Politics prediction markets
6,972 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
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Showing 2,641-2,688 of 6,972 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics

OH-14 House winner?
K 6.9K contractsWill Republican win the House race for OH-14?Yes 96.4%
Will Democratic win the House race for OH-14?Yes 3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Martin Mayoral Election Winner
PM $19.0KWill Michal Uherčík win the 2026 Martin mayoral election?Yes 42%
Will Ján Danko win the 2026 Martin mayoral election?Yes 41.5%
Will Renáta Habrunová win the 2026 Martin mayoral election?Yes 13.6%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Oregon's 3rd District margin of victory
K 6.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 3rd District House election be at least 38 percentage points?Yes 96.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 3rd District House election be at least 41 percentage points?Yes 94.7%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 3rd District House election be at least 44 percentage points?Yes 92.2%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

IL-14 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $19.0KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-14 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-14 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-14 House election by 35% or more?Yes 15%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Massachusetts Senate margin of victory
K 6.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Massachusetts be at least 21 percentage points?Yes 84%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Massachusetts be at least 23 percentage points?Yes 77%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Massachusetts be at least 25 percentage points?Yes 69%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Oregon Senate Election: Turnout
PM $18.9KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 2,000,000 and 2,100,000?Yes 35%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 1,900,000 and 2,000,000?Yes 33.3%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be 2,200,000 or more?Yes 16.6%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Kansas's 2nd District margin of victory
K 6.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 2nd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 86.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 2nd District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 72.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 2nd District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 62%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Chihuahua Governor Election Winner
PM $18.9KWill Cruz Pérez Cuéllar win the 2027 Chihuahua Governor Election?Yes 52.5%
Will Marco Bonilla Mendoza win the 2027 Chihuahua Governor Election?Yes 34%
Will Andrea Chávez Treviño win the 2027 Chihuahua Governor Election?Yes 15.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

When will Trump's next address to the nation be?
K 6.9K contractsWill it be reported by at least four of the seven Source Agencies named in Additional Details that President Donald Trump gives his next qualifying address to the nation, as defined in Additional Details before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 96.5%
Will it be reported by at least four of the seven Source Agencies named in Additional Details that President Donald Trump gives his next qualifying address to the nation, as defined in Additional Details before Mar 1, 2027?Yes 89%
Will it be reported by at least four of the seven Source Agencies named in Additional Details that President Donald Trump gives his next qualifying address to the nation, as defined in Additional Details before Feb 1, 2027?Yes 81%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

PA-14 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.9KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-14 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 25.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-14 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 20.4%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-14 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 14%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Delta, BC mayoral election winner?
K 6.9K contractsWill Melissa Granum win the 2026 Delta, BC mayoral election?Yes 75.5%
Will Dylan Kruger win the 2026 Delta, BC mayoral election?Yes 27%
Will George V. Harvie win the 2026 Delta, BC mayoral election?Yes 19.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 17, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Ohio Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.8KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 3%-6%?Yes 25%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 0%-3%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 6%-9%?Yes 19.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

NM-01 House election: Didi Okpareke vote percent
K 6.9K contractsWill Didi Okpareke receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 NM-01 House election?Yes 95%
Will Didi Okpareke receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 NM-01 House election?Yes 91.5%
Will Didi Okpareke receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 NM-01 House election?Yes 84.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Osborn flips Ricketts for Nebraska Senate by November 2?
PM $18.8KOsborn flips Ricketts for Nebraska Senate by November 2?Yes 8.3%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

SC-04 House election: Jessica Ethridge vote percent
K 6.9K contractsWill Jessica Ethridge receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-04 House election?Yes 78%
Will Jessica Ethridge receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-04 House election?Yes 41.5%
Will Jessica Ethridge receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-04 House election?Yes 23%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?
PM $18.8KNguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?Yes 8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

VT-AL House winner?
K 6.9K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for VT-AL?Yes 97.8%
Will Republican win the House race for VT-AL?Yes 2.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

AL-07 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.8KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AL-07 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 28.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AL-07 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AL-07 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 19.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Hawaii Governor General Election: voter turnout
K 6.9K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Hawaii Governor General Election be above 310000?Yes 93.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Hawaii Governor General Election be above 330000?Yes 85.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Hawaii Governor General Election be above 350000?Yes 83%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

CT-02 House Election Winner
PM $18.8KWill the Democratic Party win the CT-02 House seat?Yes 97.3%
Will the Republican Party win the CT-02 House seat?Yes 1.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

MN-08 House election: Trina Swanson vote percent
K 6.9K contractsWill Trina Swanson receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-08 House election?Yes 92.5%
Will Trina Swanson receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-08 House election?Yes 88%
Will Trina Swanson receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-08 House election?Yes 79.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

CO-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.7KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-02 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 35.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-02 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 21.6%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-02 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 18.2%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Massachusetts's 2nd District margin of victory
K 6.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 2nd District House election be at least 23 percentage points?Yes 97.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 2nd District House election be at least 35 percentage points?Yes 97.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 2nd District House election be at least 32 percentage points?Yes 97.8%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?
PM $18.7KNATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Iowa's 2nd District margin of victory
K 6.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 2nd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 57%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 2nd District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 43%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 2nd District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 26%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

NJ-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.7KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-05 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 25%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-05 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 20%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-05 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 19.1%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Scott County, Iowa: Josh Turek vote percent
K 6.8K contractsWill Josh Turek receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Scott County, Iowa?Yes 96.5%
Will Josh Turek receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Scott County, Iowa?Yes 86.5%
Will Josh Turek receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Scott County, Iowa?Yes 65.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

IA-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.7KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-03 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 18%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-03 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 17.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-03 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 17.4%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Nevada's 1st District margin of victory
K 6.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nevada's 1st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 85.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nevada's 1st District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 85%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nevada's 1st District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 77.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

CA-31 House Election Winner
PM $18.6KWill the Democratic Party win the CA-31 House seat?Yes 95.5%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-31 House seat?Yes 3.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

IN-08 House winner?
K 6.8K contractsWill Republican win the House race for IN-08?Yes 94.7%
Will Democratic win the House race for IN-08?Yes 5.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

MI-12 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.6KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-12 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 25.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-12 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-12 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 17.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Illinois's 4th District margin of victory
K 6.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 4th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?Yes 86.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 4th District House election be at least 30 percentage points?Yes 79.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 4th District House election be at least 33 percentage points?Yes 65%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

IL-11 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.6KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-11 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-11 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-11 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 20.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Trump reverse the Lake America renaming?
K 6.8K contractsWill Trump reverse the Lake America renaming before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 8%
Will Trump reverse the Lake America renaming before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

KY-02 House Election Winner
PM $18.6KWill the Republican Party win the KY-02 House seat?Yes 96%
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-02 House seat?Yes 4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

When will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy?
K 6.8K contractsWill Gavin Newsom announce a run for President of the United States before Oct 1, 2027?Yes 74.5%
Will Gavin Newsom announce a run for President of the United States before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 69%
Will Gavin Newsom announce a run for President of the United States before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 54%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

MI-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.6KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-03 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 23%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-03 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-03 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 21.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Iowa's 1st District margin of victory
K 6.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Iowa's 1st District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 5.1%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Iowa's 1st District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 3.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Iowa's 1st District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 2.1%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

FL-16 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-16 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 20.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-16 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 19.4%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-16 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 12.3%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

New York Governor election: Bruce Blakeman vote percent
K 6.8K contractsWill Bruce Blakeman receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?Yes 96.5%
Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?Yes 93%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Florida Senate Election: Turnout
PM $18.6KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 8,750,000 and 9,000,000?Yes 24.8%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 7,750,000 and 8,000,000?Yes 24.1%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be 9,000,000 or more?Yes 19.4%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Texas Senate election: James Talarico vote percent
K 6.8K contractsWill James Talarico receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate election?Yes 98%
Will James Talarico receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate election?Yes 94%
Will James Talarico receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate election?Yes 81.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Chiayi City Mayor Election Winner
PM $18.5KWill Wang Mei-hui win the next Chiayi City Mayor election?Yes 75%
Will Chang Chi-kai win the next Chiayi City Mayor election?Yes 23.5%
Will Chen Chia-ping win the next Chiayi City Mayor election?Yes 2.1%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Louisiana governor winner? (2027)
K 6.8K contractsWill the Republican party win the governorship in LouisianaYes 89.5%
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in LouisianaYes 9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 12, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

US defaults on debt by 2027?
PM $18.5KUS defaults on debt by 2027?Yes 1.8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Spanish general election: People's Party vote percent
K 6.8K contractsWill the People's Party receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes 93.5%
Will the People's Party receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes 79%
Will the People's Party receive at least 31% of the popular vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes 65%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

MO-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $18.5KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-03 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 23.6%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-03 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 16.7%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-03 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 16.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC