GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETFinance

In which month will Anthropic IPO?

Name: In which month will Anthropic IPO?
End: 2028-01-01T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$166.44K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

In which month will Anthropic IPO?

Vol

$166.44K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $166.44K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $166.44K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

17 markets tracked

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(17)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?	Poly	57%
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?	Poly	36%
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?	Poly	3%
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in February 2027 (ET)?	Poly	1%
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in March 2027 (ET)?	Poly	1%
Will Anthropic not IPO before 2028?	Poly	1%
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in September 2026 (ET)?	Poly	1%
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in April 2027 (ET)?	Poly	1%
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?	Poly	0%
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in July 2027 (ET)?	Poly	0%
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in August 2027 (ET)?	Poly	0%
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in September 2027 (ET)?	Poly	0%
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2027 (ET)?	Poly	0%
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in May 2027 (ET)?	Poly	0%
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in June 2027 (ET)?	Poly	0%
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2027 (ET)?	Poly	0%
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2027 (ET)?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

57%

Top Probability

$166.44K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) occurs. The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which Anthropic shares are listed and open for regular-way trading on a public securities exchange. An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing. If Anthropic goes publ

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** In which month will Anthropic IPO?
**Category:** Finance | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 1, 2028 (483 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) occurs. The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which Anthropic shares are listed and open for regular-way trading on a public securities exchange.

An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.

If Anthropic goes publ

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) occurs. The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which Anthropic shares are listed and open for regular-way trading on a public securities exchange.

An"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $166.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $135.1K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.23)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in September 2026 (ET)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $31.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $41.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 57.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 42.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $10.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 35.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.2% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $7.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.2% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $5.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in February 2027 (ET)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $5.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.7% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in March 2027 (ET)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $6.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.8% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in April 2027 (ET)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $5.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in May 2027 (ET)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $5.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in June 2027 (ET)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $5.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in July 2027 (ET)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $5.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in August 2027 (ET)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $5.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in September 2027 (ET)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $5.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2027 (ET)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $5.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2027 (ET)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $4.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2027 (ET)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $5.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Anthropic not IPO before 2028?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $10.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.8% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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