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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by...?

Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by...?
Vol

PM $62.0K

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Events

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Markets

1

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is December 31 at 15.5%.

Polymarket

  1. December 3115.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $62.0K

Reported volume · provider units

1

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketPolitics
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

PM $1.87M
Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes 31%
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes 30%
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes 29%
+21 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

PM $121.5K · K 62.9K contracts

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by October 31?

Kalshi: Will Mike Johnson no longer be Speaker of the House before 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.1%Rules differK Yes 1.4%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

PM $89.4K
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes 14.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?

Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?

PM $1.96M
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?Yes 7.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
College Football Coaches Out Before February

College Football Coaches Out Before February

K 78.2K contracts
Dave Aranda out before Feb 1, 2027Yes 99.5%
Mike Norvell out before Feb 1, 2027Yes 75%
Dan Lanning out before Feb 1, 2027Yes 60%
+34 moreNext deadline Feb 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

PM $1.85M
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Yes 38.5%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 35.5%
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 4.3%
+19 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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