Skip to main content
Market snapshot: . Prices may have changed since this snapshot.
Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

García out as Governor of Nuevo León by…?

García out as Governor of Nuevo León by…?
Vol

PM $1.4K

|
Events

1

|
Markets

1

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 21, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is December 31, 2026 at 30%.

Polymarket

  1. December 31, 202630%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $1.4K

Reported volume · provider units

1

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Samuel García ceases to be the Governor of Nuevo León, Mexico, for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Samuel García’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Samuel García and the government of Nuevo León; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketPolitics
Nuevo León Governor Election Winner

Nuevo León Governor Election Winner

PM $60.5K
Will Adrián de la Garza Santos win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?Yes 31%
Will Mariana Rodríguez Cantú win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?Yes 25.5%
Will Clara Luz Flores Carrales win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?Yes 19.6%
+18 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Lisa Cook departure announced?

Lisa Cook departure announced?

K 51.7K contracts
Lisa DeNell Cook out as Federal Reserve Governor before Jan 2029?Yes 30%
Lisa DeNell Cook out as Federal Reserve Governor before Jul 2028?Yes 26%
Lisa DeNell Cook out as Federal Reserve Governor before Jan 2028?Yes 21%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Nuevo León Governor winner?

Nuevo León Governor winner?

K 14.4K contracts
Will Adrián de la Garza Santos win the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial election?Yes 24.5%
Will Mariana Rodríguez Cantú win the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial election?Yes 23.5%
Will Clara Luz Flores Carrales win the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial election?Yes 14.5%
+21 moreNext deadline Jun 6, 2028 UTC
PolymarketKalshiCulture
Who will have a #1 hit this year?

Who will have a #1 hit this year?

PM $187.2K · K 699.0K contracts

Will Mariah Carey have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Mariah Carey have a #1 album this year?

Related contracts

PM Yes 96.7%Rules differK Yes 4.5%

Will Mariah Carey have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Mariah Carey have a #1 hit this year?

Related contracts

PM Yes 96.7%Rules differK Yes 91%

Will Lil Baby have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Lil Baby have a #1 album this year?

Related contracts

PM Yes 8%Rules differK Yes 53%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

34 saved comparisonsNext deadline Dec 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Sylvia Luke out as Lieutenant Governor of Hawaii?

Sylvia Luke out as Lieutenant Governor of Hawaii?

K 4.2K contracts
Will Sylvia Luke be out as Lieutenant Governor of Hawaii before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 11%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Jared Polis out as Governor of Colorado?

Jared Polis out as Governor of Colorado?

K 693.52 contracts
Will Jared Polis be out as Governor of Colorado before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 5.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

Trade This Market