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Politics prediction markets

6,972 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.

Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.

Showing 3,409-3,456 of 6,972 event groups

Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.

KalshiPolitics
SC-05 House election: Mallory Dittmer vote percent

SC-05 House election: Mallory Dittmer vote percent

K 4.2K contracts
Will Mallory Dittmer receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-05 House election?Yes 97%
Will Mallory Dittmer receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-05 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Mallory Dittmer receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-05 House election?Yes 92.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Pennsylvania Governor Election: Turnout

Pennsylvania Governor Election: Turnout

PM $12.2K
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania be between 5,000,000 and 5,500,000?Yes 42%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania be between 4,500,000 and 5,000,000?Yes 27%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania be between 5,500,000 and 6,000,000?Yes 22.9%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NC-06 House election: Addison McDowell vote percent

NC-06 House election: Addison McDowell vote percent

K 4.2K contracts
Will Addison McDowell receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-06 House election?Yes 89.5%
Will Addison McDowell receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-06 House election?Yes 76.5%
Will Addison McDowell receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-06 House election?Yes 62%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
California Governor Election: Fresno County Winner

California Governor Election: Fresno County Winner

PM $12.2K
Will Steve Hilton win Fresno County in the California governor race in 2026?Yes 66.5%
Will Xavier Becerra win Fresno County in the California governor race in 2026?Yes 32%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the US government rescind the Anthropic ban?

Will the US government rescind the Anthropic ban?

K 4.2K contracts
Will the Department of Defense or the White House announce an official action rescinding, waiving, or materially modifying the supply-chain-risk designation or phaseout directive applicable to Anthropic, so as to permit federal government or Department of Defense use of Anthropic's AI models or services before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 40%
Will the Department of Defense or the White House announce an official action rescinding, waiving, or materially modifying the supply-chain-risk designation or phaseout directive applicable to Anthropic, so as to permit federal government or Department of Defense use of Anthropic's AI models or services before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 33.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 9, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Nothing Ever Happens: Obama

Nothing Ever Happens: Obama

PM $12.2K
Nothing Ever Happens: ObamaView outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
West Virginia Senate margin of victory

West Virginia Senate margin of victory

K 4.2K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in West Virginia be at least 26 percentage points?Yes 91.3%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in West Virginia be at least 28 percentage points?Yes 85.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in West Virginia be at least 30 percentage points?Yes 77.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?

PM $12.2K
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?Yes 15.5%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Maricopa County, Arizona: Katie Hobbs vote percent

Maricopa County, Arizona: Katie Hobbs vote percent

K 4.2K contracts
Will Katie Hobbs receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Maricopa County, Arizona?Yes 97%
Will Katie Hobbs receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Maricopa County, Arizona?Yes 95%
Will Katie Hobbs receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Maricopa County, Arizona?Yes 81%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
GA-12 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

GA-12 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

PM $12.2K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-12 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 29.8%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-12 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 28%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-12 House election by 0%-5%?Yes 20.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
2028 South Carolina Democratic primary winner?

2028 South Carolina Democratic primary winner?

K 4.2K contracts
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?Yes 25.5%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?Yes 15%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?Yes 14%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Cambridge, ON Mayoral Election Winner

Cambridge, ON Mayoral Election Winner

PM $12.2K
Will Scott Hamilton win the 2026 Cambridge mayoral election?Yes 62.5%
Will Jan Liggett win the 2026 Cambridge mayoral election?Yes 27%
Will Ryan Bolender win the 2026 Cambridge mayoral election?Yes 4.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (10/17-10/23)

How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (10/17-10/23)

K 4.2K contracts
Will Trump endorse at least 10 people on Truth Social this week?Yes 91.5%
Will Trump endorse at least 15 people on Truth Social this week?Yes 61.5%
Will Trump endorse at least 20 people on Truth Social this week?Yes 43%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 24, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
ME-02 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

ME-02 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

PM $12.1K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ME-02 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 23%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 ME-02 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 19.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ME-02 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 19%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory

Alabama's 6th District margin of victory

K 4.2K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 6th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?Yes 93.8%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 6th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?Yes 86%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 6th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?Yes 75.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Meander Valley Mayoral Election Winner

Meander Valley Mayoral Election Winner

PM $12.1K
Will Stephanie Cameron win the next Meander Valley mayoral election?Yes 49.5%
Will Ben Dudman win the next Meander Valley mayoral election?Yes 31%
Will Wayne Johnston win the next Meander Valley mayoral election?Yes 2%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-30 House winner?

TX-30 House winner?

K 4.2K contracts
Will Democratic win the House race for TX-30?Yes 97.8%
Will Republican win the House race for TX-30?Yes 2.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Kentucky Senate Election: Turnout

Kentucky Senate Election: Turnout

PM $12.1K
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky be between 1,400,000 and 1,500,000?Yes 20.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky be between 1,600,000 and 1,700,000?Yes 18%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky be between 1,700,000 and 1,800,000?Yes 15.7%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CA-39 House winner?

CA-39 House winner?

K 4.2K contracts
Will Democratic win the House race for CA-39?Yes 96.8%
Will Republican win the House race for CA-39?Yes 2.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
USS George H.W. Bush in CENTCOM on...?

USS George H.W. Bush in CENTCOM on...?

PM $12.1K
Will the USS George H.W. Bush be in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?Yes 86%
Will the USS George H.W. Bush be in CENTCOM on October 31, 2026?Yes 85.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Gwinnett County, Georgia: Jon Ossoff vote percent (1st Round)

Gwinnett County, Georgia: Jon Ossoff vote percent (1st Round)

K 4.1K contracts
Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?Yes 95.5%
Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?Yes 86.5%
Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Gwinnett County, Georgia?Yes 67%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Abia, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

Abia, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

PM $12.1K
Will Otti Alex Chioma win the 2027 Abia State gubernatorial election?Yes 90.5%
Will Eric Opah win the 2027 Abia State gubernatorial election?Yes 5.4%
Will Ceekay Igara win the 2027 Abia State gubernatorial election?Yes 4%
+1 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will a farm bill become law?

When will a farm bill become law?

K 4.1K contracts
Will an omnibus, multiyear law that governs an array of agricultural and food programs become law before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 53.5%
Will an omnibus, multiyear law that governs an array of agricultural and food programs become law before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 34.5%
Will an omnibus, multiyear law that governs an array of agricultural and food programs become law before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 19.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Florida Senate Election: Miami-Dade County Winner

Florida Senate Election: Miami-Dade County Winner

PM $12.1K
Will the Republicans win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes 60.5%
Will the Democrats win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes 37.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Oregon's 4th District margin of victory

Oregon's 4th District margin of victory

K 4.1K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 4th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 90.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 4th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 80%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 4th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?Yes 70%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-02 House Election Margin of Victory

TX-02 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $12.0K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-02 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 31.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-02 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 19.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-02 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 17.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
TX-34 House winner?

TX-34 House winner?

PM $12.0K · K 82.5K contracts

Will the Democratic Party win the TX-34 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for TX-34?

Related contracts

PM Yes 83%Rules differK Yes 83.5%

Will the Republican Party win the TX-34 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for TX-34?

Related contracts

PM Yes 16.5%Rules differK Yes 16.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
GA-10 House winner?

GA-10 House winner?

K 4.1K contracts
Will Republican win the House race for GA-10?Yes 96.1%
Will Democratic win the House race for GA-10?Yes 3.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Wisconsin State Senate winner?

Wisconsin State Senate winner?

K 4.1K contracts
Who will win the Wisconsin State Senate? (Democratic party)Yes 82.5%
Who will win the Wisconsin State Senate? (Republican party)Yes 16.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AZ-08 House Election Margin of Victory

AZ-08 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $12.0K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-08 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 25.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-08 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 24%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-08 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 17.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Northern Ireland announce a reunification referendum?

Will Northern Ireland announce a reunification referendum?

K 4.1K contracts
Will Northern Ireland confirm a reunification referendum before 2030?Yes 12.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2030 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next US Senate Minority Leader?

Next US Senate Minority Leader?

PM $12.0K
Will John Thune be the next US Senate Minority Leader?Yes 45.5%
Will Chuck Schumer be the next US Senate Minority Leader?Yes 38%
Will John Barrasso be the next US Senate Minority Leader?Yes 4.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
PA-04 House winner?

PA-04 House winner?

K 4.1K contracts
Will Democratic win the House race for PA-04?Yes 95.8%
Will Republican win the House race for PA-04?Yes 4.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Plateau, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

Plateau, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

PM $12.0K
Will Mutfwang Caleb Manasseh win the 2027 Plateau State gubernatorial election?Yes 82%
Will Kefas Ropshik win the 2027 Plateau State gubernatorial election?Yes 14.8%
Will John Sunday Sura win the 2027 Plateau State gubernatorial election?Yes 2.7%
+2 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
AZ-06 House election: Juan Ciscomani vote percent

AZ-06 House election: Juan Ciscomani vote percent

K 4.1K contracts
Will Juan Ciscomani receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 AZ-06 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Juan Ciscomani receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 AZ-06 House election?Yes 91.5%
Will Juan Ciscomani receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 AZ-06 House election?Yes 75.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Somali Pirates successfully seize a vessel by...?

Somali Pirates successfully seize a vessel by...?

PM $11.9K
Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by November 30, 2026?Yes 77.5%
Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by October 31, 2026?Yes 28%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Pennsylvania's 1st District margin of victory

Pennsylvania's 1st District margin of victory

K 4.1K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 1st District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 60%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 1st District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 39%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 1st District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 29%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
PA-04 House Election Margin of Victory

PA-04 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $11.9K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-04 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-04 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-04 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 18.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
AZ-09 House winner?

AZ-09 House winner?

K 4.1K contracts
Will Republican win the House race for AZ-09?Yes 95.6%
Will Democratic win the House race for AZ-09?Yes 3.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CZ # posts October 16 - October 23, 2026?

CZ # posts October 16 - October 23, 2026?

PM $11.9K
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes 78.5%
Will CZ post 40-59 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes 21.6%
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes 1.4%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Massachusetts 02 House General Election: voter turnout

Massachusetts 02 House General Election: voter turnout

K 4.1K contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Massachusetts 02 House General Election be above 120000?Yes 96.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Massachusetts 02 House General Election be above 150000?Yes 95.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Massachusetts 02 House General Election be above 180000?Yes 78%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OK-05 House Election Margin of Victory

OK-05 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $11.9K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-05 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 32%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-05 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 24.1%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-05 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 18%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Michigan's 8th District margin of victory

Michigan's 8th District margin of victory

K 4.1K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 8th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 94.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 8th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 93.6%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 8th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 86.9%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Keelung Mayor Election Winner

Keelung Mayor Election Winner

PM $11.9K
Will Hsieh Kuo-liang win the next Keelung Mayor election?Yes 73.5%
Will Tung Tzu-wei win the next Keelung Mayor election?Yes 27.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
OK-02 House election: Brandon Wade vote percent

OK-02 House election: Brandon Wade vote percent

K 4.1K contracts
Will Brandon Wade receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 OK-02 House election?Yes 94%
Will Brandon Wade receive at least 22% of the popular vote in the 2026 OK-02 House election?Yes 87.5%
Will Brandon Wade receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 OK-02 House election?Yes 77.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Oyo, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

Oyo, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

PM $11.9K
Will Abimbola Adekanmbi win the 2027 Oyo State gubernatorial election?Yes 58%
Will Sharafadeen Abiodun Alli win the 2027 Oyo State gubernatorial election?Yes 37%
Will Yusuf Akim Adebola win the 2027 Oyo State gubernatorial election?Yes 3.6%
+4 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
NV-03 House winner?

NV-03 House winner?

PM $11.9K · K 19.4K contracts

Will the Democratic Party win the NV-03 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for NV-3?

Related contracts

PM Yes 95%Rules differK Yes 94.1%

Will the Republican Party win the NV-03 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for NV-3?

Related contracts

PM Yes 5%Rules differK Yes 4.9%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Who will be the controlling owner of the Las Vegas Pro Basketball expansion franchise?

Who will be the controlling owner of the Las Vegas Pro Basketball expansion franchise?

K 4.1K contracts
Las Vegas Pro Basketball expansion franchise controlling owner (Nancy Walton Laurie and/or Bill Laurie)Yes 61%
Las Vegas Pro Basketball expansion franchise controlling owner (Steve Apostolopoulos and/or Marc Lasry)Yes 47.5%
Las Vegas Pro Basketball expansion franchise controlling owner (Bill Foley and/or Jerry Colangelo)Yes 46%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC