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Showing 4,945-4,992 of 7,394 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiTech
Will China obtain an EUV machine?
K 2.1K contractsWill China obtains or develops a functional extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machine that is capable of patterning semiconductor wafers in a fabrication facility be confirmed before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 68%
Will China obtains or develops a functional extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machine that is capable of patterning semiconductor wafers in a fabrication facility be confirmed before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 53.5%
Will China obtains or develops a functional extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machine that is capable of patterning semiconductor wafers in a fabrication facility be confirmed before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 33.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-24 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $251.72Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-24 House election?Yes 38%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-24 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-24 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 37.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-26 House election: Brandon Gill vote percent
K 2.1K contractsWill Brandon Gill receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-26 House election?Yes 93%
Will Brandon Gill receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-26 House election?Yes 84%
Will Brandon Gill receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-26 House election?Yes 68%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)
PM $237.96NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
IL-13 House winner?
K 2.0K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for IL-13?Yes 97.2%
Will Republican win the House race for IL-13?Yes 2.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-06 House Election?
PM $234.2First Round Outright Winner in the GA-06 House Election?Yes 97.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Louisiana's 1st District margin of victory
K 2.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 1st District House election be at least 20 percentage points?Yes 94.9%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 1st District House election be at least 23 percentage points?Yes 87.9%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 1st District House election be at least 26 percentage points?Yes 82%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
VA-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $219.31Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-06 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 38.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-06 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 38%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-06 House election by 0%-10%?Yes 38%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump’s election order lead to large-scale ballot blocking?
K 2.0K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the U.S. Postal Service blocks at least 10,000 distinct mail-in or absentee ballots for the November 3, 2026 federal general election pursuant to Executive Order 14399 or a materially equivalent amendment, replacement, or successor measure before Nov 11, 2026?Yes 18%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 18, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Balkan Bonanza: Serbia and Bulgaria Elections Combo
PM $215.09Will Aleksandar Vučić become Serbian PM and Iliana Iotova win Bulgaria?Yes 50%
Will Ilija Srdanović become Serbian PM and Iliana Iotova win Bulgaria?Yes 34.5%
Will Aleksandar Vučić become Serbian PM and Andrey Gyurov win Bulgaria?Yes 29.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Supporting Actress in a Drama Series
K 2.0K contractsWill Katherine LaNasa be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actress in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 88.5%
Will Allison Janney be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actress in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 74.5%
Will Taylor Dearden be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actress in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 60%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-23 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $204.1Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-23 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 39.5%
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-23 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 39.5%
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-23 House election by 0%-5%?Yes 39.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
California Senate winner? (2028)
K 2.0K contractsWill Democratics win the Senate race in California?Yes 87.1%
Will Republicans win the Senate race in California?Yes 13.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 20?
PM $201.95Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 20?Yes 3%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-21 House election: Kristin Hook vote percent
K 2.0K contractsWill Kristin Hook receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-21 House election?Yes 97%
Will Kristin Hook receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-21 House election?Yes 94.5%
Will Kristin Hook receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-21 House election?Yes 87%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-10 House Election?
PM $200.49First Round Outright Winner in the GA-10 House Election?Yes 77%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MN-04 House election: Betty McCollum vote percent
K 2.0K contractsWill Betty McCollum receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-04 House election?Yes 91.5%
Will Betty McCollum receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-04 House election?Yes 82%
Will Betty McCollum receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-04 House election?Yes 70%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Palestinian elections delayed again?
PM $198.23Palestinian elections delayed again?Yes 47%
1 mktNext deadline Sep 12, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Pennsylvania's 10th District margin of victory
K 2.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 10th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 74.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 10th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 61.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 10th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 45.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-52 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $195.8Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-52 House election by 40% or more?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-52 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-52 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 37.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Rhode Island Governor election: Dan McKee vote percent
K 2.0K contractsWill Dan McKee receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election?Yes 2.5%
Will Dan McKee receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election?Yes 2.5%
Will Dan McKee receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election?Yes 2.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-15 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $193.86Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-15 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 39.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-15 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 39.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-15 House election by 65% or more?Yes 39%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NY-24 House election: Ken Estes vote percent
K 2.0K contractsWill Ken Estes receive at least 7% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-24 House election?Yes 2.5%
Will Ken Estes receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-24 House election?Yes 2.5%
Will Ken Estes receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-24 House election?Yes 2.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Mamdani announces reparations by March 31, 2027?
PM $181.06Mamdani announces reparations by March 31, 2027?Yes 9%
1 mktNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Clark County, Nevada: Aaron Ford vote percent
K 2.0K contractsWill Aaron Ford receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Clark County, Nevada?Yes 96.5%
Will Aaron Ford receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Clark County, Nevada?Yes 89.5%
Will Aaron Ford receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Clark County, Nevada?Yes 74%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Trump pardon Richard Nixon by December 31?
PM $175.56Will Trump pardon Richard Nixon by December 31?Yes 9%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-29 House winner?
K 2.0K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for TX-29?Yes 97.4%
Will Republican win the House race for TX-29?Yes 2.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Khamenei # posts October 20 - October 27, 2026?
PM $175.14Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Yes 82.5%
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Yes 11.5%
Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Yes 4.3%
+10 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Kansas Governor election: Cindy Holscher vote percent
K 2.0K contractsWill Cindy Holscher receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will Cindy Holscher receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election?Yes 94.5%
Will Cindy Holscher receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election?Yes 86%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 22?
PM $172.3Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 22?Yes 1.5%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Tennessee Senate election: Bill Hagerty vote percent
K 2.0K contractsWill Bill Hagerty receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Tennessee Senate election?Yes 97%
Will Bill Hagerty receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 Tennessee Senate election?Yes 96.5%
Will Bill Hagerty receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 Tennessee Senate election?Yes 94%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $171.51Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-06 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 38.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-06 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 38.5%
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-06 House election by 5% or more?Yes 38.3%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will France declare a state of emergency?
K 2.0K contractsWill France declare a state of emergency before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 27%
Will France declare a state of emergency before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 12.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-39 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $165.74Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-39 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 39.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-39 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 39%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-39 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 38.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
SC-04 House election: William Timmons vote percent
K 2.0K contractsWill William Timmons receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-04 House election?Yes 94%
Will William Timmons receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-04 House election?Yes 87%
Will William Timmons receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-04 House election?Yes 75%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
WA-08 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $165.6Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WA-08 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 38.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WA-08 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 38.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WA-08 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 38.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
DE-AL House winner?
K 2.0K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for DE-AL?Yes 98.8%
Will Republican win the House race for DE-AL?Yes 1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Washington voters repeal millionaires tax?
PM $165.56Washington voters repeal millionaires tax?Yes 22.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Minnesota's 6th District margin of victory
K 2.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 6th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 90.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 6th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 76.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 6th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?Yes 66%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Closer Governor Race: California or New York?
PM $163Closer Governor Race: California or New York?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
PA-13 House winner?
K 2.0K contractsWill Republican win the House race for PA-13?Yes 96.6%
Will Democratic win the House race for PA-13?Yes 3.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-21 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $161Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-21 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 38.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-21 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 38.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-21 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 38.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida 12 House General Election: voter turnout
K 2.0K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Florida 12 House General Election be above 230000?Yes 96.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Florida 12 House General Election be above 280000?Yes 74.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Florida 12 House General Election be above 310000?Yes 49.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Trump and Pezeshkian meet by December 31?
PM $153.21Trump and Pezeshkian meet by December 31?Yes 7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Cobb County, Georgia: Jon Ossoff vote percent (1st Round)
K 2.0K contractsWill Jon Ossoff receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Cobb County, Georgia?Yes 98.5%
Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Cobb County, Georgia?Yes 94%
Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Cobb County, Georgia?Yes 80%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-43 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $141.09Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-43 House election?Yes 38.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-43 House election by 65% or more?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-43 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 37.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Louisiana Senate election: Julia Letlow vote percent
K 2.0K contractsWill Julia Letlow receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Louisiana Senate election?Yes 88%
Will Julia Letlow receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 Louisiana Senate election?Yes 76.5%
Will Julia Letlow receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 Louisiana Senate election?Yes 60%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Closer Governor Race: Georgia or Wisconsin?
PM $130Closer Governor Race: Georgia or Wisconsin?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC