GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Nuevo León Governor Election Winner

Name: Nuevo León Governor Election Winner
End: 2027-06-06T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$51.50K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Nuevo León Governor Election Winner

Vol

$51.50K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $51.50K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $51.50K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

21 markets tracked

Will Adrián de la Garza Santos win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(21)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Adrián de la Garza Santos win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?	Poly	23%
Will Mariana Rodríguez Cantú win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?	Poly	19%
Will Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?	Poly	18%
Will Judith Díaz Delgado win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?	Poly	6%
Will Andrés Mijes Llovera win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?	Poly	5%
Will Alma Rosa Marroquín Escamilla win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?	Poly	5%
Will Tatiana Clouthier Carrillo win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?	Poly	4%
Will Félix Arratia Cruz win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?	Poly	3%
Will Waldo Fernández González win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?	Poly	3%
Will Jesús Alberto Elizondo win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?	Poly	3%
Will Clara Luz Flores Carrales win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?	Poly	3%
Will Martha Herrera González win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?	Poly	3%
Will Héctor García García win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?	Poly	3%
Will Carlos de la Fuente Flores win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?	Poly	3%
Will Miguel Flores Serna win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?	Poly	2%
Will Raúl Lozano Caballero win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?	Poly	2%
Will Felipe de Jesús Cantú Rodríguez win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?	Poly	2%
Will Annia Gómez Cárdenas win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?	Poly	2%
Will Arturo Salinas Garza win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?	Poly	2%
Will Daniel Carrillo Martínez win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?	Poly	1%
Will Fernando Margáin Berlanga win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

23%

Top Probability

$51.50K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is a

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Nuevo León Governor Election Winner
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 6, 2027 (275 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is a

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively b"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $51.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $319.6K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.16)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $3.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 17.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.1% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Mariana Rodríguez Cantú win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $16.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 18.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.2% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Miguel Flores Serna win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $561
  DATA: [Yes: 1.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.2% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Martha Herrera González win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $699
  DATA: [Yes: 2.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Alma Rosa Marroquín Escamilla win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $766
  DATA: [Yes: 4.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.1% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Raúl Lozano Caballero win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $354
  DATA: [Yes: 1.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.4% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Héctor García García win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Félix Arratia Cruz win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $398
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Tatiana Clouthier Carrillo win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $3.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.4% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Waldo Fernández González win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $588
  DATA: [Yes: 3.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.7% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Judith Díaz Delgado win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $905
  DATA: [Yes: 5.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.1% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Andrés Mijes Llovera win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Clara Luz Flores Carrales win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $4.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.8% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Felipe de Jesús Cantú Rodríguez win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $495
  DATA: [Yes: 1.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.4% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Jesús Alberto Elizondo win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $405
  DATA: [Yes: 3.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.7% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Adrián de la Garza Santos win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $9.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Carlos de la Fuente Flores win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $347
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Arturo Salinas Garza win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $732
  DATA: [Yes: 1.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Annia Gómez Cárdenas win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $394
  DATA: [Yes: 1.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.4% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Fernando Margáin Berlanga win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $365
  DATA: [Yes: 0.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Daniel Carrillo Martínez win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $5.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.8% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics