Politics prediction markets

PM Yes 91.5%Rules differK Yes 90.1%

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-22 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for CA-22?

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Will the Republican Party win the CA-22 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for CA-22?

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PM Yes 9%Rules differK Yes 9.9%

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2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Will Trump establish nationwide concealed carry?

Will establishing nationwide concealed carry reciprocity becomes law before Jan 4, 2027?Yes 6.5%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 4, 2027 UTC

Will anyone face federal charges tied to Fulton County’s 2020 election?

Will any individual in connection with the DOJ investigation into the 2020 election in Fulton County be charged with a crime before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 17.5%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-03 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 21.3%

CO-03 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $27.9K

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-03 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 19.2%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-03 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 16.5%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Indiana's 5th District margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Indiana's 5th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 77%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Indiana's 5th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 65%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Indiana's 5th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 52%

Will the Democratic Party win the MA-08 House seat?Yes 97.4%

MA-08 House Election Winner

PM $27.9K

Will the Republican Party win the MA-08 House seat?Yes 1.8%

KalshiSports

Real Madrid: Florentino Pérez Out as President

Will Florentino Pérez leave from being President of Real Madrid in 2026?Yes 9.5%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

FL-21 House Election Winner

Will the Republican Party win the FL-21 House seat?Yes 92.5%

Will the Democratic Party win the FL-21 House seat?Yes 8.2%

Missouri's 5th District margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Missouri's 5th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 97%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Missouri's 5th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 95.4%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Missouri's 5th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?Yes 93.8%

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of October?

Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?Yes 93%

Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?Yes 3.7%

Will there be between 15 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?Yes 1.9%

+4 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

MO-01 House election: Wesley Bell vote percent

Will Wesley Bell receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-01 House election?Yes 88%

Will Wesley Bell receive at least 76% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-01 House election?Yes 75.5%

Will Wesley Bell receive at least 78% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-01 House election?Yes 55%

Maynas Mayoral Election Winner

Will Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo win the next Maynas mayoral elections?Yes 90.3%

Will Sergio Antonio Donayre Ramírez win the next Maynas mayoral elections?Yes 4.2%

Will Ernesto Concha La Torre win the next Maynas mayoral elections?Yes 3.6%

+16 more

Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent

Will Alani Bankhead receive at least 10% of the popular vote in the 2026 Montana Senate election?Yes 86.5%

Will Alani Bankhead receive at least 13% of the popular vote in the 2026 Montana Senate election?Yes 61%

Will Alani Bankhead receive at least 14% of the popular vote in the 2026 Montana Senate election?Yes 53%

TX-28 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-28 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 19.5%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-28 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 17%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-28 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 15.5%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Israeli Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

Will Together finish 3rd in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election?Yes 78.5%

Will The Democrats finish 3rd in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election?Yes 6.5%

Will Otzma Yehudit finish 3rd in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election?Yes 5.5%

+20 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2027 UTC

Will Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes win the next Arequipa mayoral elections?Yes 91.5%

Arequipa Mayoral Election Winner

PM $27.6K

Will Alfredo Willy Benavente Godoy win the next Arequipa mayoral elections?Yes 7%

Will Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa win the next Arequipa mayoral elections?Yes 3.5%

+17 more

Minas Gerais: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory (runoff)

Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff in the state of Minas Gerais be at least 1%?Yes 92.5%

Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff in the state of Minas Gerais be at least 4%?Yes 86%

Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff in the state of Minas Gerais be at least 7%?Yes 60%

+5 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2027 UTC

Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?Yes 0.8%

Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?

PM $27.6K

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiEconomics

Which ballot measures will pass in New Mexico?

Will Bond Question 1 pass?Yes 96%

Will Bond Question 2 pass?Yes 94.5%

Will Bond Question 3 pass?Yes 84%

+4 moreNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the OR-01 House seat?Yes 96.2%

OR-01 House Election Winner

PM $27.6K

Will the Republican Party win the OR-01 House seat?Yes 2.5%

Will another state enact a data center moratorium?

Will a statewide data center moratorium become law in any U.S. state except New York before Mar 1, 2027?Yes 73.5%

Will a statewide data center moratorium become law in any U.S. state except New York before Feb 1, 2027?Yes 65.5%

Will a statewide data center moratorium become law in any U.S. state except New York before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 59.5%

+1 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC

Will Jess Wilson be the next Premier of Victoria?Yes 76%

Next Premier of Victoria

PM $27.5K

Will Ben Carroll be the next Premier of Victoria?Yes 17.9%

Will Warren Pickering be the next Premier of Victoria?Yes 5.1%

+12 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC

FL-02 House winner?

Will Republican win the House race for FL-02?Yes 91.8%

Will Democratic win the House race for FL-02?Yes 7.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the NY-06 House seat?Yes 97.2%

NY-06 House Election Winner

PM $27.5K

Will the Republican Party win the NY-06 House seat?Yes 0.1%

Colorado's 5th District margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Colorado's 5th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 16%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Colorado's 5th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 10.5%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Colorado's 5th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 3.3%

3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?Yes 83%

NC-03 House Election Winner

PM $27.5K

Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?Yes 16.5%

Maryland's 1st District margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Maryland's 1st District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 83.5%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Maryland's 1st District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 72.5%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Maryland's 1st District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 57%

Will the Republican Party win the FL-16 House seat?Yes 80%

FL-16 House Election Winner

PM $27.4K

Will the Democratic Party win the FL-16 House seat?Yes 18%

College Football: Top 25 Ranked Teams on Oct 25 AP Poll

Will Wake Forest be a top 25 ranked team on the College Football AP Poll Week 9 rankings (expected to be released on Oct 25, 2026)?Yes 99.5%

Will Florida be a top 25 ranked team on the College Football AP Poll Week 9 rankings (expected to be released on Oct 25, 2026)?Yes 99.5%

Will Utah be a top 25 ranked team on the College Football AP Poll Week 9 rankings (expected to be released on Oct 25, 2026)?Yes 97.5%

+72 moreNext deadline Nov 17, 2026 UTC

Will the Republican Party win the TN-01 House seat?Yes 97.5%

TN-01 House Election Winner

PM $27.4K

Will the Democratic Party win the TN-01 House seat?Yes 2.3%

Next Moldovan presidential election winner?

Who will win the next Moldovan presidential election? (Alexandr Stoianoglo)Yes 20.5%

Who will win the next Moldovan presidential election? (Igor Dodon)Yes 14.5%

Who will win the next Moldovan presidential election? (Igor Grosu)Yes 13%

+6 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2029 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

New Mexico Senate winner?

PM $27.3K · K 59.1K contracts

Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Democratics win the Senate race in New Mexico?

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PM Yes 97.5%Rules differK Yes 97.2%

Will the Republicans win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Republicans win the Senate race in New Mexico?

Related contracts

PM Yes 2%Rules differK Yes 2.2%

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Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

When will Wales call a snap election?

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that an extraordinary general election to the Senedd is called before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 15%

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that an extraordinary general election to the Senedd is called before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 2.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Jul 8, 2027 UTC

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-07 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 18.5%

OH-07 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $27.3K

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-07 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 17.5%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-07 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 14.5%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?

PM $27.3K · K 18.6K contracts

Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by December 31?

Kalshi: Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Jan 1, 2027?

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PM Yes 48.5%Rules differK Yes 37.5%

Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by November 30?

Kalshi: Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Dec 1, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 7.5%Rules differK Yes 6.5%

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Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC