Climate prediction markets
597 climate market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
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Showing 481-528 of 597 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiClimate
Hurricane Ulana category?
K 0 contractsWill Ulana become a Category 5 hurricane?Yes 50%
Will Ulana become a Category 4 hurricane?Yes 50%
Will Ulana become a Category 3 hurricane?Yes 50%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on October 20?
PM $290.5Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 20?Yes 40%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 20?Yes 31%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 20?Yes 19.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Hurricane Vance category?
K 0 contractsWill Vance become a Category 1 hurricane?Yes 89.5%
Will Vance become a Category 2 hurricane?Yes 84.5%
Will Vance become a Category 3 hurricane?Yes 64.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Taipei on October 19?
PM $285Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 19?Yes 49.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 19?Yes 49.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on October 19?Yes 49%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Hurricane Winnie category?
K 0 contractsWill Winnie become a Category 5 hurricane?Yes 50%
Will Winnie become a Category 4 hurricane?Yes 50%
Will Winnie become a Category 3 hurricane?Yes 50%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on October 18?
PM $253.55Will the lowest temperature in Qingdao be 13°C on October 18?Yes >99.9%
Will the lowest temperature in Qingdao be 16°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
Will the lowest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
3 mkts
KalshiClimate and Weather
Will a Category 4 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before Dec 1, 2026?
K 0 contractsWill a Category 4 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 1.5%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 7, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Chicago on October 18?
PM $245.02Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on October 18?Yes 96.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 34-35°F on October 18?Yes 43%
Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 36-37°F on October 18?Yes 41%
+8 more
KalshiClimate and Weather
Will a Category 4 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before 2027?
K 0 contractsWill a Category 4 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before 2027?Yes 48%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Miami on October 19?
PM $239.95Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 19?Yes 38%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on October 19?Yes 25.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 19?Yes 22.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Will a Category 5 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before 2027?
K 0 contractsWill a Category 5 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before 2027?Yes 2.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on October 20?
PM $229.32Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 20?Yes 34.5%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 20?Yes 27%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or higher on October 20?Yes 24.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in Lexington in Nov 2026?
K 0 contractsRain in Lexington in Nov 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 67.5%
Rain in Lexington in Nov 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 57%
Rain in Lexington in Nov 2026? (Above 1 inch)Yes 42.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Dec 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Houston on October 18?
PM $226.85Will the lowest temperature in Houston be between 56-57°F on October 18?Yes 88.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Houston be between 54-55°F on October 18?Yes 49%
Will the lowest temperature in Houston be between 48-49°F on October 18?Yes 46%
+8 more
KalshiTech
How much will it rain in Napa in November 2026?
K 0 contractsHow much will it rain in Napa in November 2026? (Above 6 inches)Yes 49%
How much will it rain in Napa in November 2026? (Above 10 inches)Yes 49%
How much will it rain in Napa in November 2026? (Above 8 inches)Yes 48.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Dec 7, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Ankara on October 18?
PM $226.18Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 4°C on October 18?Yes 91.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 3°C on October 18?Yes 49%
Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 0°C or below on October 18?Yes 47%
+8 more
KalshiTech
Rain in Providence in Nov 2026?
K 0 contractsRain in Providence in Nov 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 68%
Rain in Providence in Nov 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 56.5%
Rain in Providence in Nov 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 48.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Dec 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
California winter 2026-27 wetter or drier?
PM $223.26California winter 2026-27 wetter or drier?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Mar 16, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Top Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Oct 18, 2026
K 0 contractsWill WTF GOIN rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos United States chart dated Oct 18, 2026?Yes 47.5%
Will Todo Lo Fue rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos United States chart dated Oct 18, 2026?Yes 47.5%
Will The Aura Farmer - Horror Skunx (official song) rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos United States chart dated Oct 18, 2026?Yes 47.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Atlanta on October 18?
PM $219.8Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 48-49°F on October 18?Yes 96.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 46-47°F on October 18?Yes 49%
Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 40-41°F on October 18?Yes 47%
+8 more
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Panama City on October 20?
PM $180.67Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 20?Yes 36%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 20?Yes 34%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on October 20?Yes 28.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in NYC on October 19?
PM $154.53Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on October 19?Yes 34%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 37°F or below on October 19?Yes 28.5%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on October 19?Yes 28.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Chongqing on October 18?
PM $145Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 18?Yes >99.9%
Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 13°C or below on October 18?Yes <0.1%
Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
+1 more
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Dallas on October 18?
PM $135Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 52-53°F on October 18?Yes 55.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 50-51°F on October 18?Yes 50%
Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 40-41°F on October 18?Yes 44.5%
+8 more
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on October 18?
PM $134.99Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 8°C on October 18?Yes 51%
Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on October 18?Yes 50%
Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 5°C on October 18?Yes 47%
+8 more
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on October 18?
PM $120Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on October 18?Yes 51%
Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on October 18?Yes 51%
Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 14°C on October 18?Yes 49.5%
+8 more
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in London on October 20?
PM $109.32Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on October 20?Yes 52%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 3°C or below on October 20?Yes 35.5%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C or higher on October 20?Yes 34.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Paris on October 20?
PM $98.06Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C or below on October 20?Yes 44.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C on October 20?Yes 34%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 20?Yes 34%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on October 19?
PM $90Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C or higher on October 19?Yes 35%
Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be -1°C on October 19?Yes 34%
Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 1°C on October 19?Yes 34%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
What will the biggest earthquake be on October 18, 2026?
PM $87.81Will the biggest earthquake on October 18, 2026 be under 5.3?Yes 58.5%
Will the biggest earthquake on October 18, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4?Yes 14%
Will the biggest earthquake on October 18, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?Yes 11.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Munich on October 18?
PM $74Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 8°C on October 18?Yes 51%
Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 18?Yes 51%
Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 18?Yes 49%
+8 more
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on October 19?
PM $70Will the lowest temperature in Qingdao be 7°C or below on October 19?Yes 50%
Will the lowest temperature in Qingdao be 11°C on October 19?Yes 49.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Qingdao be 12°C on October 19?Yes 49.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Atlanta on October 19?
PM $66.26Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be 56°F or higher on October 19?Yes 49%
Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 38-39°F on October 19?Yes 34%
Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 40-41°F on October 19?Yes 34%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on October 20?
PM $54.09Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 20?Yes 46%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 20?Yes 41.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on October 20?Yes 26%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on October 20?
PM $48.59Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 20?Yes 59.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 20?Yes 27%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 20?Yes 25.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on October 18?
PM $44Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 54-55°F on October 18?Yes 51%
Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on October 18?Yes 51%
Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on October 18?Yes 51%
+8 more
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on October 19?
PM $42.12Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be 57°F or below on October 19?Yes 50%
Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be 76°F or higher on October 19?Yes 49%
Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 58-59°F on October 19?Yes 34%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of October 20, 2026
PM $40Will Oklahoma have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?Yes 89.5%
Will Alabama have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?Yes 50%
Will Arizona have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?Yes 50%
+37 moreNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
What will the biggest earthquake be on October 19, 2026?
PM $36.36Will the biggest earthquake on October 19, 2026 be 6.1 or more?Yes 23.5%
Will the biggest earthquake on October 19, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?Yes 17%
Will the biggest earthquake on October 19, 2026 be under 5.3?Yes 16.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Chongqing on October 20?
PM $35Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 12°C or below on October 20?Yes 49.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C or higher on October 20?Yes 48.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 14°C on October 20?Yes 34%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Dallas on October 19?
PM $30Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be 60°F or higher on October 19?Yes 50%
Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 42-43°F on October 19?Yes 34%
Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 44-45°F on October 19?Yes 34%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Seattle on October 19?
PM $30Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be 56°F or higher on October 19?Yes 49%
Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 38-39°F on October 19?Yes 34%
Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 40-41°F on October 19?Yes 34%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on October 20?
PM $30Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 20?Yes 23%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 20?Yes 22.5%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 20?Yes 22.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Madrid on October 19?
PM $24Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 14°C or higher on October 19?Yes 49%
Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 7°C on October 19?Yes 34%
Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 8°C on October 19?Yes 34%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 20?
PM $22Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 20?Yes 48%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 20?Yes 36.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on October 20?Yes 29.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on October 19?
PM $20Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C on October 19?Yes 47.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 22°C on October 19?Yes 47%
Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 23°C on October 19?Yes 47%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on October 19?
PM $18Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be 64°F or higher on October 19?Yes 50%
Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 46-47°F on October 19?Yes 34%
Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 48-49°F on October 19?Yes 34%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in San Francisco on October 20?
PM $17.05Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 20?Yes 23%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 20?Yes 23%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 20?Yes 13.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC