Climate prediction markets
610 climate market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
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Showing 193-240 of 610 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiClimate and Weather
Rain in Paris on Sep 3, 2027?
K 4.5K contractsRain in Paris on Sep 3, 2027?Yes 53.5%
1 mktNext deadline Sep 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Lucknow on October 19?
PM $13.3KWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 19?Yes 60.5%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 19?Yes 20.5%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 19?Yes 18.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Snow in Washington DC in Dec 2026?
K 4.5K contractsSnow in Washington DC in Dec 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 24%
Snow in Washington DC in Dec 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 17%
Snow in Washington DC in Dec 2026? (Above 6 inches)Yes 13.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on October 18?
PM $12.5KWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 18?Yes 47.5%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 18?Yes 35.5%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on October 18?Yes 15.5%
+8 more
KalshiClimate and Weather
EU meets its 2030 climate goals?
K 4.4K contractsWill the EU meet its climate goals?Yes 43%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2032 UTC
PolymarketClimate
How many Chinook will pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?
PM $12.2KWill more than 550,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?Yes 98.9%
Will more than 575,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?Yes 98.5%
Will more than 585,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?Yes 23.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
When will Park City Mountain open for the 26/27 winter season?
K 4.3K contractsWill Park City Mountain open before Dec 20, 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will Park City Mountain open before Dec 13, 2026?Yes 97%
Will Park City Mountain open before Dec 6, 2026?Yes 94.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 12 - October 18?
PM $12.2KWill there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes 82%
Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes 17.6%
Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes 3.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
When will Keystone Resort open for the 26/27 winter season?
K 4.2K contractsWill Keystone Resort open before Nov 22, 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will Keystone Resort open before Nov 8, 2026?Yes 86%
Will Keystone Resort open before Nov 15, 2026?Yes 83%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Milan on October 19?
PM $11.4KWill the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 19?Yes 50%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 19?Yes 30%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 19?Yes 15.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
When will Stowe Mountain Resort open for the 26/27 winter season?
K 4.2K contractsWill Stowe Mountain Resort open before Dec 13, 2026?Yes 90%
Will Stowe Mountain Resort open before Dec 6, 2026?Yes 87%
Will Stowe Mountain Resort open before Nov 29, 2026?Yes 78.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 22, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Helsinki on October 19?
PM $10.6KWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 19?Yes 45%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 19?Yes 35.5%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 19?Yes 8%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in Lexington in Oct 2026?
K 4.2K contractsRain in Lexington in Oct 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 78.5%
Rain in Lexington in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 20%
Rain in Lexington in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 8%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Wellington on October 19?
PM $10.4KWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 19?Yes 46.5%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 19?Yes 38%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 19?Yes 9%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in San Antonio on Oct 18, 2026?
K 3.9K contractsWill the minimum temperature be 44-45° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 97%
Will the minimum temperature be <44° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 2%
Will the minimum temperature be >51° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 0.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Busan on October 19?
PM $10.4KWill the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 19?Yes 37.5%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 19?Yes 32.5%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on October 19?Yes 14%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in New Orleans on Oct 18, 2026?
K 3.8K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 72-73° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 65.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 74-75° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 29.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 70-71° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 3.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on October 19?
PM $10.4KWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 19?Yes 57.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 19?Yes 28.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 19?Yes 18.9%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
How many Eastern Pacific named storms will there be this year?
K 3.7K contractsWill there be more than 18 named storms in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will there be more than 19 named storms in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?Yes 94%
Will there be more than 20 named storms in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?Yes 31%
+3 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on October 19?
PM $10.1KWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 19?Yes 46%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 19?Yes 27%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 19?Yes 19%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
When will Heavenly Mountain Resort open for the 26/27 winter season?
K 3.7K contractsWill Heavenly Mountain Resort open before Dec 13, 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will Heavenly Mountain Resort open before Dec 6, 2026?Yes 94%
Will Heavenly Mountain Resort open before Dec 20, 2026?Yes 93.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Toronto on October 19?
PM $10.0KWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on October 19?Yes 52%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on October 19?Yes 28.5%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on October 19?Yes 18%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Seattle on Oct 18, 2026?
K 3.5K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 58-59° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 64.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 60-61° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 27.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 56-57° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 7.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Chengdu on October 19?
PM $10.0KWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 19?Yes 34%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 19?Yes 33%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 19?Yes 19%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Philadelphia on Oct 18, 2026?
K 3.5K contractsWill the minimum temperature be >39° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 38-39° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 1.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 36-37° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 1.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Dallas on October 19?
PM $9.8KWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 19?Yes 45.5%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on October 19?Yes 37.5%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 19?Yes 7.4%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Hurricane Paulette category?
K 3.4K contractsWill Paulette become a Category 1 hurricane?Yes 7.5%
Will Paulette become a Category 2 hurricane?Yes 6.5%
Will Paulette become a Category 3 hurricane?Yes 5.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?
PM $9.7KWill there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?Yes 97.3%
1 mktNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Chicago on Oct 18, 2026?
K 3.4K contractsWill the minimum temperature be 41-42° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 35-36° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 1%
Will the minimum temperature be >42° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 0.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Seattle on October 18?
PM $9.5KWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 18?Yes 55.5%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 18?Yes 23.5%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 18?Yes 19%
+8 more
KalshiClimate
How many Central Pacific named storms will there be this year?
K 3.3K contractsWill there be more than 6 named storms in the Central Pacific in 2026?Yes 50%
Will there be more than 7 named storms in the Central Pacific in 2026?Yes 23%
2 mktsNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Cape Town on October 19?
PM $9.5KWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 19?Yes 63%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 19?Yes 21.5%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 19?Yes 14%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Oklahoma City on Oct 18, 2026?
K 3.2K contractsWill the minimum temperature be 39-40° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 37-38° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 3%
Will the minimum temperature be 35-36° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 2%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Atlanta on October 19?
PM $9.3KWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 19?Yes 48.5%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 19?Yes 39.5%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on October 19?Yes 8.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Will a hurricane make landfall in North Carolina this year?
K 3.1K contractsWill a hurricane make landfall in North Carolina during the 2026 hurricane season?Yes 6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
100kt meteor strike in 2026?
PM $9.1K100kt meteor strike in 2026?Yes 3.8%
1 mktNext deadline Mar 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in Providence in Oct 2026?
K 2.9K contractsRain in Providence in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 91.5%
Rain in Providence in Oct 2026? (Above 5 inches)Yes 27.5%
Rain in Providence in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 24%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on October 19?
PM $9.0KWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 19?Yes 52%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 19?Yes 29%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 19?Yes 13%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 18, 2026?
K 2.9K contractsWhat will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 18, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 5.4)Yes 47.5%
What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 18, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 5.6)Yes 30.5%
What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 18, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 5.8)Yes 20%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 17, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Ankara on October 19?
PM $8.8KWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on October 19?Yes 53.5%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on October 19?Yes 33%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on October 19?Yes 11%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in Columbus in Oct 2026?
K 2.7K contractsRain in Columbus in Oct 2026? (Above 1 inch)Yes 99.5%
Rain in Columbus in Oct 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 46%
Rain in Columbus in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 23%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Chicago on October 19?
PM $8.8KWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 19?Yes 49%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 19?Yes 36%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 19?Yes 7.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
When will Northstar California Resort open for the 26/27 winter season?
K 2.7K contractsWill Northstar California Resort open before Dec 27, 2026?Yes 98%
Will Northstar California Resort open before Dec 20, 2026?Yes 96%
Will Northstar California Resort open before Dec 13, 2026?Yes 93.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in London on October 19?
PM $8.6KWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 19?Yes 56.5%
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 19?Yes 27%
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 19?Yes 14%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
When will Alyeska open for the 26/27 winter season?
K 2.4K contractsWill Alyeska open before Nov 29, 2026?Yes 86.5%
Will Alyeska open before Dec 6, 2026?Yes 51.5%
Will Alyeska open before Dec 13, 2026?Yes 50.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Munich on October 19?
PM $8.6KWill the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 19?Yes 43%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 19?Yes 32.5%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 19?Yes 14%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Snow in New York City in Dec 2026?
K 2.4K contractsSnow in New York City in Dec 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 27.5%
Snow in New York City in Dec 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 16.5%
Snow in New York City in Dec 2026? (Above 6 inches)Yes 13%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on October 19?
PM $8.5KWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 19?Yes 48.5%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 19?Yes 40.5%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 19?Yes 6.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC