GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Name: Next Prime Minister of Serbia?
End: 2028-06-30T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$37.37K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Vol

$37.37K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $37.37K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $37.37K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

9 markets tracked

Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Poly	65%
Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Poly	14%
Will Branimir Jovanović be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Poly	10%
Will Dragan Đilas be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Poly	6%
Will Miloš Vučević be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Poly	5%
Will Stefan Krkobabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Poly	4%
Will Ivica Dačić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Poly	3%
Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Poly	3%
Will Đuro Macut be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

65%

Top Probability

$37.37K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be elected by the National Assembly and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who is not elected by the National Assembly will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by June 30, 2028,

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Next Prime Minister of Serbia?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 30, 2028 (665 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be elected by the National Assembly and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who is not elected by the National Assembly will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by June 30, 2028,

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be elected by the National Assembly and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new govern"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $37.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $58.6K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.64)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2028): Vol $19.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 64.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 35.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Ivica Dačić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2028): Vol $750
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Miloš Vučević be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2028): Vol $3.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.3% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2028): Vol $9.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.7% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Đuro Macut be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2028): Vol $998
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Stefan Krkobabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2028): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.3% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Branimir Jovanović be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2028): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Dragan Đilas be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2028): Vol $839
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2028): Vol $579
  DATA: [Yes: 13.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.3% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics