Politics prediction markets
6,946 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
PoliticsSportsCultureCryptoClimateEconomicsMentionsCompaniesFinancialsTechScienceHealthWorldClear categories
Showing 1,969-2,016 of 6,946 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
Spanish general election: Vox vote percent
K 11.6K contractsWill Vox receive at least 13% of the popular vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes 97.5%
Will Vox receive at least 15% of the popular vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes 97%
Will Vox receive at least 14% of the popular vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes 97%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-02 House Election Winner
PM $31.4KWill the Republican Party win the TX-02 House seat?Yes 92.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-02 House seat?Yes 6.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Golden Globe Nominations: Best Supporting Actor on TV
K 11.6K contractsWill David Harbour be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor on TV at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 85.5%
Will Stephen Root be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor on TV at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 76%
Will Charles Melton be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actor on TV at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 74.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-19 House Election Winner
PM $31.3KWill the Republican Party win the TX-19 House seat?Yes 97.8%
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-19 House seat?Yes 0.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will JD Vance say during his rally in North Carolina?
K 11.5K contractsWhat will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Hendersonville, North Carolina originally scheduled for October 19, 2026? (Democrat)Yes 93.5%
What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Hendersonville, North Carolina originally scheduled for October 19, 2026? (Election)Yes 89.5%
What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Hendersonville, North Carolina originally scheduled for October 19, 2026? (2028 / Campaign)Yes 83.5%
+25 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Prime Minister of Greece?
PM $31.3KWill Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?Yes 68%
Will Alexis Tsipras be the next Prime Minister of Greece?Yes 7.2%
Will Afroditi Latinopoulou be the next Prime Minister of Greece?Yes 1.7%
+8 moreNext deadline Jul 26, 2027 UTC
KalshiCulture
Who will go on Tiny Desk this year?
K 11.5K contractsWill Patti Smith be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?Yes 67.5%
Will Olivia Dean be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?Yes 29%
Will Paul McCartney be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?Yes 13%
+24 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NY-07 House Election Winner
PM $31.2KWill the Democratic Party win the NY-07 House seat?Yes 96.8%
Will the Republican Party win the NY-07 House seat?Yes 0.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
PA-17 House winner?
PM $31.1K · K 14.2K contractsWill the Democratic Party win the PA-17 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for PA-17?
Related contracts
PM Yes 95.8%Rules differK Yes 95.4%
Will the Republican Party win the PA-17 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for PA-17?
Related contracts
PM Yes 2.6%Rules differK Yes 2.4%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Serbian parliamentary election: voter turnout
K 11.5K contractsWill at least 3,150,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?Yes 97%
Will at least 3,000,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?Yes 97%
Will at least 3,450,000 ballots be cast in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election?Yes 96.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-30 House election: Everett Jackson vote percent
K 11.5K contractsWill Everett Jackson receive at least 12% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-30 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Everett Jackson receive at least 14% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-30 House election?Yes 95%
Will Everett Jackson receive at least 16% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-30 House election?Yes 87.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Hsinchu City Mayor Election Winner
PM $30.9KWill Ann Kao win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election?Yes 86.5%
Will Chuang Ching-cheng win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election?Yes 11.1%
Will Ho Chih-yung win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election?Yes 0.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
CA-14 House winner?
PM $30.9K · K 64.2K contractsWill Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 House seat?
Kalshi: Who will win the 2026 CA-14 House election? (Aisha Wahab)
Related contracts
PM Yes 89.5%Rules differK Yes 91.5%
Will Melissa Hernandez win the CA-14 House seat?
Kalshi: Who will win the 2026 CA-14 House election? (Melissa Hernandez)
Related contracts
PM Yes 5.4%Rules differK Yes 8.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Will nonstop U.S.–Lebanon passenger flights resume?
K 11.5K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a publicly scheduled commercial passenger flight carrying revenue passengers completes a nonstop trip between an airport in the United States and an airport in Lebanon before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 21%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a publicly scheduled commercial passenger flight carrying revenue passengers completes a nonstop trip between an airport in the United States and an airport in Lebanon before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 8%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will Pete Buttigieg announce his presidential candidacy?
K 11.4K contractsWill Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President of the United States before Oct 1, 2027?Yes 92%
Will Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President of the United States before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 85.5%
Will Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President of the United States before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 78%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-29 House Election Winner
PM $30.9KWill the Democratic Party win the CA-29 House seat?Yes 96.6%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-29 House seat?Yes 3.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
119th Congress legislative combo
K 11.4K contractsWill a crypto market structure bill be become law AND the farm bill be become law AND a federal housing bill be become law for Jan 2027?Yes 2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
WI-08 House Election Winner
PM $30.9KWill the Republican Party win the WI-08 House seat?Yes 90%
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-08 House seat?Yes 10.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Arizona's 1st District margin of victory
K 11.4K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 1st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 73%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 1st District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 66%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 1st District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 51%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NC-07 House Election Winner
PM $30.9KWill the Republican Party win the NC-07 House seat?Yes 85%
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-07 House seat?Yes 14.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Actor
K 11.4K contractsWill John Malkovich be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 96%
Will Matt Damon be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 90%
Will Andrew Scott be on the list of nominees for Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 90%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CT-03 House Election Winner
PM $30.8KWill the Democratic Party win the CT-03 House seat?Yes 96.5%
Will the Republican Party win the CT-03 House seat?Yes 3.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Illinois pension debt in 2026?
K 11.4K contractsWill the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 be above $140 billion?Yes 95%
Will the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 be above $145 billion?Yes 78%
Will the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 be above $150 billion?Yes 10.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Huon Valley Mayoral Election Winner
PM $30.7KWill Abby McKibben win the next Huon Valley mayoral election?Yes 33%
Will Mark Jessop win the next Huon Valley mayoral election?Yes 29.5%
Will Paul Gibson win the next Huon Valley mayoral election?Yes 24.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Georgia State House winner?
K 11.4K contractsWho will win the Georgia State House? (Republican party)Yes 67.5%
Who will win the Georgia State House? (Democratic party)Yes 22.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-07 House Election Winner
PM $30.7KWill the Democratic Party win the TX-07 House seat?Yes 96.2%
Will the Republican Party win the TX-07 House seat?Yes 2.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Global remittances received in 2026
K 11.4K contractsWill global personal remittances received in 2026 be above $750 billion?Yes 94.5%
Will global personal remittances received in 2026 be above $800 billion?Yes 93.5%
Will global personal remittances received in 2026 be above $850 billion?Yes 86.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
PA-15 House Election Winner
PM $30.4KWill the Republican Party win the PA-15 House seat?Yes 95.8%
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-15 House seat?Yes 4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US effective tariff rate for Q3 2026
K 11.3K contractsWill the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 be above 3%?Yes 88%
Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 be above 4%?Yes 87.5%
Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 be above 6%?Yes 87%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NJ-12 House Election Winner
PM $30.4KWill the Democratic Party win the NJ-12 House seat?Yes 97.9%
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-12 House seat?Yes 1.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Arkansas Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $30.4K · K 6.9K contractsWill the Republicans win the Arkansas governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Arkansas
Related contracts
PM Yes 97.2%Rules differK Yes 96.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial election?
Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Arkansas
Related contracts
PM Yes 5%Rules differK Yes 2%
Will the Democrats win the Arkansas governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Arkansas
Related contracts
PM Yes 2.1%Rules differK Yes 2%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida's 12th District margin of victory
K 11.3K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 12th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 86.1%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 12th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 75%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 12th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 62%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
CA-49 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $30.3K · K 15.9K contractsWill the Democratic Party win the CA-49 House seat?
Kalshi: Will a Democrat win the House race for CA-49?
Related contracts
PM Yes 95.8%Rules differK Yes 96.1%
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-49 House election?
Kalshi: Will a Republican win the House race for CA-49?
Related contracts
PM Yes 33.2%Rules differK Yes 2.5%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-49 House seat?
Kalshi: Will a Republican win the House race for CA-49?
Related contracts
PM Yes 3.6%Rules differK Yes 2.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25)
K 11.3K contractsWill the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 3 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?Yes 93.5%
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 4 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?Yes 77.5%
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 5 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?Yes 58.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 25, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
GA-09 House winner?
K 11.3K contractsWill Republican win the House race for GA-09?Yes 95.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for GA-09?Yes 3.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Regional Board Chair of Örebro?
PM $30.2KWill Jenny Steen be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County?Yes 75.6%
Will Behcet Barsom be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County?Yes 10.4%
Will Markus Allard be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County?Yes 3.6%
+5 more
KalshiPolitics
Taiwan presidential election winner?
K 11.2K contractsWho will win the next Taiwanese presidential election? (William Lai)Yes 74.5%
Who will win the next Taiwanese presidential election? (Cheng Li-wun)Yes 11%
Who will win the next Taiwanese presidential election? (Terry Gou)Yes 4.3%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 30, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NY-13 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $30.2KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-13 House election by 70%-75%?Yes 31.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-13 House election by 65%-70%?Yes 27%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-13 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 17.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Michigan Senate General Election: voter turnout
K 11.2K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Michigan Senate General Election be above 3800000?Yes 95.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Michigan Senate General Election be above 4100000?Yes 90.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Michigan Senate General Election be above 4400000?Yes 81%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Mayor of Buffalo City (East London)?
PM $29.5KWill Princess Faku be the next mayor of Buffalo City?Yes 69%
Will Ncedo Kumbaca be the next mayor of Buffalo City?Yes 11%
Will Simphiwe Dzengwa be the next mayor of Buffalo City?Yes 3%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Texas: Abbott's margin vs. Paxton's margin?
K 11.2K contractsWill Greg Abbott's governor margin minus Ken Paxton's Senate margin be between 6 and 9 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 36.5%
Will Greg Abbott's governor margin minus Ken Paxton's Senate margin be between 3 and 6 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 30.5%
Will Greg Abbott's governor margin minus Ken Paxton's Senate margin be between 9 and 12 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 10.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Apr 29, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MN-03 House Election Winner
PM $29.5KWill the Democratic Party win the MN-03 House seat?Yes 96.9%
Will the Republican Party win the MN-03 House seat?Yes 2.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Who will be a part of the next government of British Columbia?
K 11.2K contractsWill BC Conservatives be a part of the next government in British Columbia?Yes 74%
Will BC NDP be a part of the next government in British Columbia?Yes 28%
Will BC Greens be a part of the next government in British Columbia?Yes 6.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Mar 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by...?
PM $29.5KWill Talarico and Paxton debate live by October 31?Yes 20.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Actress
K 11.2K contractsWill Julianne Moore be on the list of nominees for Best Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 91.5%
Will Inde Navarrette be on the list of nominees for Best Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 79%
Will Ruth Madeley be on the list of nominees for Best Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 69%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
VA-11 House Election Winner
PM $29.5KWill the Democratic Party win the VA-11 House seat?Yes 96.9%
Will the Republican Party win the VA-11 House seat?Yes 1.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Bank of England rate decision in December
K 11.2K contractsWill the Bank of England Maintain current rate at the December Monetary Policy Committee meeting?Yes 51.5%
Will the Bank of England Hike 1-25bps at the December Monetary Policy Committee meeting?Yes 30.5%
Will the Bank of England Hike more than 25bps at the December Monetary Policy Committee meeting?Yes 10%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 24, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?
PM $29.4KWill there be no next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?Yes 50.5%
Will Maurizio Massari be the next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?Yes 21.9%
Will William Ruger be the next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?Yes 11.8%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC