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Politics prediction markets

6,972 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.

Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.

Showing 2,737-2,784 of 6,972 event groups

Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.

KalshiPolitics
CA-24 House election: Bob Smith vote percent

CA-24 House election: Bob Smith vote percent

K 6.6K contracts
Will Bob Smith receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-24 House election?Yes 97%
Will Bob Smith receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-24 House election?Yes 97%
Will Bob Smith receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-24 House election?Yes 96.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Tennessee Senate Election: Turnout

Tennessee Senate Election: Turnout

PM $18.2K
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?Yes 33.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee be between 1,800,000 and 2,000,000?Yes 25.2%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000?Yes 24%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
When will Canada gain EU associate status?

When will Canada gain EU associate status?

K 6.6K contracts
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Canada and the European Union sign or formally adopt an agreement establishing Canada as an EU associate member or an equivalent new formal institutional status before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 18%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Canada and the European Union sign or formally adopt an agreement establishing Canada as an EU associate member or an equivalent new formal institutional status before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 16%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CT-03 House Election Margin of Victory

CT-03 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $18.2K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-03 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 27.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-03 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 23.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-03 House election by 35% or more?Yes 23.4%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Texas Senate election: Ken Paxton vote percent

Texas Senate election: Ken Paxton vote percent

K 6.6K contracts
Will Ken Paxton receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate election?Yes 97%
Will Ken Paxton receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate election?Yes 94%
Will Ken Paxton receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate election?Yes 78.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?

Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?

PM $18.1K
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by December 31?Yes 42.5%
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by October 31?Yes 4.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Top 3 Fantasy RB

Top 3 Fantasy RB

K 6.6K contracts
Will Jahmyr Gibbs be a top 3 fantasy RB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 83%
Will Kenneth Walker III be a top 3 fantasy RB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 58%
Will Bijan Robinson be a top 3 fantasy RB in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 57.5%
+47 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Ohio Senate and Governor Combo

Ohio Senate and Governor Combo

PM $18.1K
Will Democrats sweep the Ohio Senate and Governor elections?Yes 59%
Will Republicans sweep the Ohio Senate and Governor elections?Yes 28%
Will Democrats win the Ohio Governor election and Republicans win the Ohio Senate election?Yes 11%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Tennessee Governor election: Marsha Blackburn vote percent

Tennessee Governor election: Marsha Blackburn vote percent

K 6.6K contracts
Will Marsha Blackburn receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election?Yes 94%
Will Marsha Blackburn receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election?Yes 85.5%
Will Marsha Blackburn receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election?Yes 71.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-13 House Election Margin of Victory

FL-13 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $18.0K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-13 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 23.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-13 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 23.2%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-13 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 17.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MI-09 House winner?

MI-09 House winner?

K 6.6K contracts
Will Republican win the House race for MI-09?Yes 95.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for MI-09?Yes 2.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
PA-13 House Election Winner

PA-13 House Election Winner

PM $17.9K
Will the Republican Party win the PA-13 House seat?Yes 95.7%
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-13 House seat?Yes 3.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Missouri St. vs Delaware

Missouri St. vs Delaware

K 6.6K contracts
Delaware winsYes 59%
Missouri St. winsYes 41%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Kansas Senate Election Margin of Victory

Kansas Senate Election Margin of Victory

PM $17.9K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election by 0%-5%?Yes 37.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election?Yes 37.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election by 5%-10%?Yes 18.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-15 House election: Monica De La Cruz vote percent

TX-15 House election: Monica De La Cruz vote percent

K 6.5K contracts
Will Monica De La Cruz receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-15 House election?Yes 83.5%
Will Monica De La Cruz receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-15 House election?Yes 69%
Will Monica De La Cruz receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-15 House election?Yes 53%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MD-03 House Election Margin of Victory

MD-03 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $17.9K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-03 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 33.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-03 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 20.3%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-03 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 12.8%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Oklahoma's 5th District margin of victory

Oklahoma's 5th District margin of victory

K 6.5K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 5th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 79%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 5th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 69%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 5th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 56%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MA-04 House Election Margin of Victory

MA-04 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $17.8K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-04 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 28%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-04 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 21%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-04 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 16.4%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
California Governor margin of victory

California Governor margin of victory

K 6.5K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in California be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 94.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in California be at least 15 percentage points?Yes 87%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in California be at least 12 percentage points?Yes 84.3%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Bratislava Region Governor Election Winner

Bratislava Region Governor Election Winner

PM $17.8K
Will Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election?Yes 95.8%
Will Rastislav Gajarský win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election?Yes 3.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy

K 6.5K contracts
Will Julianne Moore be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 92.5%
Will Olivia Wilde be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 91.5%
Will Inde Navarrette be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 88.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Latrobe Mayoral Election Winner

Latrobe Mayoral Election Winner

PM $17.7K
Will Brett Whiteley win the next Latrobe mayoral election?Yes 62.5%
Will James Redgrave win the next Latrobe mayoral election?Yes 6%
Will Peter Freshney win the next Latrobe mayoral election?Yes 1.3%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Texas's 28th District margin of victory

Texas's 28th District margin of victory

K 6.5K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 28th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 95.3%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 28th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 90.2%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 28th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 73%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
GA-13 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

GA-13 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

PM $17.7K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-13 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-13 House election by 60% or more?Yes 22.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-13 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 19.9%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Missouri's 2nd District margin of victory

Missouri's 2nd District margin of victory

K 6.5K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 2nd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 69%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 2nd District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 56.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 2nd District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 41%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Regional Board Chair of Jämtland Härjedalen?

Next Regional Board Chair of Jämtland Härjedalen?

PM $17.7K
Will Bengt Bergqvist be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jämtland Härjedalen?Yes 36.9%
Will Robert Hamberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jämtland Härjedalen?Yes 25.4%
Will Lars-Erik Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jämtland Härjedalen?Yes 0.5%
+1 more
KalshiPolitics
TX-19 House winner?

TX-19 House winner?

K 6.5K contracts
Will Republican win the House race for TX-19?Yes 97%
Will Democratic win the House race for TX-19?Yes 1.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
KY-01 House Election Margin of Victory

KY-01 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $17.7K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-01 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-01 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-01 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 17%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Nebraska Governor election: Lynne Walz vote percent

Nebraska Governor election: Lynne Walz vote percent

K 6.5K contracts
Will Lynne Walz receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election?Yes 96.5%
Will Lynne Walz receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election?Yes 94%
Will Lynne Walz receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election?Yes 83.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-05 House Election Winner

FL-05 House Election Winner

PM $17.7K
Will the Republican Party win the FL-05 House seat?Yes 93%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-05 House seat?Yes 7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Richmond, BC mayoral election winner?

Richmond, BC mayoral election winner?

K 6.5K contracts
Will Rob Howard win the 2026 Richmond, British Columbia mayoral election?Yes 66.5%
Will Alexa Loo win the 2026 Richmond, British Columbia mayoral election?Yes 11.5%
Will Kash Heed win the 2026 Richmond, British Columbia mayoral election?Yes 5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 17, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Minnesota?

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Minnesota?

PM $17.7K
Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Minnesota in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 68.5%
Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in Minnesota in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 22%
Will Democrats win 6 or more House seats in Minnesota in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 5.1%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
UT-04 House election: Taylor Wright vote percent

UT-04 House election: Taylor Wright vote percent

K 6.5K contracts
Will Taylor Wright receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?Yes 92%
Will Taylor Wright receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?Yes 59.5%
Will Taylor Wright receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?Yes 33.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NC-13 House Election Margin of Victory

NC-13 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $17.6K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-13 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 34%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-13 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 23.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-13 House election by 0%-5%?Yes 20.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which songs will be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in October?

Which songs will be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in October?

K 6.4K contracts
Will Patient Zero be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in October 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Cleveland! be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in October 2026?Yes 1.5%
Will Boston be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in October 2026?Yes 1.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
West Virginia Senate winner?

West Virginia Senate winner?

PM $17.6K · K 28.8K contracts

Will the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Republicans win the Senate race in West Virginia?

Related contracts

PM Yes 98%Rules differK Yes 97.9%

Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Democratics win the Senate race in West Virginia?

Related contracts

PM Yes 1.3%Rules differK Yes 1.9%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Virginia's 9th District margin of victory

Virginia's 9th District margin of victory

K 6.4K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 9th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?Yes 94.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 9th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?Yes 91.1%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 9th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?Yes 82.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Hamilton Mayoral Election

Hamilton Mayoral Election

PM $17.6K
Will Keanin Loomis win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?Yes 59.5%
Will Andrea Horwath win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?Yes 21%
Will Rob Cooper win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?Yes 19.3%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Vermont State Senate winner?

Vermont State Senate winner?

K 6.4K contracts
Who will win the Vermont Senate? (Democratic party)Yes 92.5%
Who will win the Vermont Senate? (Republican party)Yes 4.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by...?

Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by...?

PM $17.6K
Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by November 30?Yes 37%
Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by October 31?Yes 27.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NV-02 House election: Teresa Benitez-Thompson vote percent

NV-02 House election: Teresa Benitez-Thompson vote percent

K 6.4K contracts
Will Teresa Benitez-Thompson receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 NV-02 House election?Yes 97%
Will Teresa Benitez-Thompson receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 NV-02 House election?Yes 97%
Will Teresa Benitez-Thompson receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 NV-02 House election?Yes 94.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-33 House Election Winner

TX-33 House Election Winner

PM $17.6K
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-33 House seat?Yes 96.5%
Will the Republican Party win the TX-33 House seat?Yes 2.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Maryland Governor election: Wes Moore vote percent

Maryland Governor election: Wes Moore vote percent

K 6.4K contracts
Will Wes Moore receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election?Yes 95.5%
Will Wes Moore receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election?Yes 91.5%
Will Wes Moore receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election?Yes 77.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MO-06 House Election Margin of Victory

MO-06 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $17.6K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-06 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 20.8%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-06 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 18.3%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-06 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 17%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-36 House winner?

TX-36 House winner?

K 6.4K contracts
Will Republican win the House race for TX-36?Yes 94.8%
Will Democratic win the House race for TX-36?Yes 4.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
London, ON Mayoral Election Winner

London, ON Mayoral Election Winner

PM $17.6K
Will Josh Morgan win the 2026 London mayoral election?Yes 82%
Will Susan Stevenson win the 2026 London mayoral election?Yes 16.7%
Will Kirsten Krose win the 2026 London mayoral election?Yes 0.4%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Which ballot measures will pass in Tennessee?

Which ballot measures will pass in Tennessee?

K 6.3K contracts
Will Amendment 1 pass?Yes 89.5%
Will Amendment 3 pass?Yes 88%
Will Amendment 2 pass?Yes 84.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
New Jersey Senate Election Margin of Victory

New Jersey Senate Election Margin of Victory

PM $17.6K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Jersey Senate election by 21% or more?Yes 49.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Jersey Senate election by 18%-21%?Yes 14.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Jersey Senate election by 15%-18%?Yes 12.3%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC