Market snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

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Event GroupPOLYMARKETWorld

New Zealand Election: Any Bloc Wins a Majority?

Reported volume

PM $269.82

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New Zealand Election: Any Bloc Wins a Majority?

Vol

PM $269.82

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Current odds

Snapshot from Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

As of Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC, Yes is priced at 52% on Polymarket.

Polymarket

Yes52%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

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New Zealand Election: Any Bloc Wins a Majority?

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Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
New Zealand Election: Any Bloc Wins a Majority?	Poly	52.0%

Rules & Resolution

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PM $269.82

Reported volume · provider units

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Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

About This Event

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following groups of parties wins a combined total of more than half of the seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election: (a) Labour, Greens, and Te Pāti Māori; or (b) National, ACT, and New Zealand First. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the New Zealand House of Representatives. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: New Zealand Election: Any Bloc Wins a Majority?
Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): PM $269.82
Coverage: 1 of 1 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: New Zealand Election: Any Bloc Wins a Majority?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6357989; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/new-zealand-election-any-bloc-wins-a-majority
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 8, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $269.82
Outcome Yes: 52.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 48.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following groups of parties wins a combined total of more than half of the seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election: (a) Labour, Greens, and Te Pāti Māori; or (b) National, ACT, and New Zealand First. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the New Zealand House of Representatives.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

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