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GroupKALSHI

Will the EU apply its blocking statute to U.S. sanctions on the ICC?

Will the EU apply its blocking statute to U.S. sanctions on the ICC?
Vol

K 2.6K contracts

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Events

1

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Markets

1

Kalshi

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, Yes is priced at 36% on Kalshi.

Kalshi

  1. Yes36%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 2.6K contracts

Reported volume · provider units

1

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

About This Event

Before Jul 1, 2027 If the European Commission announces its adoption of a delegated act adding U.S. sanctions measures targeting the International Criminal Court, including Executive Order 14203, to the Annex of the EU Blocking Statute (Council Regulation (EC) No 2271/96) before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Only the European Commission's announcement that it has adopted the delegated act counts, whether by press release, by an official posting such as in the Register of Delegated Acts, or by publication in the Official Journal of the European Union; the act need not have entered into force. The act counts whether the Annex lists Executive Order 14203 itself or regulations or other instruments implementing U.S. sanctions on the International Criminal Court. The following do NOT count: A proposal, draft, consultation or announced intention, or a statement that the blocking statute remains an option Other measures to protect the International Criminal Court, such as funding, guidance or a Council decision A delegated act that adds only U.S. measures unrelated to the International Criminal Court This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

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US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by...?

US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by...?

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Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026?

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Saved prices; check contract rules.

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