Politics prediction markets
6,940 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
PoliticsSportsCultureCryptoClimateEconomicsMentionsCompaniesFinancialsTechScienceHealthWorldClear categories
Showing 1,585-1,632 of 6,940 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
K 16.5K contractsWill the California High-Speed Rail Authority announce that permanent mainline track installation on the Central Valley high-speed rail guideway has physically begun (rail laid on the running alignment, not materials staging, railhead or yard trackwork, or a declared "track-laying phase") before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 60.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 9, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Sonora Governor Election Winner
PM $44.2KWill Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?Yes 67.5%
Will Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?Yes 15.4%
Will Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?Yes 6.7%
+16 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
CA-03 House winner?
PM $44.2K · K 22.9K contractsWill the Democratic Party win the CA-03 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for CA-3?
Related contracts
PM Yes 95.9%Rules differK Yes 95.2%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-03 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for CA-3?
Related contracts
PM Yes 3.7%Rules differK Yes 3.4%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor?
K 16.5K contractsWill Friedrich Merz leave Chancellor of Germany before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 79%
Will Friedrich Merz leave Chancellor of Germany before Jul 1, 2028?Yes 63%
Will Friedrich Merz leave Chancellor of Germany before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 51%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
CA-37 House winner?
PM $44.0K · K 22.5K contractsWill Sydney Kamlager-Dove win the CA-37 House seat?
Kalshi: Who will win the 2026 CA-37 House election? (Sydney Kamlager-Dove)
Related contracts
PM Yes 94.1%Rules differK Yes 94.5%
Will Samantha Mota win the CA-37 House seat?
Kalshi: Who will win the 2026 CA-37 House election? (Samantha Mota)
Related contracts
PM Yes 3.6%Rules differK Yes 2.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many House seats will Democrats win in Ohio?
K 16.4K contractsWill Democrats win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Ohio?Yes 37%
Will Democrats win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Ohio?Yes 25.5%
Will Democrats win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Ohio?Yes 13.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
OH-13 House winner?
PM $44.0K · K 13.7K contractsWill the Democratic Party win the OH-13 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for OH-13?
Related contracts
PM Yes 95.5%Rules differK Yes 94%
Will the Republican Party win the OH-13 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for OH-13?
Related contracts
PM Yes 1.1%Rules differK Yes 3%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
When will AP call the 2026 U.S. House majority?
K 16.4K contractsWill AP call the 2026 U.S. House majority before 12AM ET on Jan 1, 2027?Yes 96.5%
Will AP call the 2026 U.S. House majority before 12AM ET on Nov 14, 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will AP call the 2026 U.S. House majority before 12AM ET on Nov 11, 2026?Yes 90.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
GA-07 House winner?
K 16.4K contractsWill Republican win the House race for GA-07?Yes 92.2%
Will Democratic win the House race for GA-07?Yes 7.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OK-01 House Election Winner
PM $43.9KWill the Republican Party win the OK-01 House seat?Yes 97.1%
Will the Democratic Party win the OK-01 House seat?Yes 1.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Grammy nominees: Record of the Year
K 16.4K contracts2026 Grammy nominees for Record of the Year? (Man I Need)Yes 93.5%
2026 Grammy nominees for Record of the Year? (Choosin' Texas)Yes 88.5%
2026 Grammy nominees for Record of the Year? (I Just Might)Yes 87.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
GA-07 House Election Winner
PM $43.9KWill the Republican Party win the GA-07 House seat?Yes 92.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-07 House seat?Yes 7.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CA-15 House winner?
K 16.4K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for CA-15?Yes 96.4%
Will Republican win the House race for CA-15?Yes 2.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CO-01 House Election Winner
PM $43.8KWill the Democratic Party win the CO-01 House seat?Yes 97.9%
Will the Republican Party win the CO-01 House seat?Yes 1.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Arizona Senate winner? (2028)
K 16.3K contractsWill Democratics win the Senate race in Arizona?Yes 74.5%
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Arizona?Yes 25%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Ministerpräsident of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?
PM $43.7KWill Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?Yes 96.7%
Will Enrico Schult be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?Yes 2%
Will Leif-Erik Holm be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?Yes 1.6%
+4 more
KalshiPolitics
El Paso County Judge winner?
K 16.3K contractsWho will win the 2026 El Paso County Judge general election? (Ricardo Samaniego)Yes 97.5%
Who will win the 2026 El Paso County Judge general election? (Minerva Torres Shelton)Yes 2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
PM $43.6KU.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? Yes 3.8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida's 2nd District margin of victory
K 16.2K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 2nd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 84.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 2nd District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 76.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 2nd District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 64%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IN-04 House Election Winner
PM $43.6KWill the Republican Party win the IN-04 House seat?Yes 94.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-04 House seat?Yes 4.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Colorado's 5th District margin of victory
K 16.2K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Colorado's 5th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 69%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Colorado's 5th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 53%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Colorado's 5th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 37.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IN-03 House Election Winner
PM $43.5KWill the Republican Party win the IN-03 House seat?Yes 95.4%
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-03 House seat?Yes 4.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will Elon Musk back a primary against in 2026?
K 16.2K contractsWho will Elon Musk back a primary against in 2026? (Mike Johnson)Yes 2.6%
Who will Elon Musk back a primary against in 2026? (Tom Cole)Yes 2.3%
Who will Elon Musk back a primary against in 2026? (Steve Daines)Yes 2.3%
+2 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IL-06 House Election Winner
PM $43.5KWill the Democratic Party win the IL-06 House seat?Yes 96.2%
Will the Republican Party win the IL-06 House seat?Yes 2.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Ohio Governor margin of victory
K 16.2K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Ohio be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 26%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Ohio be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 17.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Ohio be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 7%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Arkansas Senate Election: Turnout
PM $43.4KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 900,000 and 975,000?Yes 57.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 975,000 and 1,050,000?Yes 19%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 825,000 and 900,000?Yes 13.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiWorld
Bank of Korea rate decision in October
PM $43.3K · K 11.3K contractsWill the Bank of Korea hold at the October 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Bank of Korea Maintain current rate at the October Monetary Policy Board meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 96.5%Rules differK Yes 96%
Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Bank of Korea Hike 1-25bps at the October Monetary Policy Board meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 2.9%Rules differK Yes 3.5%
Will the Bank of Korea cut by 50 bps or more at the October 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Bank of Korea Cut more than 25bps at the October Monetary Policy Board meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes <0.1%Rules differK Yes 0.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Gambian presidential election winner?
K 16.1K contractsWho will win the next Gambian presidential election? (Adama Barrow)Yes 68.5%
Who will win the next Gambian presidential election? (Ousainou Darboe)Yes 17%
Who will win the next Gambian presidential election? (Talib Bensouda)Yes 10.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa?
K 16.1K contractsWhat will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Sioux City, Iowa originally scheduled for October 22, 2026? (Transgender)Yes 97.5%
What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Sioux City, Iowa originally scheduled for October 22, 2026? (Save America Act)Yes 95.5%
What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Sioux City, Iowa originally scheduled for October 22, 2026? (Healthcare)Yes 94.5%
+30 moreNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-14 House Election Winner
PM $43.2KWill the Democratic Party win the CA-14 House seat?Yes 99.4%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-14 House seat?Yes 0.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Schleswig-Holstein state election winner?
K 16.1K contractsWill CDU win the 2027 Schleswig-Holstein state election?Yes 58%
Will AfD win the 2027 Schleswig-Holstein state election?Yes 19.5%
Will Grüne win the 2027 Schleswig-Holstein state election?Yes 2.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Apr 18, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
USS George Washington departs CENTCOM by...?
PM $43.2KWill the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by December 31, 2026?Yes 88.5%
Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by November 30, 2026?Yes 70.5%
Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by November 15, 2026?Yes 31.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Maryland award the Key Bridge main span contract by summer 2027?
K 16.0K contractsWill the Maryland Transportation Authority (MDTA) or its Board announce its award of the contract to construct the main span of the replacement Francis Scott Key Bridge to a named firm or team, under any contract structure or delivery method before Oct 1, 2027?Yes 56.5%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-42 House Election Winner
PM $43.0KWill the Democratic Party win the CA-42 House seat?Yes 96.2%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-42 House seat?Yes 3.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
MI-08 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $43.0K · K 10.4K contractsWill the Democratic Party win the MI-08 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for MI-8?
Related contracts
PM Yes 94.5%Rules differK Yes 93.7%
Will the Republican Party win the MI-08 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for MI-8?
Related contracts
PM Yes 4.9%Rules differK Yes 4.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-08 House election?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for MI-8?
Related contracts
PM Yes 1.1%Rules differK Yes 4.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Brooklyn Beckham: Seen in public with David or Victoria Beckham in 2026?
K 16.0K contractsWill Brooklyn Beckham be seen in public with David or Victoria Beckham this year?Yes 11.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Denton County Judge winner?
K 15.9K contractsWho will win the 2026 Denton County Judge general election? (Andy Eads)Yes 88.5%
Who will win the 2026 Denton County Judge general election? (Nick Pappas)Yes 9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-48 House Election Winner
PM $43.0KWill the Democratic Party win the CA-48 House seat?Yes 93.5%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-48 House seat?Yes 6.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Top 3 Fantasy QB
K 15.9K contractsWill Josh Allen be a top 3 fantasy QB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 82.5%
Will Jordan Love be a top 3 fantasy QB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 52.5%
Will Matthew Stafford be a top 3 fantasy QB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 52%
+34 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-20 House Election Winner
PM $42.9KWill the Democratic Party win the FL-20 House seat?Yes 98.2%
Will the Republican Party win the FL-20 House seat?Yes 1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Which abortion-related measures will pass in 2026?
K 15.9K contractsWill Nevada Question 6 (Right to Abortion Initiative) in Nevada pass?Yes 94.3%
Will the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom Amendment in Virginia pass?Yes 91.3%
Will Missouri Amendment 3 in Missouri pass?Yes 56%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IN-08 House Election Winner
PM $42.8KWill the Republican Party win the IN-08 House seat?Yes 95.9%
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-08 House seat?Yes 4.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Ken Martin out as DNC chair?
K 15.8K contractsWill Ken Martin be out as chair of the Democratic National Committee before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 53.5%
Will Ken Martin be out as chair of the Democratic National Committee before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 34.5%
Will Ken Martin be out as chair of the Democratic National Committee before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 21.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NY-26 House Election Winner
PM $42.7KWill the Democratic Party win the NY-26 House seat?Yes 96.8%
Will the Republican Party win the NY-26 House seat?Yes 3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Next French presidential election: 2nd place (1st round)
K 15.8K contractsWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon finish 2nd in the first round of the next French presidential election?Yes 26.5%
Will Édouard Philippe finish 2nd in the first round of the next French presidential election?Yes 26.5%
Will Marine Le Pen finish 2nd in the first round of the next French presidential election?Yes 11%
+11 moreNext deadline Apr 18, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AR-02 House Election Winner
PM $42.7KWill the Republican Party win the AR-02 House seat?Yes 83%
Will the Democratic Party win the AR-02 House seat?Yes 17.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Ottawa mayoral election winner?
K 15.8K contractsWill Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Yes 91.4%
Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Yes 3.6%
Will Alex Lawson win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Yes 2%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Quintana Roo Governor Election Winner
PM $42.7KWill Eugenio Segura Vázquez win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?Yes 79%
Will Ana Patricia Peralta de la Peña win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?Yes 4.5%
Will Reyna Tamayo Carballo win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?Yes 3%
+13 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC