkansas broiler production for 2026 be above 7.6 billion pounds?

Will Arkansas broiler production for 2026 be above 7.6 billion pounds?

Will Arkansas broiler production for 2026 be above 7.8 billion pounds?

Will Arkansas broiler production for 2026 be above 7.8 billion pounds?

Will Arkansas broiler production for 2026 be above 8.0 billion pounds?

Will Arkansas broiler production for 2026 be above 8.0 billion pounds?

Will Arkansas broiler production for 2026 be above 8.2 billion pounds?

Will Arkansas broiler production for 2026 be above 8.2 billion pounds?

Will Arkansas broiler production for 2026 be above 8.4 billion pounds?

Will Arkansas broiler production for 2026 be above 8.4 billion pounds?

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Will Arkansas broiler production for 2026 be above 7.6 billion pounds?

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Arkansas broiler production in 2026

Will Arkansas broiler production for 2026 be above 7.6 billion pounds?

Will Arkansas broiler production for 2026 be above 7.6 billion pounds?

Will Arkansas broiler production for 2026 be above 7.8 billion pounds?

Will Arkansas broiler production for 2026 be above 7.8 billion pounds?

Will Arkansas broiler production for 2026 be above 8.0 billion pounds?

Will Arkansas broiler production for 2026 be above 8.0 billion pounds?

Will Arkansas broiler production for 2026 be above 8.2 billion pounds?

Will Arkansas broiler production for 2026 be above 8.2 billion pounds?

Will Arkansas broiler production for 2026 be above 8.4 billion pounds?

Will Arkansas broiler production for 2026 be above 8.4 billion pounds?

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