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Events
GroupKALSHI

South Carolina presidential election winner?

South Carolina presidential election winner?
Vol

K 400 contracts

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Events

1

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Markets

2

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Republican party at 81.5%.

Kalshi

  1. Republican party81.5%
  2. Democratic party19.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 400 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

2

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

About This Event

South Carolina If X wins the most electoral votes in South Carolina in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics
Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?

Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?

K 440.7K contracts
Will Mississippi be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 97.5%
Will Virginia be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 0.5%
Will Texas be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 0.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Apr 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?

Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?

K 101.5K contracts
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that New Hampshire holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states before Apr 1, 2028?Yes 83.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Iowa holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states before Apr 1, 2028?Yes 9.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that South Carolina holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states before Apr 1, 2028?Yes 4%
+1 moreNext deadline Apr 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
South Carolina Democratic presidential primary winner?

South Carolina Democratic presidential primary winner?

PM $41.0K · K 9.8K contracts

Will Jon Ossoff win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?

Kalshi: Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 26.5%Rules differK Yes 25.5%

Will Raphael Warnock win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?

Kalshi: Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 16%Rules differK Yes 9.5%

Will Kamala Harris win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?

Kalshi: Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 11.5%Rules differK Yes 11.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

18 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 23, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Next South Korea Presidential election winner?

Next South Korea Presidential election winner?

K 10.5K contracts
Will Kim Min-seok win the next South Korean presidential election?Yes 14.5%
Will Oh Se-hoon win the next South Korean presidential election?Yes 13%
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the next South Korean presidential election?Yes 11%
+9 moreNext deadline Mar 27, 2031 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many Deep South House seats will Democrats win in 2026?

How many Deep South House seats will Democrats win in 2026?

K 418.85 contracts
Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Alabama, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi and South Carolina be at least 9 at the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 87.5%
Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Alabama, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi and South Carolina be at least 14 at the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 50%
Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Alabama, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi and South Carolina be at least 13 at the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 50%
+3 moreNext deadline Mar 15, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
South Carolina Republican Presidential Primary Winner 2028

South Carolina Republican Presidential Primary Winner 2028

PM $2.2K
Will J.D. Vance win the South Carolina Republican primary?Yes 39.5%
Will Tucker Carlson win the South Carolina Republican primary?Yes 28%
Will Donald Trump win the South Carolina Republican primary?Yes 27%
+17 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2028 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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