Politics prediction markets
6,975 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
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Showing 3,313-3,360 of 6,975 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
IL-16 House election: Darin LaHood vote percent
K 4.5K contractsWill Darin LaHood receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-16 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Darin LaHood receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-16 House election?Yes 94.5%
Will Darin LaHood receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-16 House election?Yes 88.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Kwara, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PM $13.1KWill Salihu Danladi win the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election?Yes 51%
Will Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu win the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election?Yes 30%
Will Zakari Mohammed win the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election?Yes 5.7%
+1 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Israel Katz departure announced?
K 4.5K contractsWill Israel Katz leave Minister of Defense of Israel before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 38%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IN-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.1KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-01 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 31%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-01 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-01 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 16.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
LA-01 House winner?
K 4.5K contractsWill Republican win the House race for LA-01?Yes 95%
Will Democratic win the House race for LA-01?Yes 4.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Trump approval rating at least ___ on October 23?
PM $13.1KWill Trump's approval rating be at least 37.0 on October 23, 2026?Yes 97.3%
Will Trump's approval rating be at least 36.0 on October 23, 2026?Yes 97.3%
Will Trump's approval rating be at least 38.0 on October 23, 2026?Yes 86.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 24, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Georgia regulators approve 4 more gigawatts of generating capacity?
K 4.5K contractsWill the Georgia Public Service Commission announce the certification of at least 4,000 MW in aggregate of new generating or energy storage capacity for Georgia Power — nameplate MW newly approved as supply-side resources under Georgia's integrated resource planning statute, summed across any number of Commission decisions and excluding need findings, RFP approvals, and revisions to previously certified resources before Mar 1, 2028?Yes 66.5%
1 mktNext deadline Mar 9, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Abiy Ahmed out as Prime Minister of Ethiopia in 2026?
PM $13.1KAbiy Ahmed out as Prime Minister of Ethiopia in 2026?Yes 4.1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Missouri St. vs Delaware: Team Total
K 4.5K contractsMissouri St. over 9.5 points scoredYes 94.5%
Delaware over 13.5 points scoredYes 92%
Missouri St. over 13.5 points scoredYes 87%
+18 moreNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Kano, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PM $13.0KWill Abba Kabir Yusuf win the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election?Yes 73.5%
Will Aminu Abdussalam Gwarzo win the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election?Yes 7%
Will Muhammad Bello Dalhatu win the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election?Yes 3.4%
+1 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
IA-03 House winner?
PM $13.0K · K 85.4K contractsWill the Democratic Party win the IA-03 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for IA-3?
Related contracts
PM Yes 82%Rules differK Yes 80.5%
Will the Republican Party win the IA-03 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for IA-3?
Related contracts
PM Yes 18.5%Rules differK Yes 19.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Fulton County, Georgia: Jon Ossoff vote percent (1st Round)
K 4.5K contractsWill Jon Ossoff receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?Yes 96.5%
Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?Yes 88.5%
Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 75% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Fulton County, Georgia?Yes 76.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections
Minnesota's 8th District margin of victory
K 4.4K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 8th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 15.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.0KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-05 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-05 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-05 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 18.6%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Lexington mayoral election winner?
K 4.4K contractsWho will win the 2026 Lexington, Kentucky mayoral election? (Linda Gorton)Yes 81.5%
Who will win the 2026 Lexington, Kentucky mayoral election? (Raquel Carter)Yes 15%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Central Coast Mayoral Election Winner
PM $13.0KWill Cheryl Fuller win the next Central Coast mayoral election?Yes 78%
Will Garry Carpenter win the next Central Coast mayoral election?Yes 1.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Illinois's 8th District margin of victory
K 4.4K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 8th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 95%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 8th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 93.7%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 8th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 90.8%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Mississippi Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $13.0KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 5%-10%?Yes 28%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 10%-15%?Yes 23.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 0%-5%?Yes 21.4%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Ed Davey announces departure as Liberal Democrats leader in 2026?
K 4.4K contractsWill Ed Davey resign as the Liberal Democrats leader before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 13.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?
PM $13.0KWill Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Yes 14.5%
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes 9%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Nigerian Senate election winner?
K 4.4K contractsWho will win the next Nigerian Senate election? (APC)Yes 88.5%
Who will win the next Nigerian Senate election? (PDP)Yes 10%
Who will win the next Nigerian Senate election? (Labour)Yes 2.1%
3 mktsNext deadline Feb 28, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OH-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.0KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-03 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 28.9%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-03 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 21%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-03 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 19.7%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New York's 2nd District margin of victory
K 4.4K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 2nd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 90%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 2nd District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 82.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 2nd District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 69.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MN-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.0KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-06 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 35%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-06 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 34.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-06 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 27.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the Supreme Court bar Boulder’s state-law climate claims against Suncor and Exxon?
K 4.4K contractsWill the Supreme Court rule in favor of Suncor Energy (U.S.A.) Inc in Suncor Energy (U.S.A.) Inc. v. Commissioners of Boulder CountyYes 61%
1 mktNext deadline Aug 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?
PM $13.0KWill Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?Yes 5.2%
1 mktNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MD-05 House election: Jonathan Burruss vote percent
K 4.4K contractsWill Jonathan Burruss receive at least 7% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-05 House election?Yes 3%
Will Jonathan Burruss receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-05 House election?Yes 3%
Will Jonathan Burruss receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-05 House election?Yes 3%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Colorado Senate Election: Turnout
PM $12.9KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Colorado be between 2,550,000 and 2,700,000?Yes 31.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Colorado be between 2,700,000 and 2,850,000?Yes 26%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Colorado be between 2,400,000 and 2,550,000?Yes 21.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
UT-04 House election: Mike Kennedy vote percent
K 4.4K contractsWill Mike Kennedy receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?Yes 86.5%
Will Mike Kennedy receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?Yes 80%
Will Mike Kennedy receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?Yes 71%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?
PM $12.8KJD Vance 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?Yes 89%
Another candidate is the 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?Yes 6.5%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?Yes 3.3%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MD-01 House election: Andy Harris vote percent
K 4.4K contractsWill Andy Harris receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-01 House election?Yes 87%
Will Andy Harris receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-01 House election?Yes 73.5%
Will Andy Harris receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-01 House election?Yes 55.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NV-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $12.8KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NV-02 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 28.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NV-02 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 15.7%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NV-02 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 15.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
PA-10 House winner?
PM $12.8K · K 39.7K contractsWill the Democratic Party win the PA-10 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for PA-10?
Related contracts
PM Yes 81%Rules differK Yes 79.5%
Will the Republican Party win the PA-10 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for PA-10?
Related contracts
PM Yes 19.5%Rules differK Yes 19.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Yashar win?
K 4.4K contractsWill Yashar win above 17 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 90.5%
Will Yashar win above 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 68.5%
Will Yashar win above 23 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 41.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections
Which ballot measures will pass in Missouri?
K 4.4K contractsWill Amendment 8 pass?Yes 71.5%
Will Amendment 6 pass?Yes 50.5%
Will Amendment 7 pass?Yes 24.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NJ-10 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $12.8KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-10 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-10 House election by 65%-70%?Yes 28.3%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-10 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 16%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
IA-03 House election: Sarah Trone Garriott vote percent
K 4.4K contractsWill Sarah Trone Garriott receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 IA-03 House election?Yes 97%
Will Sarah Trone Garriott receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 IA-03 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Sarah Trone Garriott receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 IA-03 House election?Yes 93%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Senate Three-Way Combo: Texas, Michigan, Maine
PM $12.8KWill Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?Yes 47.5%
Will Republicans win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?Yes 18.4%
Will Democrats win the Texas and Michigan Senate seats, and Republicans win Maine?Yes 13.9%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Rhode Island Senate margin of victory
K 4.4K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Rhode Island be at least 17 percentage points?Yes 94.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Rhode Island be at least 19 percentage points?Yes 93.4%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Rhode Island be at least 21 percentage points?Yes 91%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
GA-07 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $12.8KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-07 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-07 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 20.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-07 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 19%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the U.S. grant CAATSA sanctions relief to Turkey this year?
K 4.4K contractsWill the White House, the U.S. Department of State, or the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce the completion of a sanctions-relief action, through a waiver, license, termination, revocation, delisting, or equivalent mechanism, that removes or suspends any sanction imposed on December 14, 2020, under CAATSA Section 231 against Turkey’s Presidency of Defense Industries (SSB) or any Turkish official named in that action, or authorizes conduct otherwise prohibited by any such sanction before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 38.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 9, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IL-13 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $12.8KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-13 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 30%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-13 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 22%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-13 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 20.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Wisconsin Governor General Election: voter turnout
K 4.4K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Wisconsin Governor General Election be above 2200000?Yes 86%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Wisconsin Governor General Election be above 2400000?Yes 73%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Wisconsin Governor General Election be above 2600000?Yes 53.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TN-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $12.7KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-02 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 31.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-02 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 27%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-02 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 17%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Georgia Senate General Election: voter turnout
K 4.4K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Georgia Senate General Election be above 2700000?Yes 96.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Georgia Senate General Election be above 2900000?Yes 95%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Georgia Senate General Election be above 3100000?Yes 91%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
New Mexico Senate Election: Turnout
PM $12.7KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Mexico be between 650,000 and 700,000?Yes 22.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Mexico be between 700,000 and 750,000?Yes 20.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Mexico be between 750,000 and 800,000?Yes 17.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Pete Hegseth be impeached?
K 4.4K contractsWill Pete Hegseth be impeached before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 58.5%
Will Pete Hegseth be impeached before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 44.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Apr 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Launceston Mayoral Election Winner
PM $12.6KWill Matthew Garwood win the next Launceston mayoral election?Yes 60.5%
Will Kyle Barrett win the next Launceston mayoral election?Yes 20%
Will Paul Mallett win the next Launceston mayoral election?Yes 4%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC