Market snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Nuevo León Governor Election Winner

Reported volume

PM $60.5K

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Markets

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Nuevo León Governor Election Winner

Vol

PM $60.5K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Current odds

Snapshot from Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

As of Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Adrián de la Garza Santos at 30.5%.

Polymarket

Adrián de la Garza Santos30.5%
Mariana Rodríguez Cantú25.4%
Clara Luz Flores Carrales19.4%
Waldo Fernández González5.5%
Alma Rosa Marroquín Escamilla5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

21 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will Adrián de la Garza Santos win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(21)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Adrián de la Garza Santos win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?	Poly	30.5%
Will Mariana Rodríguez Cantú win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?	Poly	25.4%
Will Clara Luz Flores Carrales win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?	Poly	19.4%
Will Waldo Fernández González win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?	Poly	5.5%
Will Alma Rosa Marroquín Escamilla win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?	Poly	5.0%
Will Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?	Poly	4.8%
Will Tatiana Clouthier Carrillo win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?	Poly	4.0%
Will Judith Díaz Delgado win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?	Poly	3.1%
Will Félix Arratia Cruz win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?	Poly	2.5%
Will Felipe de Jesús Cantú Rodríguez win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?	Poly	1.9%
Will Martha Herrera González win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?	Poly	1.7%
Will Carlos de la Fuente Flores win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?	Poly	1.4%
Will Andrés Mijes Llovera win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?	Poly	1.4%
Will Miguel Flores Serna win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?	Poly	0.9%
Will Jesús Alberto Elizondo win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?	Poly	0.9%
Will Arturo Salinas Garza win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?	Poly	0.9%
Will Raúl Lozano Caballero win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?	Poly	0.5%
Will Héctor García García win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?	Poly	0.5%
Will Daniel Carrillo Martínez win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?	Poly	0.4%
Will Fernando Margáin Berlanga win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?	Poly	0.3%
Will Annia Gómez Cárdenas win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?	Poly	0.1%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

Needs review: no direct pair assessment is available.

A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $60.5K

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

About This Event

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Nuevo León Governor Election Winner
Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): PM $60.5K
Coverage: 21 of 21 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358042; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-luis-donaldo-colosio-riojas-win-the-2027-nuevo-leon-governor-election-20260803173854387
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $4.0K
Outcome Yes: 4.8%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 95.3%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Mariana Rodríguez Cantú win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358043; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-mariana-rodriguez-cantu-win-the-2027-nuevo-leon-governor-election-20260803173854388
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $17.9K
Outcome Yes: 25.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 74.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Miguel Flores Serna win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358044; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-miguel-flores-serna-win-the-2027-nuevo-leon-governor-election-20260803173854389
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $654.41
Outcome Yes: 0.9%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.1%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Martha Herrera González win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358045; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-martha-herrera-gonzalez-win-the-2027-nuevo-leon-governor-election-20260803173854390
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $725.56
Outcome Yes: 1.7%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.4%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Alma Rosa Marroquín Escamilla win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358046; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-alma-rosa-marroquin-escamilla-win-the-2027-nuevo-leon-governor-election-20260803173854391
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $792.09
Outcome Yes: 5.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 95.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Raúl Lozano Caballero win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358047; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-raul-lozano-caballero-win-the-2027-nuevo-leon-governor-election-20260803173854392
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $495.97
Outcome Yes: 0.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Héctor García García win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358048; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-hector-garcia-garcia-win-the-2027-nuevo-leon-governor-election-20260803173854393
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.4K
Outcome Yes: 0.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Félix Arratia Cruz win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358049; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-felix-arratia-cruz-win-the-2027-nuevo-leon-governor-election-20260803173854394
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $410.67
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Tatiana Clouthier Carrillo win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358050; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-tatiana-clouthier-carrillo-win-the-2027-nuevo-leon-governor-election-20260803173854395
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $3.6K
Outcome Yes: 4.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Waldo Fernández González win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358051; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-waldo-fernandez-gonzalez-win-the-2027-nuevo-leon-governor-election-20260803173854396
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.3K
Outcome Yes: 5.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 94.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Judith Díaz Delgado win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358052; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-judith-diaz-delgado-win-the-2027-nuevo-leon-governor-election-20260803173854397
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $934.21
Outcome Yes: 3.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Andrés Mijes Llovera win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358053; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-andres-mijes-llovera-win-the-2027-nuevo-leon-governor-election-20260803173854398
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.7K
Outcome Yes: 1.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.7%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Clara Luz Flores Carrales win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358054; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-clara-luz-flores-carrales-win-the-2027-nuevo-leon-governor-election-20260803173854399
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $6.0K
Outcome Yes: 19.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 80.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Felipe de Jesús Cantú Rodríguez win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358055; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-felipe-de-jesus-cantu-rodriguez-win-the-2027-nuevo-leon-governor-election-20260803173854400
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $664.03
Outcome Yes: 1.9%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Jesús Alberto Elizondo win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358056; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-jesus-alberto-elizondo-win-the-2027-nuevo-leon-governor-election-20260803173854401
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $431.46
Outcome Yes: 0.9%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.1%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Adrián de la Garza Santos win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358057; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-adrian-de-la-garza-santos-win-the-2027-nuevo-leon-governor-election-20260803173854402
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $12.4K
Outcome Yes: 30.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 69.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Carlos de la Fuente Flores win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358058; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-carlos-de-la-fuente-flores-win-the-2027-nuevo-leon-governor-election-20260803173854403
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $373.67
Outcome Yes: 1.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Arturo Salinas Garza win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358059; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-arturo-salinas-garza-win-the-2027-nuevo-leon-governor-election-20260803173854404
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $856.01
Outcome Yes: 0.9%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.1%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Annia Gómez Cárdenas win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358060; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-annia-gomez-cardenas-win-the-2027-nuevo-leon-governor-election-20260803173854405
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $420.38
Outcome Yes: 0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Fernando Margáin Berlanga win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358061; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-fernando-margain-berlanga-win-the-2027-nuevo-leon-governor-election-20260803173854406
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $391.06
Outcome Yes: 0.3%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.7%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Daniel Carrillo Martínez win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358062; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-daniel-carrillo-martinez-win-the-2027-nuevo-leon-governor-election-20260803173854407
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $5.0K
Outcome Yes: 0.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics

Nuevo León Governor Election Winner

Volume$60.52K

Markets21

21 of 21

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Will Adrián de la Garza Santos win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?

polymarket

Will Adrián de la Garza Santos win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?

Yes: 30.5¢
No: 69.5¢

Will Mariana Rodríguez Cantú win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?

polymarket

Will Mariana Rodríguez Cantú win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?

Yes: 25.4¢
No: 74.6¢

Will Clara Luz Flores Carrales win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?

polymarket

Will Clara Luz Flores Carrales win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?

Yes: 19.4¢
No: 80.5¢

Will Waldo Fernández González win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?

polymarket

Will Waldo Fernández González win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?

Yes: 5.5¢
No: 94.5¢

Will Alma Rosa Marroquín Escamilla win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?

polymarket

Will Alma Rosa Marroquín Escamilla win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?

Yes: 5.0¢
No: 95.0¢

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Kalshi: Who will win the governorship in California? (Xavier Becerra)

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 96.5%Rules differK Yes 96.4%

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Kalshi: Who will win the governorship in California? (Steve Hilton)

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 3.1%Rules differK Yes 3.6%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Alaska Governor Election Winner

PM $1.58M · K 844.7K contracts

Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Kalshi: Who will win the governorship in Alaska? (Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins)

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 79%Rules differK Yes 80.5%

Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Kalshi: Who will win the governorship in Alaska? (Bernadette Wilson)

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 16.5%Rules differK Yes 16.5%

Will Bill Walker win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Kalshi: Who will win the governorship in Alaska? (Bill Walker)

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes <0.1%Rules differK Yes 0.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

14 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

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Next Market Deadline

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Jun 07, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

Same-question pairs

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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Nuevo León Governor Election Winner

Nuevo León Governor Election Winner

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