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Politics prediction markets

6,972 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.

Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.

Showing 2,641-2,688 of 6,972 event groups

Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.

KalshiPolitics
OH-14 House winner?

OH-14 House winner?

K 6.9K contracts
Will Republican win the House race for OH-14?Yes 96.4%
Will Democratic win the House race for OH-14?Yes 3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Martin Mayoral Election Winner

Martin Mayoral Election Winner

PM $19.0K
Will Michal Uherčík win the 2026 Martin mayoral election?Yes 42%
Will Ján Danko win the 2026 Martin mayoral election?Yes 41.5%
Will Renáta Habrunová win the 2026 Martin mayoral election?Yes 13.6%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Oregon's 3rd District margin of victory

Oregon's 3rd District margin of victory

K 6.9K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 3rd District House election be at least 38 percentage points?Yes 96.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 3rd District House election be at least 41 percentage points?Yes 94.7%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 3rd District House election be at least 44 percentage points?Yes 92.2%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IL-14 House Election Margin of Victory

IL-14 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $19.0K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-14 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-14 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-14 House election by 35% or more?Yes 15%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Massachusetts Senate margin of victory

Massachusetts Senate margin of victory

K 6.9K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Massachusetts be at least 21 percentage points?Yes 84%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Massachusetts be at least 23 percentage points?Yes 77%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Massachusetts be at least 25 percentage points?Yes 69%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Oregon Senate Election: Turnout

Oregon Senate Election: Turnout

PM $18.9K
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 2,000,000 and 2,100,000?Yes 35%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 1,900,000 and 2,000,000?Yes 33.3%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be 2,200,000 or more?Yes 16.6%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Kansas's 2nd District margin of victory

Kansas's 2nd District margin of victory

K 6.9K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 2nd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 86.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 2nd District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 72.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 2nd District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 62%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Chihuahua Governor Election Winner

Chihuahua Governor Election Winner

PM $18.9K
Will Cruz Pérez Cuéllar win the 2027 Chihuahua Governor Election?Yes 52.5%
Will Marco Bonilla Mendoza win the 2027 Chihuahua Governor Election?Yes 34%
Will Andrea Chávez Treviño win the 2027 Chihuahua Governor Election?Yes 15.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will Trump's next address to the nation be?

When will Trump's next address to the nation be?

K 6.9K contracts
Will it be reported by at least four of the seven Source Agencies named in Additional Details that President Donald Trump gives his next qualifying address to the nation, as defined in Additional Details before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 96.5%
Will it be reported by at least four of the seven Source Agencies named in Additional Details that President Donald Trump gives his next qualifying address to the nation, as defined in Additional Details before Mar 1, 2027?Yes 89%
Will it be reported by at least four of the seven Source Agencies named in Additional Details that President Donald Trump gives his next qualifying address to the nation, as defined in Additional Details before Feb 1, 2027?Yes 81%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
PA-14 House Election Margin of Victory

PA-14 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $18.9K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-14 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 25.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-14 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 20.4%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-14 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 14%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Delta, BC mayoral election winner?

Delta, BC mayoral election winner?

K 6.9K contracts
Will Melissa Granum win the 2026 Delta, BC mayoral election?Yes 75.5%
Will Dylan Kruger win the 2026 Delta, BC mayoral election?Yes 27%
Will George V. Harvie win the 2026 Delta, BC mayoral election?Yes 19.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 17, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Ohio Senate Election Margin of Victory

Ohio Senate Election Margin of Victory

PM $18.8K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 3%-6%?Yes 25%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 0%-3%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 6%-9%?Yes 19.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NM-01 House election: Didi Okpareke vote percent

NM-01 House election: Didi Okpareke vote percent

K 6.9K contracts
Will Didi Okpareke receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 NM-01 House election?Yes 95%
Will Didi Okpareke receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 NM-01 House election?Yes 91.5%
Will Didi Okpareke receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 NM-01 House election?Yes 84.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Osborn flips Ricketts for Nebraska Senate by November 2?

Osborn flips Ricketts for Nebraska Senate by November 2?

PM $18.8K
Osborn flips Ricketts for Nebraska Senate by November 2?Yes 8.3%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
SC-04 House election: Jessica Ethridge vote percent

SC-04 House election: Jessica Ethridge vote percent

K 6.9K contracts
Will Jessica Ethridge receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-04 House election?Yes 78%
Will Jessica Ethridge receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-04 House election?Yes 41.5%
Will Jessica Ethridge receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-04 House election?Yes 23%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?

Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?

PM $18.8K
Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?Yes 8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
VT-AL House winner?

VT-AL House winner?

K 6.9K contracts
Will Democratic win the House race for VT-AL?Yes 97.8%
Will Republican win the House race for VT-AL?Yes 2.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AL-07 House Election Margin of Victory

AL-07 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $18.8K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AL-07 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 28.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AL-07 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AL-07 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 19.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Hawaii Governor General Election: voter turnout

Hawaii Governor General Election: voter turnout

K 6.9K contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Hawaii Governor General Election be above 310000?Yes 93.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Hawaii Governor General Election be above 330000?Yes 85.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Hawaii Governor General Election be above 350000?Yes 83%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CT-02 House Election Winner

CT-02 House Election Winner

PM $18.8K
Will the Democratic Party win the CT-02 House seat?Yes 97.3%
Will the Republican Party win the CT-02 House seat?Yes 1.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MN-08 House election: Trina Swanson vote percent

MN-08 House election: Trina Swanson vote percent

K 6.9K contracts
Will Trina Swanson receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-08 House election?Yes 92.5%
Will Trina Swanson receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-08 House election?Yes 88%
Will Trina Swanson receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-08 House election?Yes 79.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CO-02 House Election Margin of Victory

CO-02 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $18.7K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-02 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 35.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-02 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 21.6%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-02 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 18.2%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Massachusetts's 2nd District margin of victory

Massachusetts's 2nd District margin of victory

K 6.9K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 2nd District House election be at least 23 percentage points?Yes 97.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 2nd District House election be at least 35 percentage points?Yes 97.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 2nd District House election be at least 32 percentage points?Yes 97.8%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?

NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?

PM $18.7K
NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Iowa's 2nd District margin of victory

Iowa's 2nd District margin of victory

K 6.9K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 2nd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 57%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 2nd District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 43%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 2nd District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 26%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NJ-05 House Election Margin of Victory

NJ-05 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $18.7K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-05 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 25%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-05 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 20%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-05 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 19.1%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Scott County, Iowa: Josh Turek vote percent

Scott County, Iowa: Josh Turek vote percent

K 6.8K contracts
Will Josh Turek receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Scott County, Iowa?Yes 96.5%
Will Josh Turek receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Scott County, Iowa?Yes 86.5%
Will Josh Turek receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Scott County, Iowa?Yes 65.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IA-03 House Election Margin of Victory

IA-03 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $18.7K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-03 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 18%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-03 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 17.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-03 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 17.4%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Nevada's 1st District margin of victory

Nevada's 1st District margin of victory

K 6.8K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nevada's 1st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 85.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nevada's 1st District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 85%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nevada's 1st District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 77.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-31 House Election Winner

CA-31 House Election Winner

PM $18.6K
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-31 House seat?Yes 95.5%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-31 House seat?Yes 3.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
IN-08 House winner?

IN-08 House winner?

K 6.8K contracts
Will Republican win the House race for IN-08?Yes 94.7%
Will Democratic win the House race for IN-08?Yes 5.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MI-12 House Election Margin of Victory

MI-12 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $18.6K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-12 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 25.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-12 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-12 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 17.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Illinois's 4th District margin of victory

Illinois's 4th District margin of victory

K 6.8K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 4th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?Yes 86.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 4th District House election be at least 30 percentage points?Yes 79.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 4th District House election be at least 33 percentage points?Yes 65%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IL-11 House Election Margin of Victory

IL-11 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $18.6K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-11 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-11 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-11 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 20.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump reverse the Lake America renaming?

Will Trump reverse the Lake America renaming?

K 6.8K contracts
Will Trump reverse the Lake America renaming before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 8%
Will Trump reverse the Lake America renaming before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
KY-02 House Election Winner

KY-02 House Election Winner

PM $18.6K
Will the Republican Party win the KY-02 House seat?Yes 96%
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-02 House seat?Yes 4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy?

When will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy?

K 6.8K contracts
Will Gavin Newsom announce a run for President of the United States before Oct 1, 2027?Yes 74.5%
Will Gavin Newsom announce a run for President of the United States before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 69%
Will Gavin Newsom announce a run for President of the United States before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 54%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MI-03 House Election Margin of Victory

MI-03 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $18.6K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-03 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 23%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-03 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-03 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 21.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Iowa's 1st District margin of victory

Iowa's 1st District margin of victory

K 6.8K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Iowa's 1st District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 5.1%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Iowa's 1st District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 3.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Iowa's 1st District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 2.1%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-16 House Election Margin of Victory

FL-16 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $18.6K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-16 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 20.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-16 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 19.4%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-16 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 12.3%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New York Governor election: Bruce Blakeman vote percent

New York Governor election: Bruce Blakeman vote percent

K 6.8K contracts
Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?Yes 96.5%
Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?Yes 93%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Florida Senate Election: Turnout

Florida Senate Election: Turnout

PM $18.6K
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 8,750,000 and 9,000,000?Yes 24.8%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 7,750,000 and 8,000,000?Yes 24.1%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be 9,000,000 or more?Yes 19.4%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Texas Senate election: James Talarico vote percent

Texas Senate election: James Talarico vote percent

K 6.8K contracts
Will James Talarico receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate election?Yes 98%
Will James Talarico receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate election?Yes 94%
Will James Talarico receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate election?Yes 81.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Chiayi City Mayor Election Winner

Chiayi City Mayor Election Winner

PM $18.5K
Will Wang Mei-hui win the next Chiayi City Mayor election?Yes 75%
Will Chang Chi-kai win the next Chiayi City Mayor election?Yes 23.5%
Will Chen Chia-ping win the next Chiayi City Mayor election?Yes 2.1%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Louisiana governor winner? (2027)

Louisiana governor winner? (2027)

K 6.8K contracts
Will the Republican party win the governorship in LouisianaYes 89.5%
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in LouisianaYes 9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 12, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
US defaults on debt by 2027?

US defaults on debt by 2027?

PM $18.5K
US defaults on debt by 2027?Yes 1.8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Spanish general election: People's Party vote percent

Spanish general election: People's Party vote percent

K 6.8K contracts
Will the People's Party receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes 93.5%
Will the People's Party receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes 79%
Will the People's Party receive at least 31% of the popular vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes 65%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MO-03 House Election Margin of Victory

MO-03 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $18.5K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-03 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 23.6%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-03 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 16.7%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-03 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 16.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC